\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

DEMS winning Election Day turnout in Nevada for the first time

lol GOO shot their load early. Drubbing coming Trumpmos.
"""'""""''
  11/05/24
...
gibberish (?)
  11/05/24
Link?
Johnsmeyer
  11/05/24
https://x.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1853839241869930945
..........................................
  11/05/24
*in Clark County *without knowing who independents are voti...
Donald MASE Trump
  11/05/24
Weird that you you keep falling back on PA EV data when you ...
..........................................
  11/05/24
Indies break for Trump. Sorry :(
Donald MASE Trump
  11/05/24
Just like Trump wins ED...
...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,
  11/05/24
Ur so done here
"""'""""''
  11/05/24
The indie numbers are crazzzzyyyyyyy
:;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;
  11/05/24
Clark County is 75% of the population lol
Florida Surgeon General Joseph A. Ladapo
  11/05/24
When you let incels run your campaign you shoot your wad ear...
Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second
  11/05/24
If the GOP maintained a lead it would indicate a massacre. ...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24
But-but...Swann Marcus told me Kamala's GOT THIS!
Donald MASE Trump
  11/05/24
He's no Peoples Pundit
...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,
  11/05/24
Also the Dem "lead" is 6154 to 6025, or 129 votes,...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24
100% going to be a ballot dump
Johnsmeyer
  11/05/24
...
trumpslide
  11/05/24
When was the last time you lost legitimately? You all are...
Trump: Aborted in the first term
  11/05/24
RUH ROH RIBS? https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1853884676777...
Donald MASE Trump
  11/05/24
very clear GOP cannibalized their E-Day vote with early retu...
"""'""""''
  11/05/24
that guy is the king of cope
richard clock
  11/05/24
He's either trying to mislead or doesn't understand data (re...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24
Clark still has mail + drop off ballots to count. Those wil...
...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,
  11/05/24
There were like 10k Clark mail ballots over the weekend (in ...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24
he is trying to mislead, thats been his schtick the entire t...
richard clock
  11/05/24
Exactly. As of the 10am update in both cycles, the net gain...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24
Betting markets think Trump has NV + AZ. I think they are ri...
,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................
  11/05/24
Trump is underpriced in NV. He will gain >10k statewide ...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:48 AM
Author: """'""""''

lol GOO shot their load early. Drubbing coming Trumpmos.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286374)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:48 AM
Author: gibberish (?)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286378)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:48 AM
Author: Johnsmeyer

Link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286377)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:50 AM
Author: ..........................................


https://x.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1853839241869930945

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286398)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:52 AM
Author: Donald MASE Trump

*in Clark County

*without knowing who independents are voting for

*while R's have a 40k EV lead

Tick tock libs :)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286410)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:53 AM
Author: ..........................................


Weird that you you keep falling back on PA EV data when you know your second bullet is valid

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286414)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:55 AM
Author: Donald MASE Trump

Indies break for Trump. Sorry :(

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286424)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:55 AM
Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,


Just like Trump wins ED...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286427)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:56 AM
Author: """'""""''

Ur so done here

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286430)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:57 AM
Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:;

The indie numbers are crazzzzyyyyyyy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286449)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 2:44 PM
Author: Florida Surgeon General Joseph A. Ladapo

Clark County is 75% of the population lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48287812)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:54 AM
Author: Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second

When you let incels run your campaign you shoot your wad early.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286419)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:56 AM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


If the GOP maintained a lead it would indicate a massacre. Because of EV they have fewer remaining Clark County voters relative to the Dems (unlike past elections), so Dems should win today.

Dems have to overcome a 40k statewide deficit. They will gain from Clark ED and more Clark mail (though last night's mail was super weak), lose from rural ED, and who knows re Washoe. And then there's the issue of the unaffiliateds...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286438)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:57 AM
Author: Donald MASE Trump

But-but...Swann Marcus told me Kamala's GOT THIS!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286444)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 11:59 AM
Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,


He's no Peoples Pundit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286455)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 12:11 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


Also the Dem "lead" is 6154 to 6025, or 129 votes, as of 8:30am local. Dems picked up a net of like 2k from last night's mail drop. The EDay trend is going against the GOP but will it reach something meaningful like 10k net for the Dems? Seems unlikely.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286546)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 12:12 PM
Author: Johnsmeyer

100% going to be a ballot dump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48286561)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 2:01 PM
Author: trumpslide



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48287416)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:18 PM
Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term

When was the last time you lost legitimately?

You all are such tough guys, but routinely get run over by weak bitches. Why is that?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288090)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 2:42 PM
Author: Donald MASE Trump

RUH ROH RIBS?

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1853884676777410693

🚨 JUST IN: Nevada Republicans have now expanded on their lead WITH mail and Election Day voting

GOP lead: +47,171

🔴 REP: 433,339 (37.8%)

🔵 DEM: 386,168 (33.7%)

⚪️ OTH: 320,389 (28%)

Data:

@birenbomb

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48287791)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 2:45 PM
Author: """'""""''

very clear GOP cannibalized their E-Day vote with early returns.

https://x.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1853880795238109423

the last mail ballots to come in will swamp the tiny pink GOP lead

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48287823)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:15 PM
Author: richard clock

that guy is the king of cope

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288072)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:21 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


He's either trying to mislead or doesn't understand data (referring to the Arkansas guy). The Dem lead in Clark has given them a whopping 1.5k net votes over the GOP as of noon, i.e. 5/12 of the day. Let's be optimistic and say it grows to 5k when polls close; that's not doing shit to a 40k statewide lead, which will grow from the total EDay votes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288107)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:22 PM
Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,


Clark still has mail + drop off ballots to count. Those will go heavy D.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288115)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:28 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


There were like 10k Clark mail ballots over the weekend (in sharp contrast to past cycles) which gave the Dems about 2k net. Ralston projected the total returned would be 80k-140k before last night's weak drop, so presumably the remaining mail will be at the low end of that range, if not much less.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288170)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:23 PM
Author: richard clock

he is trying to mislead, thats been his schtick the entire time.

what he is missing is that statewide, gop lead has INCREASED. clark trickling a few votes to the D side is not nearly enough. they will need a huge phantom mail drop to show up.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288123)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:26 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


Exactly. As of the 10am update in both cycles, the net gain for GOP was 6k in 2020 (while facing a 47k deficit) vs. 4k in 2024 (with a 40k lead). The GOP had around a 16k lead from all EDay voting in 2020 and probably will get to 10k this year. That's not nearly the GOP cannibalization that the Dems need.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288156)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 2:47 PM
Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................


Betting markets think Trump has NV + AZ. I think they are right.

Dem optimism should be based on their turnout east of the Mississippi - Western Latinos going for Trump seems to give him NV/AZ.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48287847)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:13 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


Trump is underpriced in NV. He will gain >10k statewide on EDay to pad his 40k lead. No indications that Dems will have enough mail to overcome.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2#48288063)