Tesla FSD has now traveled 6.4 billion miles. Assuming it was no more or less safe than driving manually, you would expect there to be 81 fatalities with FSD on.

As a matter of fact, with 14 million miles traveled every day you would expect to see a fatality with FSD on every 5 days.

But that's not happening. As far as I can tell there are only ~2 reported fatalities with FSD active — both on much older versions.

I'm forced to conclude that there are at least ~75 people who are alive today because of the work of the

@Tesla_AI

team. And we're just getting started.

To give you a visual on that, if you put everyone in North America who is alive today because of FSD in a room together it would look like this:

https://x.com/WholeMarsBlog/status/1989778644689203282

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799013&forum_id=2#49436731)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799013&forum_id=2#49436777)

This will be accomplished across much of America in well under 10 years, and it will be a combination of two very simple factors:

1. Tesla Robotaxis are unironically going to take America by storm, and they will be so cheap and easy to use that pretty much everyone in big cities will start using them regularly. Why the fuck would I want to deal with the hassle and expense of owning and operating my own car and driving it around and parking etc etc when I can just hail a safe driverless robotaxi within a few minutes and pay pennies per mile to have it take me anywhere I want to go? (Incidentally, in the near future many kids will no longer even bother learning to drive -- in fact that's already a prominent and growing trend now.)

2. As soon as the phenomenon starts to reach critical mass, insurance companies will seize the opportunity to start JACKING UP PREMIUMS on all human drivers in all major markets where Robotaxis have moved in. Owning and self-operating your own car will quickly become a silly and expensive hobby for rich men.

Feel free to mock and scorn me for being a gullible retard making insane predictions about an absurd future.

Sincerely,

The Guy Who Told You To Buy BTC ~15 Years Ago (And TSLA 7+ Years Ago)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799013&forum_id=2#49437168)

Let me break this down for you as simply as I can:

Right now, there are only like a few dozen Robotaxis operating in a few markets in this country and they're basically required to have humans sitting in them "just in case." Robotaxis supplanting human drivers en masse seems like wild science fiction to a lot of people.

And yet within a few years, there will literally be millions of Robotaxis operating across all major markets in America, you will be able to hail one within minutes anytime you need them, you'll never have to deal with another annoying human when you're using them, and they will *literally* be cheaper to use than driving your own car -- yes, including driving a beat up old piece of shit that you already own outright (once you factor in gas, insurance premiums, amortized annual repair costs, etc.) PS: Tesla *already* has *all* of the domestic infrastructure in place required to pump out a Robotaxi every five seconds. All Elon has to do is give the go order.

You sneering at me for being an "idiot" who "believes that dumb shit" in 2025 is going to age just like when you sneered at me for "buying that stupid fake internet money" back in 2015.

But feel free to laugh anyway.

I sincerely HTH.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799013&forum_id=2#49437179)