https://x.com/andrewfeinberg/status/1837265513556365745?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598769&forum_id=2#48114621)

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POLITICS

Vulnerable Sen Tammy Baldwin loses ground to GOP candidate in Wisconsin, consecutive polls show

Eric Hovde is looking to unseat the longtime Senate Democrat

By Julia Johnson

Published September 19, 2024 5:33pm EDT

Several newly released polls have illustrated a tightening Senate race in Wisconsin, where Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis., is fighting for her seat in a state that could very likely swing for former President Trump in the presidential race.

Likely voters in Wisconsin split 51% for Baldwin and 48% for Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde in a new Marist poll on Thursday. A new Quinnipiac poll similarly showed the Democrat leading Hovde by only a few points, 51% to 47%, and an AARP poll showed Baldwin at 50% and the Republican candidate at 47%, with 3% undecided.

In the AARP's survey of voters over 50, Hovde managed to take the lead from Baldwin, beating her 50% to 49%.

SCHUMER COINS 'TRUMP SHUTDOWN,' SLAMMING GOP AMID SPENDING FIGHT

Tammy Baldwin, Eric Hovde split

Tammy Baldwin and Eric Hovde will face off in the election in November. (Getty Images)

As days dwindle down to the general election, with less than seven weeks to go, Hovde has continued to increase his name identification, and voters have increasingly started to lock in on their chosen candidates. The latest polls have subsequently demonstrated a close race for Baldwin's Senate seat, despite her status as an incumbent.

In prior polling from May by Quinnipiac, Hovde posted 42% to Baldwin's 54%, with a double-digit gap between the two. By early August, he had climbed to 44% to the incumbent Democrat's 51%, per a New York Times/ Siena College poll. The latest data continue this trend as Hovde appears to gain ground among Wisconsin voters.

The Senate race is considered "lean Democrat" by top political handicapper the Cook Political Report, despite the shrinking gap.

The close polling from three different organizations also comes as Baldwin faces increased scrutiny over her yearslong relationship with a private wealth adviser at Morgan Stanley, Maria Brisbane. She isn't bound by Senate rules to disclose any information regarding Brisbane's clients or finances because the two are not married.

Hovde and groups backing the Republican have pointed to Baldwin's partner's position as a potential conflict of interest and called for it to be investigated. Baldwin was prompted to release her own ad, slamming the charges as "complete lie(s)."

Notably, Wisconsin is a toss-up state in the Fox News Power Rankings forecast of the presidential election, giving neither Trump nor Vice President Kamala Harris a particular edge in the battle. This holds weight in the Senate race, too, as split-ticket voting becomes increasingly rare.

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Eric Hovde

Hovde is backed by former President Trump. (John Hart/Wisconsin State Journal via AP, file)

"Wisconsin is often a pivotal state in the Electoral College count," said Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, whose new poll showed Harris at 50% and Trump at 49%. "2024 is no exception and is shaping up to be a tight contest."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598769&forum_id=2#48114652)

https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-us-senate-election-winner?tid=1726874816350

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598769&forum_id=2#48114672)

Veddy similar.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598769&forum_id=2#48115112)

Ljl.

No refunds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598769&forum_id=2#48115122)

@JournalistJG

·

2h

Full house. I wish the media would do crowd size reporting. I think this is at least 15-20k. Compared to Trump in Nassau Coliseum; less than one third full, probably 5k max.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598769&forum_id=2#48115446)