Polling was off by 1-3 points against the average in 2016 and 2020
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 18th, 2024 5:46 PM Author: MASE
But seriously Cons. That's not going to happen this time.
Also Harris, sitting at a 2% lead in polling average, would definitely win in the electoral college even if there wasn't a polling error.
Trust me. I'm a lib.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2/en-en/#48105632) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:04 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
why would they have to justify legal behavior?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2/en-en/#48105690) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:06 PM Author: MASE
Wow, only 4-7 points? Looks like Drumpf is dun here!
Let's check and see what the average was for 2016 post-debate btw: https://ibb.co/44PLrQW
Oh okay cool, let's see what the average was for 2020 post-debate: https://ibb.co/6HzkPvR
Okay, now let's look at the average post-debate today: https://ibb.co/j3R0FGR
It's too bad that they completely fixed polling and these numbers are all accurate (which points to a narrow Trump electoral college victory before any adjustments are made)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2/en-en/#48105695) |
Date: September 18th, 2024 6:03 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
1.1% in 2016 actually
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2/en-en/#48105684) |
Date: September 18th, 2024 6:19 PM Author: MASE
Oh look, a new Fox News poll (rated one of the most accurate pollsters). Let's see what it says!
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1836527836238131327
#NEW NATIONAL poll
🔵 Harris: 50% (+2)
🔴 Trump: 48%
Fox | Sept. 13-16 | N=876LV
Uh oh! Harris +2%! Extremely bad news for DRUMPF (Clinton lost the election with a 2.1% popular vote lead). Let's see how this pollster did in 2016 and 2020.
Oct 2016: Clinton +7%
Final Result 2016: Clinton +2.1% (4.9% miss)
Oct 2020: Biden +10%
Final Result 2020: Biden +4.5% (5.5% miss)
Wow. Wow.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2/en-en/#48105749) |
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Date: September 19th, 2024 1:10 PM
Author: ........,,,,,,......,.,.,.,,,,,,,,,,
It is sort of amusing these polls missed by this much, yet they'll still publish a margin of error of 3%.
I get that it's stats but obviously there's more in play with the odds than just sample size
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2/en-en/#48109269) |
Date: September 18th, 2024 6:35 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
You can tell Trumpmos are getting nervous
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2/en-en/#48105810) |
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