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Why is Nate Silver afraid to say Trump will win
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:21 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262557) |
Date: October 31st, 2024 10:23 AM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) nate silver is an autistic math dork. he doesn't "care" about the election, he cares about numbers. people thinking he has bias one way or the other are dumb. he's a robot analyzing numbers. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262564) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:26 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., Are you sure he more or less says he can't stand Trump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262577) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:29 AM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) that's why i put care in quotes. sure, he might care about it personally, but his analysis is just numbers and his methodology is open and transparent. idk why people get so maf about him being biased (on both sides) when he's just putting polling data into a statistical model and publishing the results.
also he was like the only guy who gave trump a chance in 2016 and was lambasted by the left for it. and he's lambasted today for "favoring" trump. if anything more people would say he has a pro-trump bias. |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:25 AM Author: .......................................... because he's a statistician not a sports radio MC (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262575) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:27 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., He seems to be hedging a lot while there are some obvious signs. He also hinted that he was going to trash Biden if some trend holds (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262582) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:28 AM Author: MASE He's an engagement bait pro. He likes to post bullish Harris stuff whenever Trump has momentum and bullish Trump stuff whenever Harris has momentum. Makes people MAF at him but his subscriptions are through the roof. God bless capitalism (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262590) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:34 AM Author: .,.,...,..,.,.,:,,:,.,.,:::,...,:,...:..:.,:.::,. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262623) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:34 AM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad Most of these substack / online personas know what they're doing to make money. Some are within reason, others are manipulative.
Only a handful like Taibbi/Kirn are sincere at not playing this game, they're beyond it. |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:41 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., Then he is like a sports radio MC (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262687) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 1:46 PM Author: Wallace and Solace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48263727) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:29 AM Author: .,.,.,....., he's a turbo lib, furious at biden for staying too long
but his schtick is "i dont predict winners, i generate possible outcomes. a 1% possible outcome could win" |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:32 AM Author: ceci n'est pas un avocat Which is true and which, again, raises the question of what tf is the point of his existence (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262609) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:36 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., It's pretty gay IMO, the whole I may be very angry at Biden soon - tell you why then! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262646) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:38 AM Author: .,.,.,....., tbf he has said why all along.
he was calling for biden to drop out with increasing hysteria all summer and obv feels he waited too long and never should have come to that.
i suspect he also feels biden hasnt done anything to help kamala.
that will be the entirety of this tantrum, when he poasts it |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:34 AM Author: .,.,...,..,.,.,:,,:,.,.,:::,...,:,...:..:.,:.::,. He's not in the business you think he's in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262627) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:40 AM Author: .,.,.,....., twist: neither are presidential candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262677) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:42 AM Author: ceci n'est pas un avocat (confused security guard @ path terminal) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262689) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 10:37 AM Author: LathamTouchedMe He believes in his model which puts the election at 50-50. When he pressed he said last week that his gut says trump but then he backtracked and said you shouldn’t trust anyone who says their gut tells them who’s going to win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48262654) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 1:41 PM Author: Epistemic Humility That’s not a back track. Hes just another bozo on the bus. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48263692) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 1:40 PM Author: Epistemic Humility That’s not what he does. And he’s said his gut says Trump wins. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5621708&forum_id=2#48263686) |