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Wait a sec, how can Talarico be up to 82% on PolyMkt when Paxton's gonna win??
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:26 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-winner
This should be illegal!! |
Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:27 PM Author: .,..,,,.,,,,,.,,.,, Maybe something to do with rando Republican suburbs racking up more total votes than Dallas today? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227534) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:28 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband idk what you mean, but that sounds like it should be illegal too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227542) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:30 PM Author: ferengi i still think Talarico will win, but the answer is, prediction markets are a combination of people guessing and people trying to manipulate public opinion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227545) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:31 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband Aren't the participants trying to get money by being right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227549) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:32 PM Author: ferengi some of them are. but think about it, if you were insanely rich and stood to benefit financially from a certain candidate winning, and you could pour a tiny tiny tiny fraction of your net worth into the candidate on the prediction markets to make them appear more popular, why wouldn't you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227559) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:34 PM Author: .,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,. and...to what end? Somehow influence potential voters? ljl nobody cares about prediction markets other than nerds. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227565) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:36 PM Author: ferengi yes, influence public opinion. MSM is always talking about prediction market odds as if they mean something about the actual chances; they're paid to do so. some independent journalists too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227569) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:37 PM Author: ohnoes (🧐) retards retweeting other retards is far more influential in public discourse these days than the "MSM", and retards LOVE to give retarded updates on the latest 0.3% swing in prediction markets (see also: 78% of all pumo activity today) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227578) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:40 PM Author: ferengi that too!! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227592) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:36 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband It'd be an interesting question, but for the small amounts on PolyMarket, I'd have to imagine that it'd be more valuable than "advertising," for example, but idk. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227573) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:38 PM Author: Historical American I just bet big on Paxton taking qs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227581) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:38 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband Fuck, Tally is now down to 79%. STOP DOING THAT!! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227583) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:40 PM Author: Historical American It's 100% Paxton my friend. Free money. I just bet the farm. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227593) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:40 PM Author: ferengi exactly. we already know these people are pouring money into positive ads, attack ads, paid influencers, etc.; it's naive to think some of it isn't going into the prediction markets to pad the numbers a little bit and make candidates look more popular. this is GENERALLY probably done more on the Republican side bc their policies are EVEN more favorable to richmos but not enough to assume the bias would go that way in any given race (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227590) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:40 PM Author: Historical American I voted for Talarico because EPAH and Nick Fuentes told me to. I bet on Paxton because it was a free cash giveaway. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227596) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:42 PM Author: ferengi see: "paid influencers" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227603) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:43 PM Author: UN peacekeeper Jfc Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:30 PM Author: ferengi
i still think Talarico will win, but the answer is, prediction markets are a combination of people guessing and people trying to manipulate public opinion
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227545 |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:44 PM Author: ferengi if you were very rich and evil and stood to benefit financially from a certain candidate winning, and you could pour a fraction of your net worth into the candidate on the prediction markets to make them appear more popular to people stupid enough to care about prediction market odds, why wouldn't you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227609) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:58 PM Author: UN peacekeeper Granted for argument's sake. It’s your tuckerlike affinity for conspiracy theories and axis disinformation (iran does not target civilians). The old horseshoe i guess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227652) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 7:03 PM Author: ferengi it's stupid to automatically doubt everything i say just because you think i got some other thing/things wrong. maybe i missed something, what civilian attacks are you thinking of? are you counting the Iranian proxies like Hezbollah and Ansar Allah as "Iran"? and obviously the Hormuz stuff isn't "military" per se but they announced they were closing the strait; it's not the same as like randomly attacking schools and hospitals and infrastructure (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227660) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 6:39 PM Author: Metal Up Your Ass Trump was like -660 at one point in 2020, so you have to make sure no water mains break. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227587) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 7:05 PM Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. I believe “unconstitutional” is the word you’re looking for (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918013&forum_id=2#50227665) |