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Is there a reasonable lib explanation for where all their votes went? And why

bellweather counties lost any predictive ability in 2020?
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
and regained that ability in 2024? if so, what toggled on...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
...
Justin Womack, Esq
  11/09/24
...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
*democrats have a good election cycle* Cons: “THIS...
:;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;
  11/09/24
More like we thought the 2020 election was fraud after it ha...
MASE
  11/09/24
Did you ever come up with any evidence for said fraud? Or st...
:;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;
  11/09/24
I'd say the burden of proof is on you now. Where did all tho...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
There is evidence of fraud linked itt
cowstack
  11/09/24
Isn’t it crazy that 15 million Dem voters appeared in ...
MASE
  11/09/24
What do you mean?
:;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;
  11/15/24
Where are we at on this?
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/15/24
This graph is kinda strange when you look at ithttps://img3....
smirk
  11/10/24
How so?
:;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;
  11/15/24
*stares at you blankly*
smirk
  11/15/24
Obeezy gloated about the successful steal on Nov. 6, 2020 th...
Candy Ride
  11/09/24
Yes, you remained retarded
Epistemic Humility
  11/10/24
libs don't want to discuss where the missing 10+M votes
butt cheeks
  11/09/24
Devils advocate: The mail-in ballots were a big deal. You...
borders (retired)
  11/09/24
But the mail in ballots were still an option almost everywhe...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
It adds some imo not all
borders (retired)
  11/10/24
Drumpf and Russia hacked the election again
TSINAH bottoming in gay bar bathroom stall
  11/09/24
idiots quoting the numbers as if its final are stupid, CA is...
AZNgirl asking Tom Homan to patrol her pussy
  11/09/24
has anyone broken this down by red state/blue state are the...
Paddy O'Wagon
  11/09/24
She did worse in almost every county in the entire country t...
borders (retired)
  11/09/24
we need some internet autist deep dives into these numbers a...
Paddy O'Wagon
  11/09/24
You won’t get any such analysis from me. Pearls before...
borders (retired)
  11/09/24
won't somebody think of the BELLWEATHERS! Oh what a sweet pr...
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/09/24
https://x.com/JayFivekiller/status/1854225316878925954
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
lol that is pretty fucked up
SkaddenArse
  11/09/24
it really needs an explanation. (not that we're going to get...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
I think we already have one
butt cheeks
  11/09/24
The explanation is fraud
...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......,
  11/09/24
what's the explanation for counties having magical predictiv...
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/09/24
Bellwether counties are historically seen as indicators of E...
cowstack
  11/09/24
...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
their predictive power is not guaranteed and can shift as de...
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/09/24
Weird how these handful of counties had predicted the electo...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
leaving aside 2020, across ten POTUS election cycles those c...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
How can I explain why they would change in behavior if you c...
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/09/24
Because they are reflective of the electorate, especially th...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
Weird how they pulled off a massive conspiracy for millions ...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
What evidence would be left behind with mail in ballots, and...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
Why is that weird? They legalized ballot harvesting last tim...
cowstack
  11/09/24
Yeah, and in deep-red states like GA and AZ, no one caught o...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
I'm honestly amazed that retards like you exist. Many of us ...
cowstack
  11/09/24
Sounds like that clear cut evidence was used in over 40 laws...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
I have no idea what you're saying but it probably makes sens...
cowstack
  11/09/24
Not even mad about Trumps reelection. Ty for your concern t...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
I'm not concerned idiot
cowstack
  11/09/24
To be fair, "Why don't you faggot retards ever have ...
To be fair
  11/09/24
Yeah man you totally proved it and cracked the case! 1000 mu...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
To be fair, Whoa, hol up hol up -- did "how come you...
To be fair
  11/09/24
Lol. The motherfucking faggot king of arguing in bad faith b...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
To be fair, Whoa, and now I'm "a faggot," so QE...
To be fair
  11/09/24
Fuck yeah man you win another Internet argument, good job na...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
To be fair, Lol you're Jewish my man
To be fair
  11/09/24
Lmao
Candy Ride
  11/09/24
Odd case. Very interesting.
Candy Ride
  11/09/24
across ten POTUS elections, the bellwethers produced only 23...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
We know what happened.
Candy Ride
  11/09/24
...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
...
To be fair
  11/09/24
...
lsd
  11/10/24
No it doesn't. With as many counties as we have, there's bo...
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
To be fair, CR it was bound to happen, and it was bound t...
To be fair
  11/09/24
...
Candy Ride
  11/09/24
"conspiracy that spanned across states involving millio...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/10/24
Biden was the most popular and unifying candidate ever. Simp...
Post nut horror
  11/09/24
...
gibberish (?)
  11/09/24
Yeah Obama was a cultural phenomenon, but nothing compared t...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
We didn't repeat the 2020 fraud after learning how mad it ma...
Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
  11/09/24
Thanks
gibberish (?)
  11/09/24
...
cowstack
  11/09/24
I for one was all set to repeat the fraud after we got away ...
,..,,,,,,....,,,...,
  11/09/24
That's not how Occam's razor works
cowstack
  11/09/24
They’re still counting
Epistemic Humility
  11/09/24
I think MASE legitimately did some good work on this. I'm s...
:;:;;;:;;:;;;:;;:;;:;:::
  11/09/24
Still doesn't explain the missing votes (even accounting for...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
Oh I don't go for any of that conspiracy stuff. Dems straig...
:;:;;;:;;:;;;:;;:;;:;:::
  11/09/24
i assume that Dem harvesting was far more aggressive last ti...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/09/24
I don't believe there was any illegal stuff and apparently t...
:;:;;;:;;:;;;:;;:;;:;:::
  11/09/24
Lol. You have to be legitimately retarded to believe this
stolen pallor
  11/09/24
It is Opposite Day?
cowstack
  11/09/24
This "Cornel West" shitlib got really riled up ITT
.;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,
  11/09/24
Yeah he doesn't realize there's been a shift from us looking...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
...
butt cheeks
  11/09/24
Sorry bro not all of us have PhDs in Bellweather Studies. Ho...
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/09/24
Settle down shitlib
.;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,
  11/09/24
How do polls work? They must be magic taking 500 people and ...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
Crazy, didn't know polls predicted who receives over 50% of ...
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/09/24
They are useful indicators. And if you took all polls for a ...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
That's a lot of words which don't actually explain how these...
As far as they will go but even farther
  11/10/24
Lol we made "Cornel West" do the butt slut strut u...
"'''''"'""'''"'"'
  11/09/24
look at how easy it is for MPC frauds to rile you up!
FizzKidd
  11/10/24
Several reasons.. for one Kamala was a very bad candidate un...
GNOME CHOMSKY
  11/10/24
(guy who literally believes the media wanted TRUMP to win an...
butt cheeks
  11/10/24
The people in the media make good money and they want to kee...
GNOME CHOMSKY
  11/10/24
Van Jones doesn't get paid more because Trump won
cowstack
  11/10/24
He could get laid off if Trump lost because viewership would...
GNOME CHOMSKY
  11/10/24
Leslie Moonves (CBS) on Donald Trump: “It May Not Be G...
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
  11/10/24
stay at home moms, on Election Day
Brussels Sprout: Brussels,Helsinki,Stockholm,Kyiv
  11/10/24
u idiots were poasting this shit before CA and others even f...
AZNgirl asking Tom Homan to patrol her pussy
  11/15/24
thats still a big ass difference. considering obama was in t...
SkaddenArse
  11/15/24
Tommy, your thoughts?
Voodoo Child
  11/15/24
do u have short term memory? he was running against incumben...
AZNgirl asking Tom Homan to patrol her pussy
  11/15/24
hahah how does my big fat jew cock taste?
SkaddenArse
  11/15/24
Come on Tommy
Voodoo Child
  11/15/24
Nobody voted for Harris in the dem primaries. Seems like lo...
Dickey Simpkins
  11/15/24
president trump continues his baseless claims that the 2020 ...
sealclubber
  11/15/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 8:53 AM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

bellweather counties lost any predictive ability in 2020?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314393)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:46 AM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


and regained that ability in 2024?

if so, what toggled on in 2020 and off in 2024?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314559)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:20 PM
Author: Justin Womack, Esq



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316551)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:36 AM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314522)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:40 AM
Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;

*democrats have a good election cycle*

Cons: “THIS IS BLATANT EVIDENCE OF FRAUD!”

*democrats have a bad election cycle*

Cons: “THIS IS BLATANT EVIDENCE OF FRAUD!”

cry wolf much?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314535)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:50 AM
Author: MASE

More like we thought the 2020 election was fraud after it happened, and we still think the 2020 election was fraud today.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314573)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 12:01 PM
Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;

Did you ever come up with any evidence for said fraud? Or still waiting for Trump to provide it in Formal Legal Filings?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315077)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:30 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

I'd say the burden of proof is on you now. Where did all those votes come from? How did Trump win almost every bellweather county in 2020 and lose? How did Biden beat Obama's record by so much?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315727)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:33 PM
Author: cowstack

There is evidence of fraud linked itt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315738)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:49 PM
Author: MASE

Isn’t it crazy that 15 million Dem voters appeared in 2020 and then disappeared immediately after haha

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315777)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 11:25 AM
Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;

What do you mean?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341037)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 11:56 AM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

Where are we at on this?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341315)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 2:54 AM
Author: smirk

This graph is kinda strange when you look at ithttps://img3.imepic.jp/image/20241110/607820.jpg?f27288ef6ab1227b804ca4881adf8623

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48317868)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 11:26 AM
Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;

How so?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341041)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 1:21 PM
Author: smirk

*stares at you blankly*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341751)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:35 PM
Author: Candy Ride

Obeezy gloated about the successful steal on Nov. 6, 2020 then he never said anything about it ever again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315744)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 7:28 AM
Author: Epistemic Humility

Yes, you remained retarded

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318073)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:42 AM
Author: butt cheeks (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp)

libs don't want to discuss where the missing 10+M votes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314541)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:44 AM
Author: borders (retired)

Devils advocate:

The mail-in ballots were a big deal. You can harvest the fuck out of them without it being completely fraud by a textbook definition. Fraud can still take place but not 15m votes worth.

People were pissed about Covid. High turnout favors dems.

Extremely shitty female candidate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314555)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:32 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

But the mail in ballots were still an option almost everywhere, right? And I don't see how being pissed off about Covid adds that many voted to Biden

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315733)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 7:24 AM
Author: borders (retired)

It adds some imo not all

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318071)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:46 AM
Author: TSINAH bottoming in gay bar bathroom stall

Drumpf and Russia hacked the election again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314557)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:46 AM
Author: AZNgirl asking Tom Homan to patrol her pussy

idiots quoting the numbers as if its final are stupid, CA is only like 60% counted, shes gonna get millions moar votes from there and the margin prob will be like 2% or under when its all done (in 9 months since its CA)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314558)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:47 AM
Author: Paddy O'Wagon

has anyone broken this down by red state/blue state

are there tons of 'missing votes' in certain states, or is it across the board, i wonder.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314560)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:49 AM
Author: borders (retired)

She did worse in almost every county in the entire country than Biden. But the effect is particularly pronounced in the fraud urban counties.

—borders

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314570)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:51 AM
Author: Paddy O'Wagon

we need some internet autist deep dives into these numbers after the final vote is in. i am withholding comment until the autists have spoken.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314574)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:56 AM
Author: borders (retired)

You won’t get any such analysis from me. Pearls before swine.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314596)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 9:57 AM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

won't somebody think of the BELLWEATHERS! Oh what a sweet predictive treat!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48314604)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 12:41 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


https://x.com/JayFivekiller/status/1854225316878925954

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315194)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 12:44 PM
Author: SkaddenArse

lol that is pretty fucked up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315200)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 12:45 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


it really needs an explanation. (not that we're going to get one.)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315202)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 12:51 PM
Author: butt cheeks (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp)

I think we already have one

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315215)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:35 PM
Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......,


The explanation is fraud

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315743)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:09 PM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

what's the explanation for counties having magical predictive power of the electoral college in the first place? (note: not the actual popular vote)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315857)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:15 PM
Author: cowstack

Bellwether counties are historically seen as indicators of Electoral College outcomes because they often reflect the political dynamics of key swing states and demographic or economic trends that are broadly influential. Their “predictive power” is less about magic and more about the unique characteristics they represent. Here are some reasons behind this phenomenon:

1. Demographic Similarity: Bellwether counties often have demographic makeups that mirror those of the nation. They may capture a blend of urban and rural populations, racial and ethnic diversity, and socioeconomic backgrounds similar to national averages. This blend means that shifts in voter preferences within these counties often signal broader shifts across the country.

2. Economic Representation: Many bellwether counties have economies that include a mix of industries that drive the national economy, such as manufacturing, agriculture, and services. Economic concerns, which often influence voter preferences, can be a reflection of the challenges or opportunities facing the nation as a whole.

3. Swing State Location: A number of bellwether counties are located within key swing states that are pivotal in the Electoral College. Trends in these counties can mirror the direction that the entire state might swing, which in turn can impact the overall Electoral College map.

4. Balance of Urban and Rural: Bellwether counties often combine urban and rural areas, providing a microcosm of the broader rural-urban divide that influences U.S. electoral outcomes. This balance allows them to reflect trends on both sides of the urban-rural spectrum.

5. Historical Momentum: Counties with a record of voting for the winning candidate may carry a “momentum” that aligns with how campaign strategies are formed and deployed. Candidates and their campaigns may put more emphasis on messaging and policies that resonate with these regions, reinforcing their predictive role.

While bellwether counties have historically provided insight into Electoral College outcomes, their predictive power is not guaranteed and can shift as demographics, economic conditions, and political dynamics evolve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315874)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:42 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315962)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:50 PM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

their predictive power is not guaranteed and can shift as demographics, economic conditions, and political dynamics evolve.

Wow, guess we have our answer!

Also, please describe the precise mechanism by which counties would be predictors of the electoral college winner. Thanks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315997)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 5:03 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

Weird how these handful of counties had predicted the electoral winner the past 10 (maybe more?) elections, but failed spectacularly in 2020. AND the 10M plus votes that gave Biden the victory seem to have disappeared. AND those votes seemed to have come after stopping the counts in many swing states.

Very weird

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316044)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 5:15 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


leaving aside 2020, across ten POTUS election cycles those counties were 96% accurate -- but in 2020 were 94% inaccurate.

odd case!

and, of course, they're accurate once again!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316084)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:04 PM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

How can I explain why they would change in behavior if you can't explain why they are predictive in the first place? Surely it's not just a hand-picked assortment of counties which serve exactly this narrative and they don't actually have some magical force of nature which binds them to the outcome of the electoral college. And surely you're going to keep track of them the next election dems win as well.

If you think "bellweather counties" are an indicator of fraud you're just an actual fucking moron. Unless you can explain the specific incredible hidden mechanism by which these counties should specifically predict the electoral college of course, which I still eagerly await.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316252)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:24 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

Because they are reflective of the electorate, especially the electorate of swing states. That's not to say that each individual bellweather is 100% predictive, but taken as a whole, I don't think there has been one election where they've been almost entirely wrong (meaning a candidate wins almost all 20 or so bellweathers, yet goes on to lose).

You seem like a butthurt retard, so let me try an analogy. Each bell weather is like a poll that has been very accurate for most prior elections. When you take them all together, they are extremely reliable, except in 2020

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316325)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:05 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Weird how they pulled off a massive conspiracy for millions of votes leaving no evidence of fraud and then couldn't do it four years later. Crazy.

You guys are fucking retarded

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316263)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:28 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

What evidence would be left behind with mail in ballots, and who would be in charge of investigating?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316336)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:31 PM
Author: cowstack

Why is that weird? They legalized ballot harvesting last time and let one person drop off thousands of ballots at once

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316341)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:55 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Yeah, and in deep-red states like GA and AZ, no one caught on and counted the clearly fraudulent ballots in 2020.

Do you even know how voting by mail works?

And it was so easy to do 4 years ago and so difficult to do now, that they just... Decided not to do it.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316445)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:57 PM
Author: cowstack

I'm honestly amazed that retards like you exist. Many of us were watching the NYT tracker live when the "pipes burst" in Fulton

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316451)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:58 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Sounds like that clear cut evidence was used in over 40 lawsuits then in order to make sure trump was re elected, right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316455)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:08 PM
Author: cowstack

I have no idea what you're saying but it probably makes sense if you suffer from TDS

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316495)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:19 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Not even mad about Trumps reelection. Ty for your concern though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316549)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:22 PM
Author: cowstack

I'm not concerned idiot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316559)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:59 PM
Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded)

To be fair,

"Why don't you faggot retards ever have any actual evidence to support your utterly baseless fraud claims? Hmm?"

"I mean, uh... well for starters, you're literally responding to a poast that highlights what an insane statistical aberration 2020 was in the conte--"

"So like I said, not even a single datapoint suggesting fraud? Wow, I'm so shocked! Fucking conturds just making shit up."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316457)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:01 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Yeah man you totally proved it and cracked the case! 1000 mules *definitively* proved fraud in 2020! And libs just hated winning so much they didn't do it in 2024! Fuck yeah makes perfect sense if I'm a fucking retard like TBF!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316463)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:03 PM
Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded)

To be fair,

Whoa, hol up hol up -- did "how come you retards never have a shred of actual evidence to support these claims?" suddenly morph into "good sir, I would hardly say that the evidence you just produced here is dispositive on the matter!" within the span of a single poast exchange?

That almost seems like a yuuuuuuge goalpoast shift. Suddenly we went from "you don't even have any evidence" to "I personally am not persuaded by your evidence," which is literally night and day as far as arguments go.

But that can't be right... I mean, you guys are the Adults In The Room(TM) who Always Argue In Good Faith(R), after all...

Lol faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316472)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:07 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Lol. The motherfucking faggot king of arguing in bad faith bleating that someone else is shifting the goalposts.

Even four years after losing, and then *winning* an election, you can't help but whine and complain that somehow your God-Emperor legitimately lost.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316487)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:08 PM
Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded)

To be fair,

Whoa, and now I'm "a faggot," so QED, uh... something something that means you definitely didn't just shamelessly shift the goalpoasts here ITT (you know, since I'm "a faggot" and all).

Wow you got me so good here Ari, damn, "the walls" etc.

lol JEWISH faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316492)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:18 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Fuck yeah man you win another Internet argument, good job naming the Jew and strutting like the smart guy you clearly are.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316547)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:20 PM
Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded)

To be fair,

Lol you're Jewish my man

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316554)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 11:15 PM
Author: Candy Ride

Lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48317425)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:07 PM
Author: Candy Ride

Odd case. Very interesting.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315844)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:48 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


across ten POTUS elections, the bellwethers produced only 23 "wrong" results out of 170 total results. that's a 13% error rate. but two thirds of those errors came in 2020.

besides 2020, the error rate was just 4% across a sample of 153 results.

in 2020, the error rate was 94%.

so, it was 4% vs 94%. it needs explaining.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315985)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:49 PM
Author: Candy Ride

We know what happened.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315989)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:55 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316019)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:00 PM
Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316459)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 9:02 AM
Author: lsd



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318212)



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Date: November 9th, 2024 6:08 PM
Author: stolen pallor

No it doesn't. With as many counties as we have, there's bound to be a handful that would predict the winner over the course of 10 elections, if only by luck on the tail end of a distribution.

What needs explaining is how this supposed massive conspiracy that spanned across states involving millions of votes and thousands of coconspirators left not a shred of evidence it happened.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316277)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 7:01 PM
Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded)

To be fair,

CR it was bound to happen, and it was bound to keep happening in the same counties over and over again, cycle afer cycle, except for the one cycle when suddenly they all got it totally wrong for the first time in decades, before immediately reverting back to the previous pattern of being almost entirely correct once again the next cycle.

That's all just basic statistics. These retards will never understand. It was just *bound* to happen that way.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316465)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 8:05 PM
Author: Candy Ride



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316747)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 8:51 AM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


"conspiracy that spanned across states involving millions of votes"

====

(guy who hasn't been following the discussion and who completely misunderstands the theory being discussed)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318188)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 12:46 PM
Author: Post nut horror

Biden was the most popular and unifying candidate ever. Simple as. (Has to be this. Has to be).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315206)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:32 PM
Author: gibberish (?)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315734)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:34 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

Yeah Obama was a cultural phenomenon, but nothing compared to the force of nature that was known as "Biden"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315740)



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Date: November 9th, 2024 3:50 PM
Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband

We didn't repeat the 2020 fraud after learning how mad it made shitcons

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315780)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 3:51 PM
Author: gibberish (?)

Thanks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315782)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:16 PM
Author: cowstack



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315878)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 4:38 PM
Author: ,..,,,,,,....,,,...,

I for one was all set to repeat the fraud after we got away with it so cleanly in spite of intense scrutiny, but once Republicans demonstrated their willingness to repeat evidence-free allegations for the millionth time I decided to play it safe this time around.

Somehow the Heritage Foundation tracked down random dudes voting for dead grandmas (which is strangely about 50-50) but missed the massive fraud that injected millions of fake Biden votes. And the crack legal team is saving the really good evidence. And various Republican judges and governors in swing states where legit voters supported Trump were mysteriously asleep at the wheel rather than blowing the lid off a scandal that would have guaranteed star status and pretty much whatever job they wanted in right-leaning circles. But internet lunatics figured it out and already shared all the evidence in invisible ink that you can only read with magic goggles, which we can’t find right now but they will surely turn up soon.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315946)



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Date: November 9th, 2024 6:34 PM
Author: cowstack

That's not how Occam's razor works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316351)



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Date: November 9th, 2024 4:39 PM
Author: Epistemic Humility

They’re still counting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48315950)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 5:10 PM
Author: :;:;;;:;;:;;;:;;:;;:;:::

I think MASE legitimately did some good work on this. I'm sure the idea wasn't original to him, but his review of the data pointed to a Dem loss of nonwhite noncollege educated voters over the course of a decade or so while the Dems' most vocal stuff was ivory tower utopianism which would be completely alienating to all but the more educated.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316061)



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Date: November 9th, 2024 5:13 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

Still doesn't explain the missing votes (even accounting for one still being counted) imo. I believe there was record ED turnout for Dems, right? And somehow all those mail in votes stayed home?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316072)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 5:15 PM
Author: :;:;;;:;;:;;;:;;:;;:;:::

Oh I don't go for any of that conspiracy stuff. Dems straight up lost this time; Trump straight up lost last time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316082)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 5:16 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


i assume that Dem harvesting was far more aggressive last time but they knew that Republicans were watching it super closely this time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316093)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 5:18 PM
Author: :;:;;;:;;:;;;:;;:;;:;:::

I don't believe there was any illegal stuff and apparently the outcome of 40 plus court cases tends to coincide with that belief.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316100)



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Date: November 9th, 2024 6:10 PM
Author: stolen pallor

Lol. You have to be legitimately retarded to believe this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316284)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:34 PM
Author: cowstack

It is Opposite Day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316354)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 5:15 PM
Author: .;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,


This "Cornel West" shitlib got really riled up ITT

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316081)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:02 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

Yeah he doesn't realize there's been a shift from us looking unreasonable for claiming there was fraud in 2020, to them looking unreasonable for saying there wasn't.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316246)



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Date: November 9th, 2024 7:15 PM
Author: butt cheeks (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316525)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:06 PM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

Sorry bro not all of us have PhDs in Bellweather Studies. How can I explain the fraud if you can't explain the magic!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316268)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:08 PM
Author: .;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,


Settle down shitlib

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316279)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:31 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

How do polls work? They must be magic taking 500 people and somehow divining the election results of an entire state!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316343)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 8:08 PM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

Crazy, didn't know polls predicted who receives over 50% of electoral votes. Incredible bellweathers!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316761)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 10:20 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

They are useful indicators. And if you took all polls for a certain swing state, it would be surprising if a candidate polled lower than his opponent in almost all of them and went on to win the state. Same with bellweather counties. You might expect to see an election where it's a mixed bag and could go either way, but not one where they seem to lose all predictive ability, then seem to regain it next election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48317186)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 8:07 AM
Author: As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)

That's a lot of words which don't actually explain how these counties are specifically predicting the electoral college outcome beyond "they did it before so they should do it again". I appreciate your dedication to the thread though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318119)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 6:51 PM
Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'

Lol we made "Cornel West" do the butt slut strut up and down this thread. High-five bros

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48316419)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 7:55 AM
Author: FizzKidd (derpy STEM dysgenic)

look at how easy it is for MPC frauds to rile you up!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318107)



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Date: November 10th, 2024 8:53 AM
Author: GNOME CHOMSKY

Several reasons.. for one Kamala was a very bad candidate unlikable Etc and she was pushed by the media into the nomination in order to ensure that Trump would win, and the media needs Trump in office because he attracts viewers and they have a dying business model.. so basically come all of us a sabotage ploy by the media another reason is that the primaries were delivered to sabotage and that drove away viewers.. another reason is the inflation

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318191)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 8:54 AM
Author: butt cheeks (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp)

(guy who literally believes the media wanted TRUMP to win and in fact engineered his victory)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318196)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 8:55 AM
Author: GNOME CHOMSKY

The people in the media make good money and they want to keep making good money. They're in a dying business model and they will do anything to keep that business model going

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318197)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 9:46 AM
Author: cowstack

Van Jones doesn't get paid more because Trump won

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318352)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 11:52 AM
Author: GNOME CHOMSKY

He could get laid off if Trump lost because viewership would decline greatly

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318750)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 11:59 AM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


Leslie Moonves (CBS) on Donald Trump: “It May Not Be Good for America, but It’s Damn Good for CBS”



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318770)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2024 8:56 AM
Author: Brussels Sprout: Brussels,Helsinki,Stockholm,Kyiv


stay at home moms, on Election Day

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48318200)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 11:59 AM
Author: AZNgirl asking Tom Homan to patrol her pussy

u idiots were poasting this shit before CA and others even finishing counting. CA retards still only 89% in but the gap has greatly reduced, its now 73,136,553 votes (48.2%) versus 76,070,214 votes (50.2%)

151.4 million votes so far (Estimated 97.4% counted)

what did biden get like 81? so its only 8m diff but the 2.6% remaining maybe is shitlib CA so moar towards kamala



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341335)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 12:27 PM
Author: SkaddenArse

thats still a big ass difference. considering obama was in the low 70s, kamala in the low 70s, but somehow joe biden, who ran for president like 5 times before and never made it out of the primary, but this time around somehow gets 82 million people to fucking vote for him?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341486)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 12:33 PM
Author: Voodoo Child

Tommy, your thoughts?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341506)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 12:34 PM
Author: AZNgirl asking Tom Homan to patrol her pussy

do u have short term memory? he was running against incumbent trump who had like a 22% approval rate and libs thought was hitler. dont u remember how much tension and anger there was back then? it was furking insane

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341510)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 12:39 PM
Author: SkaddenArse

hahah how does my big fat jew cock taste?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341542)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 12:50 PM
Author: Voodoo Child

Come on Tommy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341617)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 12:57 PM
Author: Dickey Simpkins

Nobody voted for Harris in the dem primaries. Seems like lots of dems and Les if dems didn’t vote for her this time either.

Seems like a lot of people who didn’t like trumps first term weren’t exactly fans of the Biden/Harris admin either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341661)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2024 12:59 PM
Author: sealclubber

president trump continues his baseless claims that the 2020 election was stolen

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5630756&forum_id=2/en-en/#48341669)