\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Have US elections experts explained Biden losing all Bellwether counties yet?

And still winning the election?
Hyperactive shrine
  01/27/22
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1788996823786615129 ...
comical purple spot
  05/11/24
Wasn't there tons of ballot harvesting and at home voting? B...
dark depressive
  05/11/24
Most of these counties don’t have “urban poor.&r...
misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap
  05/11/24
yes, Trump was an historically shitty candidate and everyone...
massive racy abode
  05/11/24
This doesn’t explain the bellwether counties you idiot...
misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap
  05/11/24
There’s been lots of analysis on it. Give it a read! ...
titillating magenta cruise ship
  05/11/24
Nobody wants to touch stolen election shenanigans with a 100...
misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap
  05/11/24
yes, it does. Trump’s polling v Biden was atrocious fo...
massive racy abode
  05/11/24
They “mattered” in 1984, 1988, 1996 when the Los...
misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap
  05/11/24
Voters are uniquely disgusted by Trump though. only his cult...
massive racy abode
  05/11/24
that statement couldn't be more incorrect. bellwethers are b...
comical purple spot
  05/11/24
black voter turnout is not normally as high as it was though...
massive racy abode
  05/11/24
you and i are now circling back the same point: industrial h...
comical purple spot
  05/11/24
Chill with the antisemitism. This isn't a karlstack website ...
Sinister salmon skinny woman antidepressant drug
  05/11/24
“harvesting” is just a racist code word that mea...
massive racy abode
  05/11/24
Yeah sure. I remember reading about poor disenfranchised bla...
Sinister salmon skinny woman antidepressant drug
  05/11/24
If it was as simple as “harvesting ballots” you ...
massive racy abode
  05/11/24
yeah they dumped tens of thousands of Biden "ballots&qu...
Bright pungent casino
  05/11/24
...
misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap
  05/11/24
...
comical purple spot
  05/11/24
...
Sinister salmon skinny woman antidepressant drug
  05/11/24
...
lascivious property legal warrant
  05/11/24
bellweathers change
impertinent duck-like bbw
  05/11/24
?
Cracking hissy fit mother
  05/11/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 27th, 2022 10:51 AM
Author: Hyperactive shrine

And still winning the election?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#43855744)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 10:59 AM
Author: comical purple spot

https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1788996823786615129

i've saved this analysis because i expect the bellwethers to return to normal by 2028. not sure about 2024 because election gaming seems to still be rampant.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653335)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:01 AM
Author: dark depressive

Wasn't there tons of ballot harvesting and at home voting? Both are legal, both mobilize massive numbers of urban poor who might otherwise not vote.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653338)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:03 AM
Author: misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap

Most of these counties don’t have “urban poor.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653344)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:06 AM
Author: massive racy abode

yes, Trump was an historically shitty candidate and everyone knew it. republicans nominated him anyway and the rest is history.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653347)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:08 AM
Author: misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap

This doesn’t explain the bellwether counties you idiot. You suck at political science

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653348)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:09 AM
Author: titillating magenta cruise ship

There’s been lots of analysis on it. Give it a read!

Did cons ever explain why every single “audit” revealed jack shit? Do you guys even remember the cyber ninjas? 😉

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653351)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:11 AM
Author: misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap

Nobody wants to touch stolen election shenanigans with a 1000 ft pole. It’s like using nuclear weapons or something. But most of it was just the mail-in voting thing imo.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653355)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:10 AM
Author: massive racy abode

yes, it does. Trump’s polling v Biden was atrocious for three years:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden

never has a party nominated such a terrible candidate. things like “bellwethers” only matter when the candidates are of similar strength



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653354)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:13 AM
Author: misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap

They “mattered” in 1984, 1988, 1996 when the Losing candidate got destroyed.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653358)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:13 AM
Author: massive racy abode

Voters are uniquely disgusted by Trump though. only his cult members like him

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653359)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:14 AM
Author: comical purple spot

that statement couldn't be more incorrect. bellwethers are bellwethers because they predict in close contests and routs alike.

if your claims about Trump were true, Biden would have won the bellwethers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653362)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:15 AM
Author: massive racy abode

black voter turnout is not normally as high as it was though. mail in voting meant more eligible blacks voted than ever before so you can’t compare to elections where blacks didn’t vote as much

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653364)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:23 AM
Author: comical purple spot

you and i are now circling back the same point: industrial harvesting of ballots in a few urban centers was the difference. most of it was illegal and none of it aligned with voter interest. the consent of the governed is now missing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653379)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:24 AM
Author: Sinister salmon skinny woman antidepressant drug

Chill with the antisemitism. This isn't a karlstack website (he hates and fellates Jews).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653383)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:26 AM
Author: massive racy abode

“harvesting” is just a racist code word that means “blacks voting”

you guys hate it when blacks vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653392)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:32 AM
Author: Sinister salmon skinny woman antidepressant drug

Yeah sure. I remember reading about poor disenfranchised black women and nyslimes buried the fact black women with out a college degree vote at twice the rate of white men without a college degree. Where is the get out the white vote initiatives? Is Soros funding that? I only vote in local elections. Also voted for Obama in 08. Haven't done a national election since then. Black women are your consistency and have probably an 80 IQ. Lol and they voted for pedo Biden like slaves.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653396)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:37 AM
Author: massive racy abode

If it was as simple as “harvesting ballots” you guys would have been harvesting trailer parks for years but you don’t because you know that’s not the reason you lose

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653408)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:10 AM
Author: Bright pungent casino

yeah they dumped tens of thousands of Biden "ballots" at 3am and he "won"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653353)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:12 AM
Author: misunderstood aromatic parlor mad-dog skullcap



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653356)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:14 AM
Author: comical purple spot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653363)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:17 AM
Author: Sinister salmon skinny woman antidepressant drug



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653368)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:47 AM
Author: lascivious property legal warrant



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653422)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:25 AM
Author: impertinent duck-like bbw

bellweathers change

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653385)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:26 AM
Author: Cracking hissy fit mother

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653390)