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Why isn’t Trump running away with it on PredictIt?

He’s at 56 right now which is basically even money. wt...
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
you are a mentally retarded jewish pedophile and are jewishl...
....,.,.;;;,.,,:,.,.,::,...,..,:,..,..
  06/30/24
too much understandable respect for the dems ability to chea...
sealclubber
  06/30/24
...
peeface
  06/30/24
...
Trump is the Lib Killer
  06/30/24
...
cock of michael obama
  06/30/24
...
group 3 poaster
  06/30/24
...
sex with females makes you weak and pliable
  06/30/24
...
.,..,.,,.,.,..,.,.,.,..,..,..,.,..,,.,.,.,.
  06/30/24
You have to imagine that a majority of the money allocated t...
MASE
  06/30/24
not sure that should suppress Trump’s odds
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
It doesn’t, this is just a betting pool
MASE
  06/30/24
Ok but anyone betting Trump right now basically doubles thei...
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
A majority of people are, but there’s a great opportun...
MASE
  06/30/24
Down to 54 now
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
Because it’s still close even with a corpse running. I...
cowgod
  06/30/24
Because 45% of the voting population will never vote for Tru...
.;........;.;........,.,...
  06/30/24
And 55% will never vote for Biden after the debate
Robert Marley
  06/30/24
The predicted vote % isn’t the probability of victory....
How to derive aut from ism
  06/30/24
r birdshits really this dense? 15% of country is niggas, 20%...
AZNgirl confused whether she can date Vivek Vance
  06/30/24
(mitt romney, pushing for just one more try)
peeface
  06/30/24
They're gonna lock him up
average/ordinary/typical citizen/person
  06/30/24
Down to 55 wtf
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
54 now what is happening???
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
Biden dropping out rumors intensifying
MASE
  06/30/24
Trump odds should be INCREASING then
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
Kamala would be easier for trump to beat but newsom or Micha...
cock of michael obama
  06/30/24
Not according to actual polls I’ve seen. Also there is...
cowgod
  06/30/24
He's at almost double what biden is. That seems about right...
the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)
  06/30/24
Why isn’t he at 80-85% after that disastrous debate?
"''"'"'""'""
  06/30/24
The ignorant masses really believe Biden will drop out and a...
White Privilege Log
  06/30/24
Trump back up to 57 cents after NYT article claiming Biden a...
MASE
  06/30/24
PredictIt is probably not a very efficient market considerin...
Bronus Swagner
  06/30/24
Dems can still easily win with ballot harvesting and control...
Evolved position on genital mutilation of children
  06/30/24


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Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 12:03 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

He’s at 56 right now which is basically even money. wtf?

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794638)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 12:14 PM
Author: ....,.,.;;;,.,,:,.,.,::,...,..,:,..,..


you are a mentally retarded jewish pedophile and are jewishly lying yet again that you don't know it's because dems (not you) cheat in elections now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794676)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 12:04 PM
Author: sealclubber

too much understandable respect for the dems ability to cheat

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794641)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 12:12 PM
Author: peeface



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794666)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:15 PM
Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794882)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:19 PM
Author: cock of michael obama



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794901)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:29 PM
Author: group 3 poaster



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794934)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:43 PM
Author: sex with females makes you weak and pliable



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794975)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 9:26 PM
Author: .,..,.,,.,.,..,.,.,.,..,..,..,.,..,,.,.,.,.




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47796145)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 12:05 PM
Author: MASE

You have to imagine that a majority of the money allocated to potential Biden replacements would be allocated to Trump once it was clear Biden wasn’t going to be replaced

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794645)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:03 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

not sure that should suppress Trump’s odds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794856)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:11 PM
Author: MASE

It doesn’t, this is just a betting pool

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794873)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:14 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Ok but anyone betting Trump right now basically doubles their money. Why aren’t more people taking that bet?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794880)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:16 PM
Author: MASE

A majority of people are, but there’s a great opportunity to hyper gamble rn

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794888)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 4:00 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Down to 54 now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795368)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:12 PM
Author: cowgod (cowgod180@hotmail.com)

Because it’s still close even with a corpse running. If they steal it they’ll win

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794875)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:22 PM
Author: .;........;.;........,.,...


Because 45% of the voting population will never vote for Trump. He has a ceiling so his chances to win will never cross 60%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794908)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:27 PM
Author: Robert Marley

And 55% will never vote for Biden after the debate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794929)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 9:27 PM
Author: How to derive aut from ism

The predicted vote % isn’t the probability of victory. In theory, you could be 99% certain that Trump will get 51%, in which case it would be a sure bet, despite the narrow margin

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47796148)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:31 PM
Author: AZNgirl confused whether she can date Vivek Vance

r birdshits really this dense? 15% of country is niggas, 20% beaners, shitlib single women who want to abort their babies is like another 20% at least

trump is like hitler to them, u already forget

this is why its lolzy trump controls the GOP, literally if they just ran anyone else they wld get 10% more vote share, like that tall birdshit VA gov who is a certifiable HANDSOME

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794938)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:42 PM
Author: peeface

(mitt romney, pushing for just one more try)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794971)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 1:43 PM
Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person

They're gonna lock him up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47794977)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 2:47 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Down to 55 wtf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795207)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 3:59 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

54 now what is happening???

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795367)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 4:02 PM
Author: MASE

Biden dropping out rumors intensifying

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795369)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 4:15 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Trump odds should be INCREASING then

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795384)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 4:20 PM
Author: cock of michael obama

Kamala would be easier for trump to beat but newsom or Michael harder

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795398)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 9:31 PM
Author: cowgod (cowgod180@hotmail.com)

Not according to actual polls I’ve seen. Also there is a goddamn unwritten rule against having a white male Gen Xer run anything. It’d be like having a female CEO in 1988 or something.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47796155)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 4:19 PM
Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)

He's at almost double what biden is. That seems about right.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795395)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 4:29 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Why isn’t he at 80-85% after that disastrous debate?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47795415)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 9:17 PM
Author: White Privilege Log

The ignorant masses really believe Biden will drop out and are pricing in the possibility of some magic young Dem stepping up to Trump and winning in November. Predictit reflects the consensus wisdom of morons when it comes to election prognostication.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47796117)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 9:21 PM
Author: MASE

Trump back up to 57 cents after NYT article claiming Biden ain’t dropping out released

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47796129)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 9:27 PM
Author: Bronus Swagner

PredictIt is probably not a very efficient market considering their low exposure cap (I think $850 per market), ridiculous 5% withdrawal fee, tendency to crash repeatedly on election night and the possibility that the CFTC will shut them down

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47796146)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 30th, 2024 9:28 PM
Author: Evolved position on genital mutilation of children

Dems can still easily win with ballot harvesting and controlling the rules for how the count occurs.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5548057&forum_id=2#47796150)