An actual Iran INVASION is highly unlikely - would take 500K troops or so
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Date: May 15th, 2019 5:25 PM Author: Beady-eyed Sanctuary
an actual ground invasion of iran would be a major national project that would probably have to accept the loss of a few dozen planes along with several ships either sunk or damaged, and probably c. 3-4K deaths just to secure the coastline and the coastal missile sites.
there is no national will for something like this, and thus, it probably won't happen.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4262353&forum_id=2#38239754) |
Date: May 15th, 2019 6:06 PM Author: Supple cruise ship
What if missile salvo from Iran destroys a lot of oil tankers?
What if the US troops in Syria and Iraq are attacked by proxies?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4262353&forum_id=2#38239932) |
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Date: May 15th, 2019 6:08 PM Author: Beady-eyed Sanctuary
it's built into the war calculations, i would presume. an actual serious war with iran would probably lead to collateral wars in lebanon, iraq, and parts of syria. soft targets like gulf shipping and eastern saudi pipelines/oil facilities would get smashed up.
on the upside, $250/barrel oil benefits the remaining oil producers, including the US, canada, russia, etc. it will also clear up a lot of unnecessary traffic on american roads, making driving more pleasant.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4262353&forum_id=2#38239950) |
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Date: May 15th, 2019 6:18 PM Author: Supple cruise ship
KSA is a big supporter of war on Iran.
Does every scenario call for an invasion of Iran to reach Tehran?
Are there limited scenarios in which thousands of ground troops would need to do fighting?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4262353&forum_id=2#38240004) |
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Date: May 15th, 2019 6:25 PM Author: Beady-eyed Sanctuary
aerial bombing is good at taking out large fixed defensive positions and highly-visible targets like tanks and vehicles. the problem with iran is that its terrain is a goddamned mess:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/b5/Iran_Topography.png
compare that to the vast flatlands of iraq.
iran has an unknown number of small, portable anti-armor weapons like the russian kornet, which means that US vehicle/tank movements into iran are going to get lit up for a while by small, mobile groups of assailants using the mountains for coverage.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4262353&forum_id=2#38240064) |
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