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Trump now has 10% lead over Biden on betting markets
Poast new message in this thread
Date: June 16th, 2024 12:23 PM Author: boyish gaped fortuitous meteor Largest of the election cycle so far:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 2:02 PM Author: titillating bbw Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which swing states is he gonna win? I want to believe but it's not in the bag yet. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47751343) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 4:32 PM Author: thriller garrison Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single swing state. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47751664) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 10:12 PM Author: titillating bbw Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Which-party-will-win-Wisconsin-in-the-2024-presidential-election
Barely ahead in Ohio, which should theoretically be in the bag: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8075/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio |
Date: June 16th, 2024 4:33 PM Author: thriller garrison https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
it's even more lopsided with other betting sites. Predictit is actually the most favorable for sleepy joe |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: Sick Hall Voyeur nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47751676) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:13 PM Author: odious cobalt house nowag L'chaim! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752229) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 4:42 PM Author: Glittery mint public bath milk That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combined 11% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47751681) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:08 PM Author: boyish gaped fortuitous meteor Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chance he’ll be physically unable to run before November. Or they swap him out at the convention. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752219) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:09 PM Author: burgundy insane national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752221) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM Author: Glittery mint public bath milk Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that Biden will become unavailable to run sometime between now and Election Day, which conversely lowers Biden’s current odds. As we get closer to Election Day and Biden is still running the Newsome/Harris odds go down and the Biden odds go up. In any case, you have to add the Biden/Harris/Newsome odds together to see what bettors think are the odds that Trump won’t win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752367) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:26 PM Author: Spruce private investor The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very inefficient market
Biden Trump add up to 97 cents |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:55 PM Author: Violet chapel it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47755549) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:18 PM Author: arrogant embarrassed to the bone business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752239) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:35 PM Author: stimulating mauve sneaky criminal nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are always wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752315) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM Author: thriller garrison They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752361) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM Author: stimulating mauve sneaky criminal Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM Author: Gloostick
They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:45 PM Author: sexy state I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752341) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM Author: stimulating mauve sneaky criminal or factoring in Trump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752382) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM Author: Offensive Up-to-no-good People Who Are Hurt Meetinghouse I'm putting my life savings on biden (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47752368) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 2:19 PM Author: boyish gaped fortuitous meteor 11% now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47754167) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 2:24 PM Author: Glittery mint public bath milk Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it’s even closer than it seems since Newsome and Harris are still getting odds which will evaporate as Election Day draws closer. a lot of the recent moves are from cons being influenced by edited video clips that make them believe Biden will have to drop out and won’t be on the ticket on Election Day. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47754176) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:21 PM Author: Sick Hall Voyeur last sentence = cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47754365) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:47 PM Author: Dead forum shitlib "Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue sent to me too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47754469) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:31 PM Author: maniacal hell round eye The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance of winning going into Election Day 2016 (and didn't start to swing Trump's direction until late that night)? And the same markets that gave Trump an 80% chance of winning after Election Night returns in 2020? It seems pretty silly to orgasm over prediction markets, particularly this far from Election Day and particularly when they say the race is either a tossup or a slight advantage to Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47754409) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:45 PM Author: Sick Hall Voyeur the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted by the end of each year from 2017 to 2020. it's like taking candy from a (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47754462) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:59 PM Author: Amber Diverse Stead Mood Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all saw how that went. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47754498) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:50 PM Author: sexy state Fortified (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47755520) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:52 PM Author: Dead forum shitlib 90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stopped counting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47755528) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:53 PM Author: Crusty Underhanded Bawdyhouse Halford Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on an election to be peak Weimar shit How Jewish has this site gotten |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM Author: Violet chapel SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47755557) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM Author: Henna passionate abode weed whacker they have proven to be very accurate in the past (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47755553) |
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Date: August 13th, 2024 1:07 PM Author: Walnut new version Wow! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47961269) |
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Date: August 13th, 2024 1:08 PM Author: navy fear-inspiring temple It's probably more than that now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47961275) |
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Date: August 13th, 2024 1:12 PM Author: Walnut new version Amazing this wasn’t even two months ago (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2/en-en/#47961298) |