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Trump wins Nevada

2020 10am update: Dem 7,297; GOP 13,481 (+6,184) https:/...
cyan ratface internal respiration
  11/05/24
but wait for the CLARK MAIL DROP
Adventurous talking organic girlfriend
  11/05/24
*Bellagio Fountain bursts*
Frisky Multi-colored Chapel
  11/05/24
...
exciting buff messiness university
  11/05/24
You mean like the 11k mail drop last night that yielded 2k f...
cyan ratface internal respiration
  11/05/24
DJ DROP THAT SICK MAIL BEAT *record scratch*
bisexual dragon
  11/05/24
...
Adventurous talking organic girlfriend
  11/05/24
R-D is stupid because you assume I splits evenly
opaque azn station
  11/05/24
There are 310k Others. Would need to split 175k/135k Dem/Re...
cyan ratface internal respiration
  11/05/24


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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:06 PM
Author: cyan ratface internal respiration

2020 10am update: Dem 7,297; GOP 13,481 (+6,184)

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showpublisheddocument/9114/637426740693930000

2024 10am update: Dem 16,799; GOP 20,905 (+4,106)

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showpublisheddocument/15289/638664002447431425

Dems entered 2020 EDay with a statewide lead of ~47k and entered 2024 EDay with a statewide deficit of ~40k. So the GOP improved 87k in pre-EDay voting (early + mail) and is only doing 2k worse on EDay.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48287468)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:07 PM
Author: Adventurous talking organic girlfriend

but wait for the CLARK MAIL DROP

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48287473)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:08 PM
Author: Frisky Multi-colored Chapel

*Bellagio Fountain bursts*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48287485)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:11 PM
Author: exciting buff messiness university



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48288047)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:13 PM
Author: cyan ratface internal respiration

You mean like the 11k mail drop last night that yielded 2k for the Dems?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48287539)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:22 PM
Author: bisexual dragon

DJ

DROP THAT SICK MAIL BEAT

*record scratch*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48287653)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 3:10 PM
Author: Adventurous talking organic girlfriend



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48288040)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:14 PM
Author: opaque azn station

R-D is stupid because you assume I splits evenly

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48287554)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:22 PM
Author: cyan ratface internal respiration

There are 310k Others. Would need to split 175k/135k Dem/Rep to overcome GOP statewide lead of 40k, which is more than 55% Dem (or a >10% win). Ralston thinks Dems can win Others by 5% but not 10%.

With registered Dem turnout down I doubt there is a surge of Dem-leaning Others.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2#48287647)