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2030 electorial map is interesting
Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 8th, 2024 12:12 PM Author: Passionate house https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/how-congressional-maps-could-change-2030
Dem states: CA -4 NY -3 IL -2 OR -1 MN -1 RI -1
Toss ups MI -1 PA -1
GOP TX +4 FL +3 ID +1 UT +1 AZ +1 NC +1 TN +1 SC +1 GA +1
GOP gains 14 EV, Dems lose 12, and toss ups lose 2. On the flipside, some of the southern GOP states may start to move closer to toss ups. |
Date: July 8th, 2024 12:13 PM Author: sickened trailer park doctorate libs moving from NY/CA to southern states, Texas is eventually going to be blue once boomers start dying off (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820252) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:31 PM Author: Passionate house studies/polls have shown that its majority right wing types moving from blue states to red states. so really the blue states lose population but become more blue, which doesnt help in presidential elections, but will help the dems in state elections there. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820331) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:32 PM Author: Flatulent stage depressive this is definitely not the case (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820336) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:34 PM Author: Flatulent stage depressive Texas GOP margin by year:
2020: 5.5%
2016: 9%
2012: 16%
2008: 12%
2004: 23%
2000: 22% |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:35 PM Author: Passionate house thats mexicans. not from cali folk moving there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820351) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:36 PM Author: Flatulent stage depressive Cali people are moving to Austin which has trended even faster.
but even if it's just Mexicans, the GOP is still fucked because they are going to be an outright majority of the state soon. |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:37 PM Author: Passionate house I hope the GOP does get fucked. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820365) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:40 PM Author: Flatulent stage depressive seems pretty certain it's gonna happen, insane that they went from a 16 point margin in 2012 to just 5.5% a mere 8 years later. particularly when you consider that Obama was the nominee in 2012 and presumably had better appeal to minorities. You wouldn't expect such fast trends in a massive state like Texas.
The dem raw vote total went from 3.3 million to 5.25 million in that time. |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:41 PM Author: Passionate house inshallah (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820390) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 1:02 PM Author: Trip ticket booth prole Hey GJR you’re annoying and ugly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820483) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: vermilion insane tanning salon sandwich Yes but the number of majority minority Texas children who turn 18 every two years is much larger than the net influx from other states. There are more Latinos than whites in Texas currently and every year another 250k cohort of mostly white olds dies and another 350k of 70+% nonwhites turn 18. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820408) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:36 PM Author: Razzmatazz bat shit crazy keepsake machete fortuitous meteor Lol @ thinking we're going to have anything that resembles this current form of democracy or elections a generation from now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820355) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:36 PM Author: Flatulent stage depressive wow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820360) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:32 PM Author: Flatulent stage depressive TX almost double NY? I dunno (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820332) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:33 PM Author: Passionate house Texas has 30m now and NY has 20m. That's already 50% more. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820339) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:35 PM Author: Flatulent stage depressive If Trump deports the 15m illegals then Texas is fucked. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820352) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:34 PM Author: Passionate house https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12899729/population-declines-increases-census.html (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820349) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:41 PM Author: cerebral flushed alpha how much of the Texas trends are just it becoming a more urban state. All of its growth is in its big cities and suburbs whereas most of the rural areas are actually losing population. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2/en-en/#47820387) |