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Seems obvious the S&P500 & DJIA will trim 10-15% some time in the next 12 months

Is it shrewd to just move money completely out of equities n...
.....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
  10/07/25
if you think this is the play, put it into BIL or SGOV and s...
UhOh
  10/07/25
...
richard clock
  10/07/25
...
;;......,.,.,.;.,.,.,.,.,
  10/07/25
/thread
big mean son of a bitch
  10/07/25
People like you thought this last year too. And the year be...
....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;
  10/07/25
A year ago it was clear the AI hype cycle had just ramped up...
.....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
  10/07/25
nigga, if ther eis going to be an AI bubble it wont be for y...
AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection
  10/07/25
Hindsight fallacy
....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;
  10/07/25
Ran here, toting bags of inflated paper gains
Nazca Redlines
  10/07/25
ive been selling so that means market will moon another 10-2...
AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection
  10/07/25
...
don diaper
  10/07/25
the money printers will continue.
;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.....;;;.
  10/07/25
Until one day they won't. But I'm sure we'll all be fine
don diaper
  10/07/25
i can't predict the future, but i can guarun-fucking-tee you...
UhOh
  10/07/25
...
excellent subthread
  10/07/25
(japanesebusinessdood)
don diaper
  10/07/25
The limiting factor is that we’re now selling too much...
.....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
  10/07/25
If consensus was 10% drop then the market would drop 10% now...
Mud
  10/07/25
trying to time this is stupid. over the last 12 years, you ...
Darnell
  10/07/25
don't listen to these idiots. sell now and then buy back in ...
Paralegal Amos
  10/07/25
Market timing trading is one of the biggest low IQ tells in ...
excellent subthread
  10/07/25
But we KNEW it would keep going up last year!!!
....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;
  10/07/25
Ok so when should I sell guys??
AI_concubine
  10/07/25
You never sell. Just buy forever and then pass the holdings ...
wait till biggus dickus hears of this
  10/07/25
Their heirs? Believe it or not they can also never sell
;;......,.,.,.;.,.,.,.,.,
  10/07/25
basically it's a lesson every young investor or trader learn...
Darnell
  10/07/25
55x
Barry Stanton
  10/07/25
I'm holding strc but plan to sell on October 15th after I ge...
,.,,,.
  10/07/25
wtf is a bullish puts nigga?
AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection
  10/07/25
Number one go up, FRIEND
;;......,.,.,.;.,.,.,.,.,
  10/07/25
Fuck I should've sold this am. This was the top.
,.,,,.
  10/07/25
...
click here to Learn More
  10/07/25
this thread is so retarded, literally every 12m period u hav...
AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection
  10/07/25
timing the market is very dangerous. just DCA and let do. ...
seek christ
  10/07/25
Use all your money to short the market and make a fortune.
All American protestor waving Mexican flag tp
  10/07/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:18 AM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;


Is it shrewd to just move money completely out of equities now? And put it where? USTs? I have a hard time believing that there much more room to run with this scammy phase where 90+% of the gains are based on these imaginary future data centers that would crash the grid if they actually all got built. It’s a shame crypto got so bastardized and tied to this scam cycle, since a major part of the point of it once upon a time was to be a refuge in this kind of situation.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331480)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:22 AM
Author: UhOh

if you think this is the play, put it into BIL or SGOV and sit back and wait. but people have been doing this for a year or two now and crying themselves to sleep at night. also when the 10% dip comes you're going to chicken out.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331483)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:27 AM
Author: richard clock



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331593)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:59 AM
Author: ;;......,.,.,.;.,.,.,.,., ( )




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331664)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:11 PM
Author: big mean son of a bitch

/thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331700)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:23 AM
Author: ....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;


People like you thought this last year too. And the year before.

Eventually you’ll be right, after missing out on 50% gains.

I remember a prominent poaster loudly proclaiming he was going all cash after the first few months of the Trump run first term.

He retired a couple of years later. The S&P is up 3x since.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331484)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:40 AM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;


A year ago it was clear the AI hype cycle had just ramped up. There are many more indicators that it’s maturing now. The main pillar of this thesis is that we’re timing the pullback of that specific cycle. It’s certain that it’s sooner than 30 months out and the over/under would be set at around 9 months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331509)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:51 AM
Author: AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection

nigga, if ther eis going to be an AI bubble it wont be for years cause Ai shit is just starting nigga no one knows how it will play out nigga

ps im retarded and gay

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331522)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:17 AM
Author: ....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;


Hindsight fallacy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331570)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:17 AM
Author: Nazca Redlines

Ran here, toting bags of inflated paper gains

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331571)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:25 AM
Author: AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection

ive been selling so that means market will moon another 10-20% easily



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331489)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:33 AM
Author: don diaper (🧐)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331496)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:28 AM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.....;;;.


the money printers will continue.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331494)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:33 AM
Author: don diaper (🧐)

Until one day they won't. But I'm sure we'll all be fine

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331499)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:34 AM
Author: UhOh

i can't predict the future, but i can guarun-fucking-tee you the money printers will never stop.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331500)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:21 AM
Author: excellent subthread



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331579)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:27 AM
Author: don diaper (🧐)

(japanesebusinessdood)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331591)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 10:37 AM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;


The limiting factor is that we’re now selling too much debt and we’re running out of buyers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331506)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:02 AM
Author: Mud

If consensus was 10% drop then the market would drop 10% now.

I think the current gains aren’t sustainable. But that might just mean a decade of slow gains.

I am diversifying. Was 99% VOO for the past ten years. But I’m adding some BND and SGOV for diversification. If the market tanks 10% I’ll move back to full VOO.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331550)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:06 AM
Author: Darnell

trying to time this is stupid. over the last 12 years, you could identify 2-3 times a year when equities looked way too high and a pullback was "certain."

just keep DCAing into the market. forever

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331555)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:14 AM
Author: Paralegal Amos

don't listen to these idiots. sell now and then buy back in when prices are 15% below today's prices. guaranteed profit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331565)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:19 AM
Author: excellent subthread

Market timing trading is one of the biggest low IQ tells in the known universe. You will not get it right, don't bother trying.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331575)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:28 AM
Author: ....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;


But we KNEW it would keep going up last year!!!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331595)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:43 AM
Author: AI_concubine

Ok so when should I sell guys??

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331635)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:02 PM
Author: wait till biggus dickus hears of this

You never sell. Just buy forever and then pass the holdings to ur heirs for DAT step up basis (they can also never sell btw)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331674)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:30 PM
Author: ;;......,.,.,.;.,.,.,.,., ( )


Their heirs? Believe it or not they can also never sell

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331753)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:16 PM
Author: Darnell

basically it's a lesson every young investor or trader learns in their first couple years. i'm always amazed when i hear 50-somethings talk about shit like this. you've had 30+ years in the market and you think you're going to time it right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331715)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:26 AM
Author: Barry Stanton

55x

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331588)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 11:29 AM
Author: ,.,,,.

I'm holding strc but plan to sell on October 15th after I get my dividends with long term cap gains. I think right now can try to sell bullish outs of Amazon. If market drops you get it about 10% off current price. Otherwise just get 1%/month gain.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331603)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:28 PM
Author: AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection

wtf is a bullish puts nigga?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331738)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:01 PM
Author: ;;......,.,.,.;.,.,.,.,., ( )


Number one go up, FRIEND

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331667)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:02 PM
Author: ,.,,,.

Fuck I should've sold this am. This was the top.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331675)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:32 PM
Author: click here to Learn More



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331759)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:31 PM
Author: AZNgirl failing to give Brilyn Hollyhand erection

this thread is so retarded, literally every 12m period u have a 10% drawdown u stupid nigga, did u really think u wld go anotehr year without 10% down ever nigga

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331758)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:35 PM
Author: seek christ ((zurich is stained))

timing the market is very dangerous. just DCA and let do.

i've always been a big believer in the S&P or total stock market index funds, but i have put like $250k into individual stocks - TSLA, NVDA, PLTR, HOOD, RKLB (thanks poaster). i think these companies are all strong long-term HODLS. i could be wrong, who knows.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331769)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2025 12:43 PM
Author: All American protestor waving Mexican flag tp

Use all your money to short the market and make a fortune.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5783988&forum_id=2/#49331793)