The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/10/15 |
| honey-headed useless brakes | 12/12/15 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 01/02/17 |
| Dull Immigrant | 01/06/16 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 01/06/16 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 06/05/16 |
| Curious iridescent love of her life | 03/26/16 |
| Aphrodisiac filthpig area | 01/02/17 |
| Tripping amethyst main people marketing idea | 10/25/18 |
| Very tactful cruise ship | 12/10/15 |
| flushed sound barrier | 12/10/15 |
| Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness | 12/10/15 |
| gaped church | 12/10/15 |
| Appetizing glassy trailer park | 12/15/15 |
| purple swashbuckling stain wagecucks | 12/10/15 |
| bistre alcoholic den partner | 12/10/15 |
| lilac newt son of senegal | 12/10/15 |
| stimulating volcanic crater | 12/11/15 |
| Exciting bronze university windowlicker | 12/12/15 |
| Smoky French Chef Lay | 12/16/15 |
| Haunting Swollen Office Bbw | 01/04/16 |
| copper nubile fat ankles | 11/09/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/11/15 |
| dashing ultramarine black woman jap | 12/11/15 |
| Razzmatazz national | 12/11/15 |
| stimulating volcanic crater | 12/11/15 |
| thriller elite water buffalo | 12/12/15 |
| harsh parlor | 01/25/16 |
| Drab marvelous liquid oxygen | 11/10/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/12/15 |
| salmon flatulent striped hyena | 12/12/15 |
| pearly giraffe | 12/12/15 |
| contagious indirect expression hunting ground | 12/12/15 |
| Soggy garnet space regret | 12/15/15 |
| Ocher Fortuitous Meteor | 12/21/15 |
| Slap-happy Flesh Round Eye Famous Landscape Painting | 12/12/15 |
| misanthropic spruce pisswyrm | 12/12/15 |
| 180 fuchsia hairy legs | 12/12/15 |
| opaque sick hell | 12/12/15 |
| splenetic trump supporter | 12/12/15 |
| carmine abnormal locus | 12/12/15 |
| bistre alcoholic den partner | 12/15/15 |
| bistre alcoholic den partner | 12/16/15 |
| thirsty shrine | 12/15/15 |
| Topaz blood rage | 12/15/15 |
| mauve flickering stage | 12/15/15 |
| Outnumbered casino circlehead | 12/15/15 |
| Soul-stirring Turquoise Hospital People Who Are Hurt | 12/15/15 |
| provocative sienna doctorate | 12/15/15 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/15/15 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/15/15 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/15/15 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/15/15 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 12/15/15 |
| trip at-the-ready roommate | 01/05/16 |
| harsh parlor | 01/25/16 |
| burgundy heaven gaping | 12/17/16 |
| irate plum stag film | 05/18/16 |
| bossy passionate goyim | 08/12/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/09/16 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 11/09/16 |
| White theatre philosopher-king | 11/09/16 |
| beady-eyed milk | 10/22/20 |
| irradiated magical state lettuce | 12/15/15 |
| Multi-colored Hall | 12/16/15 |
| Slate High-end Toilet Seat | 12/16/15 |
| Frozen Spectacular Laser Beams Rehab | 12/16/15 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 12/16/15 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 12/17/15 |
| Galvanic address cuckold | 12/18/15 |
| Dull Immigrant | 01/06/16 |
| Lemon Boistinker | 12/18/15 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 12/21/15 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 12/21/15 |
| Ocher Fortuitous Meteor | 12/21/15 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 12/30/15 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 12/30/15 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 01/04/16 |
| Haunting Swollen Office Bbw | 01/04/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 01/05/16 |
| harsh parlor | 01/25/16 |
| Galvanic address cuckold | 01/05/16 |
| lime international law enforcement agency | 01/05/16 |
| Mustard territorial library gunner | 01/05/16 |
| Supple Navy Base | 01/05/16 |
| Anal chapel | 01/05/16 |
| Supple Navy Base | 01/05/16 |
| Dull Immigrant | 01/06/16 |
| Supple Navy Base | 01/06/16 |
| Anal chapel | 01/05/16 |
| bossy passionate goyim | 01/06/16 |
| Ocher Fortuitous Meteor | 01/07/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 01/08/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 01/08/16 |
| Ocher Fortuitous Meteor | 01/08/16 |
| Galvanic address cuckold | 01/09/16 |
| Ocher Fortuitous Meteor | 01/10/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 01/18/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 01/19/16 |
| Galvanic address cuckold | 01/21/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 01/25/16 |
| stubborn site yarmulke | 01/25/16 |
| harsh parlor | 01/25/16 |
| stubborn site yarmulke | 02/09/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 09/06/16 |
| Dull Immigrant | 11/05/18 |
| Sticky gas station | 01/29/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 02/01/16 |
| Silver senate | 02/01/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 02/01/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 02/07/16 |
| lime international law enforcement agency | 02/09/16 |
| histrionic rusted indian lodge | 02/09/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 02/20/16 |
| shaky legend clown | 02/20/16 |
| irate plum stag film | 02/24/16 |
| Cordovan Sinister Bawdyhouse | 02/24/16 |
| Odious twinkling tank friendly grandma | 02/27/16 |
| thirsty shrine | 03/09/16 |
| red turdskin death wish | 03/15/16 |
| Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness | 03/15/16 |
| Topaz blood rage | 03/16/16 |
| Vivacious indecent place of business range | 02/24/16 |
| Aggressive Lascivious Athletic Conference | 02/24/16 |
| Topaz blood rage | 07/21/16 |
| vermilion theater stage fanboi | 02/24/16 |
| Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness | 02/27/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/02/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/04/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/09/16 |
| lime international law enforcement agency | 03/09/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/15/16 |
| irate plum stag film | 03/15/16 |
| Fantasy-prone startling mad cow disease roast beef | 03/15/16 |
| Light dingle berry brunch | 03/15/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/16/16 |
| bistre alcoholic den partner | 03/16/16 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 03/23/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/23/16 |
| 180 fuchsia hairy legs | 03/26/16 |
| slippery headpube resort | 03/26/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/26/16 |
| trip at-the-ready roommate | 03/28/16 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 03/28/16 |
| flushed sound barrier | 03/28/16 |
| bossy passionate goyim | 08/12/16 |
| Dull Immigrant | 11/05/18 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/28/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/29/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 03/29/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 03/29/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/29/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/29/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 04/01/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 04/04/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 04/15/16 |
| Cerebral Cuck Elastic Band | 04/15/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 04/19/16 |
| arousing offensive box office rigor | 04/20/16 |
| Talented pit tattoo | 04/20/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 04/24/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 04/25/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 04/26/16 |
| Charcoal Field Alpha | 04/26/16 |
| Peach Pozpig | 04/30/16 |
| Self-absorbed mood | 05/01/16 |
| Self-absorbed mood | 11/07/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/02/16 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 05/02/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/03/16 |
| Bipolar cracking church building | 05/03/16 |
| glittery ivory mother | 05/03/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/04/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 05/04/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/05/16 |
| opaque sick hell | 05/05/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 05/05/16 |
| Aggressive Lascivious Athletic Conference | 05/05/16 |
| salmon flatulent striped hyena | 05/18/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/18/16 |
| irate plum stag film | 05/18/16 |
| salmon flatulent striped hyena | 05/18/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 05/29/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 06/20/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 06/29/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 07/14/16 |
| electric location kitty | 07/15/16 |
| bossy passionate goyim | 07/15/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 07/17/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 07/17/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 07/21/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 07/22/16 |
| Bearded Primrose Station Karate | 07/22/16 |
| Rose dog poop whorehouse | 07/23/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 07/24/16 |
| razzle sickened step-uncle's house coffee pot | 07/25/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 07/25/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 07/27/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 08/05/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 08/09/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 08/12/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 08/12/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 08/12/16 |
| comical sepia principal's office | 08/12/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 08/30/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 08/30/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 09/06/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 09/13/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 09/14/16 |
| Slap-happy Flesh Round Eye Famous Landscape Painting | 09/14/16 |
| pearl diverse dilemma | 09/15/16 |
| hairless sanctuary | 09/15/16 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 09/15/16 |
| Bat-shit-crazy business firm | 09/15/16 |
| Fragrant private investor | 09/15/16 |
| claret disturbing temple coldplay fan | 09/19/16 |
| claret disturbing temple coldplay fan | 09/19/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 09/27/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 09/24/16 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 09/27/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 09/27/16 |
| bistre alcoholic den partner | 09/27/16 |
| gold menage factory reset button | 10/08/16 |
| Exhilarant Hilarious National Security Agency Locale | 07/29/24 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 09/28/16 |
| Slap-happy Flesh Round Eye Famous Landscape Painting | 09/28/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 09/28/16 |
| Talented pit tattoo | 09/28/16 |
| Cerebral Cuck Elastic Band | 09/28/16 |
| Disrespectful school foreskin | 10/08/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 10/09/16 |
| Yellow wrinkle gay wizard | 10/09/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 10/09/16 |
| Ruby Apoplectic School Cafeteria Stock Car | 10/09/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 10/10/16 |
| razzle sickened step-uncle's house coffee pot | 10/30/16 |
| bossy passionate goyim | 11/01/16 |
| Bat-shit-crazy business firm | 11/01/16 |
| Bright Laughsome Ladyboy Ape | 11/02/16 |
| Outnumbered casino circlehead | 11/02/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 11/07/16 |
| zombie-like lake stead nowag | 11/08/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 11/08/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/08/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 11/08/16 |
| khaki prole crackhouse | 11/08/16 |
| Ebony Adventurous Lodge | 11/08/16 |
| Silver senate | 11/08/16 |
| claret disturbing temple coldplay fan | 11/08/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/08/16 |
| Titillating Aquamarine Keepsake Machete | 11/09/16 |
| pearl diverse dilemma | 11/09/16 |
| Concupiscible maize associate center | 11/09/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/09/16 |
| Bat-shit-crazy business firm | 11/09/16 |
| Titillating Aquamarine Keepsake Machete | 11/09/16 |
| razzle sickened step-uncle's house coffee pot | 11/09/16 |
| opaque sick hell | 11/09/16 |
| orange psychic sex offender | 12/03/16 |
| Drab marvelous liquid oxygen | 12/07/16 |
| burgundy heaven gaping | 12/17/16 |
| coiffed azn | 10/11/24 |
| boyish halford forum | 11/09/16 |
| Insane Wonderful Meetinghouse | 11/09/16 |
| vigorous nursing home | 11/09/16 |
| mahogany juggernaut weed whacker | 11/09/16 |
| orange psychic sex offender | 11/09/16 |
| bossy passionate goyim | 11/09/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/09/16 |
| salmon flatulent striped hyena | 11/09/16 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 11/09/16 |
| Well-lubricated Metal Boiling Water Property | 11/09/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/09/16 |
| charismatic market | 11/09/16 |
| Emerald theater queen of the night | 11/09/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/09/16 |
| gaped church | 11/09/16 |
| Lemon Boistinker | 11/10/16 |
| stubborn site yarmulke | 11/10/16 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 11/10/16 |
| Motley quadroon | 11/10/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/10/16 |
| razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part | 11/10/16 |
| shaky legend clown | 11/10/16 |
| claret disturbing temple coldplay fan | 11/14/16 |
| Crimson floppy faggotry | 11/14/16 |
| Orchid vibrant kitchen mental disorder | 12/04/16 |
| burgundy heaven gaping | 12/17/16 |
| coiffed azn | 10/11/24 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/25/16 |
| Bateful Rough-skinned Native | 12/03/16 |
| Ruby Apoplectic School Cafeteria Stock Car | 12/04/16 |
| heady grizzly stage new version | 12/07/16 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 12/07/16 |
| Bateful Rough-skinned Native | 12/07/16 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 01/02/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/02/17 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 01/02/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/02/17 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 03/03/20 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 01/02/17 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 01/16/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/20/17 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 01/20/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/23/17 |
| Disrespectful school foreskin | 01/23/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/23/17 |
| low-t gaming laptop | 01/23/17 |
| Disrespectful school foreskin | 01/23/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/23/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/25/17 |
| Excitant Set | 01/26/17 |
| Excitant Set | 02/06/17 |
| Excitant Set | 02/13/17 |
| Excitant Set | 02/27/17 |
| Excitant Set | 05/03/17 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/03/17 |
| Excitant Set | 09/21/17 |
| Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness | 01/23/17 |
| Bat-shit-crazy business firm | 02/27/17 |
| Dull Immigrant | 03/22/17 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 04/17/17 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/08/17 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 06/20/17 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 08/10/17 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 10/15/17 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 10/15/17 |
| Embarrassed to the bone corner jew | 10/15/17 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/06/17 |
| mildly autistic electric furnace house | 11/06/17 |
| racy erotic abode | 11/08/17 |
| Mischievous Public Bath Personal Credit Line | 11/08/17 |
| Deep Parlour Idea He Suggested | 11/13/17 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 12/18/17 |
| slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot | 12/18/17 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 12/18/17 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 01/30/18 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 06/01/18 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 07/18/18 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 07/19/18 |
| Fragrant private investor | 09/20/18 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 09/25/18 |
| flushed sound barrier | 10/06/18 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 10/06/18 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 10/25/18 |
| hairless sanctuary | 10/25/18 |
| harsh parlor | 11/05/18 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 11/05/18 |
| Dull Immigrant | 11/05/18 |
| Cheese-eating garrison codepig | 11/05/18 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 01/08/19 |
| wild unholy institution | 02/23/19 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 03/13/19 |
| harsh parlor | 06/24/19 |
| Stirring pungent plaza | 06/24/19 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 11/18/19 |
| Bat-shit-crazy business firm | 02/12/20 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 02/12/20 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 03/24/20 |
| spot | 03/24/20 |
| electric location kitty | 04/04/20 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 04/26/20 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 05/13/20 |
| electric location kitty | 06/05/20 |
| Ruddy point | 06/05/20 |
| electric location kitty | 09/09/20 |
| Bat-shit-crazy business firm | 09/09/20 |
| Very tactful cruise ship | 09/09/20 |
| Yapping piazza messiness | 09/12/20 |
| brindle deer antler tanning salon | 09/24/20 |
| Stirring pungent plaza | 10/09/20 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 10/10/20 |
| gay dragon | 10/22/20 |
| orange psychic sex offender | 10/22/20 |
| beady-eyed milk | 10/22/20 |
| beady-eyed milk | 10/22/20 |
| Snowy geriatric voyeur | 03/23/22 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 10/27/20 |
| Dull Immigrant | 10/27/20 |
| Stirring pungent plaza | 10/30/20 |
| Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend | 11/03/20 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/22/22 |
| scarlet mexican | 03/23/22 |
| ratface | 03/23/22 |
| fishy | 03/23/22 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 07/25/22 |
| Very tactful cruise ship | 07/25/22 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 10/23/22 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 11/16/22 |
| hairraiser disgusting incel home | 04/25/23 |
| salmon flatulent striped hyena | 04/25/23 |
| brindle deer antler tanning salon | 04/29/23 |
| Exhilarant Hilarious National Security Agency Locale | 05/28/23 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 02/22/24 |
| brindle deer antler tanning salon | 02/23/24 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/23/24 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 08/26/24 |
| brindle deer antler tanning salon | 09/13/24 |
| Very tactful cruise ship | 09/13/24 |
| brindle deer antler tanning salon | 10/18/24 |
| coiffed azn | 10/11/24 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 11/06/24 |
| opaque sick hell | 03/04/25 |
| opaque sick hell | 03/04/25 |
| Fragrant private investor | 03/04/25 |
| coiffed azn | 03/04/25 |
| Abusive Patrolman Knife | 03/04/25 |
| Misunderstood crotch | 03/05/25 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/07/25 |
| ungodly | 03/07/25 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/08/25 |
| violent hominid | 03/08/25 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 03/08/25 |
| Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness | 02/18/26 |
| jet-lagged big macaca | 05/15/26 |
| Persian | 05/17/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
 |
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: honey-headed useless brakes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364653) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284620) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532817) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532846) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30631018) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: Curious iridescent love of her life 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144195) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: Aphrodisiac filthpig area (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284612) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Tripping amethyst main people marketing idea "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: Very tactful cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351706) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: flushed sound barrier 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351728) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351742) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: gaped church Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351744) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: Appetizing glassy trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384172) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: purple swashbuckling stain wagecucks FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351749) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: bistre alcoholic den partner Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351753) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: lilac newt son of senegal Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: stimulating volcanic crater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359932) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Exciting bronze university windowlicker Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364985) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Smoky French Chef Lay Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392387) |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: Haunting Swollen Office Bbw Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: copper nubile fat ankles (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854764) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359811) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: dashing ultramarine black woman jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359818) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: Razzmatazz national 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359849) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: stimulating volcanic crater November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359926) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: thriller elite water buffalo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364617) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: harsh parlor Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677834) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: Drab marvelous liquid oxygen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866880) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364607) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: salmon flatulent striped hyena (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364621) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: pearly giraffe lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364630) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: contagious indirect expression hunting ground March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: Soggy garnet space regret (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384155) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Ocher Fortuitous Meteor 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429271) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: Slap-happy Flesh Round Eye Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364847) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: misanthropic spruce pisswyrm lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364873) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: 180 fuchsia hairy legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364887) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: opaque sick hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364890) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: splenetic trump supporter Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364896) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: carmine abnormal locus Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364933) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: bistre alcoholic den partner OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383835) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: bistre alcoholic den partner And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: thirsty shrine 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383898) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Topaz blood rage fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383961) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: mauve flickering stage I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384107) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: Outnumbered casino circlehead 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384183) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Soul-stirring Turquoise Hospital People Who Are Hurt February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: provocative sienna doctorate You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384207) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384231) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384237) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384254) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384262) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: trip at-the-ready roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525662) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: harsh parlor Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677869) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: burgundy heaven gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165246) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: irate plum stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504262) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: bossy passionate goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172544) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846270) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846325) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: White theatre philosopher-king Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: beady-eyed milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167037) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: irradiated magical state lettuce This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384232) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Multi-colored Hall 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392396) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Slate High-end Toilet Seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392414) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Frozen Spectacular Laser Beams Rehab Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392427) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
|
Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: Galvanic address cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411300) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532836) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Lemon Boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411342) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Ocher Fortuitous Meteor 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429241) |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: Haunting Swollen Office Bbw flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519032) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525598) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: harsh parlor Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677890) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: Galvanic address cuckold From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: lime international law enforcement agency 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531444) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Mustard territorial library gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531475) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Supple Navy Base An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531481) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: Anal chapel 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531500) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: Supple Navy Base I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532843) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: Supple Navy Base Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29535993) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: Anal chapel No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531557) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: bossy passionate goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532829) |
|
Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Ocher Fortuitous Meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29546163) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551314) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Ocher Fortuitous Meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29554010) |
|
Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: Galvanic address cuckold http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29559692) |
|
Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Ocher Fortuitous Meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29566112) |
|
Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29622950) |
|
Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
|
Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: Galvanic address cuckold looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677719) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: stubborn site yarmulke 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677863) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: harsh parlor You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677913) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: stubborn site yarmulke No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791782) |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345881) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162047) |
|
Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Sticky gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29708433) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727124) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Silver senate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727197) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29732588) |
|
Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29771453) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: lime international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791735) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: histrionic rusted indian lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791763) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877406) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: shaky legend clown OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877434) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: irate plum stag film PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903568) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: Cordovan Sinister Bawdyhouse The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903615) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: Odious twinkling tank friendly grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931652) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: thirsty shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015868) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: red turdskin death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066562) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066681) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: Topaz blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070592) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: Vivacious indecent place of business range hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: Aggressive Lascivious Athletic Conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904083) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: Topaz blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987707) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: vermilion theater stage fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904074) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931637) |
|
Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29960115) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29976826) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015799) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: lime international law enforcement agency yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015891) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065629) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: irate plum stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065970) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: Fantasy-prone startling mad cow disease roast beef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066291) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: Light dingle berry brunch truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066549) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: bistre alcoholic den partner March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070601) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119676) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119337) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: 180 fuchsia hairy legs http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140474) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: slippery headpube resort Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140513) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144174) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: trip at-the-ready roommate jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151942) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151965) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: flushed sound barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151975) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: bossy passionate goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172540) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162050) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160689) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161654) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30163086) |
|
Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30183235) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
|
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: Cerebral Cuck Elastic Band (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279158) |
|
Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30307876) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: arousing offensive box office rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310760) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: Talented pit tattoo I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310807) |
|
Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30335375) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30346848) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353572) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: Charcoal Field Alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353587) |
|
Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Peach Pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30378951) |
|
Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: Self-absorbed mood Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: Self-absorbed mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825048) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30392947) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30393360) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: Bipolar cracking church building holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398720) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: glittery ivory mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30402170) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405223) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405346) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: opaque sick hell Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412976) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412844) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Aggressive Lascivious Athletic Conference Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412994) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: salmon flatulent striped hyena This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504267) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504223) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: irate plum stag film In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504268) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: salmon flatulent striped hyena cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504274) |
|
Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30583536) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30746085) |
|
Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
|
Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30924907) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: electric location kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933127) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: bossy passionate goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933205) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956384) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956397) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987656) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999290) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: Bearded Primrose Station Karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999301) |
|
Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Rose dog poop whorehouse Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31006876) |
|
Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31020363) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: razzle sickened step-uncle's house coffee pot Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31022942) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31023351) |
|
Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31043518) |
|
Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31113817) |
|
Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172565) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172569) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: comical sepia principal's office LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172627) |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot 180 i want 2 believe |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345879) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404088) |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Slap-happy Flesh Round Eye Famous Landscape Painting Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404101) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: pearl diverse dilemma September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: hairless sanctuary September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413930) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy business firm XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413938) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Fragrant private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413954) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: claret disturbing temple coldplay fan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443744) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: claret disturbing temple coldplay fan The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443779) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503555) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31482152) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503552) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503554) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: bistre alcoholic den partner This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503556) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: gold menage factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592208) |
|
Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: Exhilarant Hilarious National Security Agency Locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47906632) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Slap-happy Flesh Round Eye Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511665) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511673) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: Talented pit tattoo This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31512070) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: Cerebral Cuck Elastic Band (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31513385) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: Disrespectful school foreskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592192) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594952) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Yellow wrinkle gay wizard Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594953) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594954) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Ruby Apoplectic School Cafeteria Stock Car half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594956) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
|
|
Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: razzle sickened step-uncle's house coffee pot close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31763265) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: bossy passionate goyim Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31772625) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31777531) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Bright Laughsome Ladyboy Ape (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31782180) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: Outnumbered casino circlehead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31786832) |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825019) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: zombie-like lake stead nowag You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833310) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833315) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31839758) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844114) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: khaki prole crackhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842891) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Ebony Adventurous Lodge Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Silver senate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31843660) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: claret disturbing temple coldplay fan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844292) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844674) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: Titillating Aquamarine Keepsake Machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846281) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: pearl diverse dilemma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846326) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Concupiscible maize associate center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846448) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848552) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: Bat-shit-crazy business firm GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848608) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: Titillating Aquamarine Keepsake Machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848693) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: razzle sickened step-uncle's house coffee pot it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848755) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: opaque sick hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848775) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: orange psychic sex offender (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044462) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Drab marvelous liquid oxygen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076291) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: burgundy heaven gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165256) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: coiffed azn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187313) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: boyish halford forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848725) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Insane Wonderful Meetinghouse Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849301) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: vigorous nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849447) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: mahogany juggernaut weed whacker 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: orange psychic sex offender (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851790) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: bossy passionate goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31852918) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854576) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: salmon flatulent striped hyena this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854584) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855383) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Well-lubricated Metal Boiling Water Property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855482) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863076) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: charismatic market (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863082) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Emerald theater queen of the night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863093) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: gaped church you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863503) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Lemon Boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866924) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: stubborn site yarmulke Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868448) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866864) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Motley quadroon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31867005) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: razzle-dazzle avocado ticket booth party of the first part ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868235) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: shaky legend clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868543) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: claret disturbing temple coldplay fan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907692) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: Crimson floppy faggotry They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907697) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: Orchid vibrant kitchen mental disorder Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055646) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: burgundy heaven gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165261) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: coiffed azn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187317) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31989410) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Bateful Rough-skinned Native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044435) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: Ruby Apoplectic School Cafeteria Stock Car GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055631) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: heady grizzly stage new version https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076268) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076292) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Bateful Rough-skinned Native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076345) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284600) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Excitant Set October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284631) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Excitant Set ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
|
Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39686962) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284649) |
|
Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32389095) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32412323) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32416346) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: Excitant Set http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Disrespectful school foreskin TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441222) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: Excitant Set It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441238) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: low-t gaming laptop I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: Disrespectful school foreskin it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: Excitant Set The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441319) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32458110) |
|
Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32466804) |
|
Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32560776) |
|
Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32612572) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714310) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33221553) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33222883) |
|
Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: Excitant Set https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34257967) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441221) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy business firm One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714399) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32891711) |
|
Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33097887) |
|
Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33256991) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33605191) |
|
Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449074) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449102) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Embarrassed to the bone corner jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449138) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615930) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: mildly autistic electric furnace house credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615959) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: racy erotic abode (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636123) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Mischievous Public Bath Personal Credit Line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636459) |
|
Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: Deep Parlour Idea He Suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34673088) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948560) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: slimy insecure orchestra pit idiot Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948572) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34950581) |
|
Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#35278621) |
|
Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36168381) |
|
Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36451135) |
|
Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36458802) |
|
Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Fragrant private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36847087) |
|
Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: flushed sound barrier It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973680) |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973690) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090167) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: hairless sanctuary Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090191) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: harsh parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161974) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161955) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162045) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Cheese-eating garrison codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37167335) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37553376) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: wild unholy institution (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37833345) |
|
Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
|
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: harsh parlor There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431500) |
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: Stirring pungent plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431431) |
|
Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39135638) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583415) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583624) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849854) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849877) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: electric location kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39938878) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40097972) |
|
Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: electric location kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40354730) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: Ruddy point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40355911) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: electric location kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896459) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896523) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: Very tactful cruise ship Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896526) |
|
Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: Yapping piazza messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40908695) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: brindle deer antler tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40977795) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: Stirring pungent plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41079968) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41088157) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: gay dragon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166967) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: orange psychic sex offender (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166990) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: beady-eyed milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167039) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: beady-eyed milk https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167053) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: Snowy geriatric voyeur (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203011) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41200021) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Dull Immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41202581) |
|
Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: Stirring pungent plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41222868) |
|
Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: Aromatic telephone organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41261120) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44196611) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: scarlet mexican (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202968) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202984) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: fishy 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203017) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911871) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Very tactful cruise ship A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911874) |
|
Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45378008) |
|
Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: hairraiser disgusting incel home https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237455) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: salmon flatulent striped hyena why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237460) |
|
Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: brindle deer antler tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46252623) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: Exhilarant Hilarious National Security Agency Locale FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
|
Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47428670) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: brindle deer antler tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47430198) |
|
Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
|
Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48010724) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: brindle deer antler tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087201) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Very tactful cruise ship One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087224) |
|
Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: brindle deer antler tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48211967) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: coiffed azn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187302) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48296972) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: opaque sick hell 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715841) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: opaque sick hell https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715847) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: Fragrant private investor Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: coiffed azn The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715863) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: Abusive Patrolman Knife He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715869) |
|
Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: Misunderstood crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48716330) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724299) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: ungodly 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724306) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: jet-lagged big macaca "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: violent hominid Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727216) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727802) |
|
Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: Mind-boggling Tantric Twinkling Uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#49679495) |
|
Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: jet-lagged big macaca ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
|
Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: Persian i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |