\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Airdrop

Iran has lost control of the Strait of Hormuz? - link

https://x.com/gbrew24/status/2104654420642553862 If so, w...
irradiated hall
  09/28/26
how many times have they claimed this
vivacious violent corner
  09/28/26
Both the re-tweeter and original tweeter seem to be private ...
irradiated hall
  09/28/26
isnt tanker traffic shown publicly, seems u cld verify shitz...
vivacious violent corner
  09/28/26
Iran thought negotiations were making progress so stopped sh...
honey-headed dashing field masturbator
  09/28/26
opps, im sure trump thought this thru and has a long term pl...
vivacious violent corner
  09/28/26
Wait two weeks
bateful flirting laser beams principal's office
  09/28/26
This is the key paragraph of the article, imo - the "so...
irradiated hall
  09/28/26
his headline is that Iran Has Lost Control of the Straight ...
scarlet patrolman
  09/28/26
Yeah, the price of oil is clearly the best way to keep score...
irradiated hall
  09/28/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 3:52 PM
Author: irradiated hall

https://x.com/gbrew24/status/2104654420642553862

If so, why are oil prices so high?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159171)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 3:54 PM
Author: vivacious violent corner

how many times have they claimed this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159176)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 3:56 PM
Author: irradiated hall

Both the re-tweeter and original tweeter seem to be private analysts. Doesn't make it correct, but I can't dismiss it outright, like I would if it was Trump admin spin.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159186)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 4:01 PM
Author: vivacious violent corner

isnt tanker traffic shown publicly, seems u cld verify shitz with radar and nigga shit and stuff

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159196)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 4:01 PM
Author: honey-headed dashing field masturbator

Iran thought negotiations were making progress so stopped shooting at things for a bit. Then Trump opened his stupid mouth again and they have since again blasted another two dozen ships and resumed the closure. Nothing is open AGAIN. Trump is a clown.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159197)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 4:02 PM
Author: vivacious violent corner

opps, im sure trump thought this thru and has a long term plan

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159200)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 4:03 PM
Author: bateful flirting laser beams principal's office

Wait two weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159204)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 4:04 PM
Author: irradiated hall

This is the key paragraph of the article, imo - the "solution" to the blockade is one which costs 30 bucks a barrel to implement:

As importantly, ADNOC has overcapacity for the trade. That means it can provide the Shuttle service for Iraq too, of course at a nice fee. How much? At this point, it costs about $212 per metric tonne, or roughly $28-30/bbl depending on the grade, to ship crude out of the Persian trap.

- end quote -

So they do seem to have a "solution" for now at the $100/barrel range, which I suppose is better than $150/barrel, but still very far from normal prices.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159206)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 4:12 PM
Author: scarlet patrolman

his headline is that Iran Has Lost Control of the Straight

but then posts a chart showing that, at least at one snapshot time, they are able to bypass the Straight which continues to be operating well below normal levels

there are also a lot of claims that what is moving is moving on Russian and Chinese ships, though not sure how solid these are



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159227)



Reply

Date: September 28th, 2026 4:20 PM
Author: irradiated hall

Yeah, the price of oil is clearly the best way to keep score on this issue. Brent is $105/barrel atm. Not apocalyptic, but still pretty bad.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5907536&forum_id=2#50159236)