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Kamala at all time high of +7 on PredictIt
Poast new message in this thread
Date: August 2nd, 2024 3:43 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election |
Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:00 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot Oh, make that +8 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47922132) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:13 AM Author: Charismatic lilac fat ankles she’s dropping by the day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926692) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:30 AM Author: lake french chef (shit for brains who doesn't know how to read a basic graph)
lmao no wonder your only option was the military |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 10:43 AM Author: Charismatic lilac fat ankles start from obeezy’s post and look again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926886) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 12:04 PM Author: lake french chef (shit for brains who doesn't know how to read a basic graph) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927131) |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:01 PM Author: supple cruel-hearted nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47922134) |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:17 PM Author: Emerald milk PredictIt pricing seems fundamentally whack now The $850 bet limit and 10% withdrawal fee makes the market illiquid in comparison to Polymarket |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:21 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot I’ve noticed that polymarket lags behind PredictIt (which changes in real time) by about 48 hours, but if you prefer polymarket Trump has dropped there from 69 to 54 in the past week:
https://polymarket.com/elections
My guess is a week from now Trump will be under 50 |
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Date: August 5th, 2024 2:16 PM Author: poppy hominid private investor Update? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47931073) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:49 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot Weird request. Have you looked at it lately? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47938703) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:15 PM Author: House-broken Abode Circlehead This is just fake enthusiasm. The people buying Kamala now are hardcore lefties. Bump this in 2 months. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47940187) |
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Date: August 22nd, 2024 12:05 AM Author: poppy hominid private investor Have you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47992364) |
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Date: August 8th, 2024 9:29 AM Author: Bistre Mad Cow Disease Orchestra Pit Right on time! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47942291) |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:24 PM Author: Dark boiling water partner Markets are not efficient aggregators of information when none of the market participants actually know a goddamn thing, and all anyone can do is guess.
Since no one actually knows who's going to win, the maximum IQ of anyone who puts stock in these numbers is 7. But that's our Meaty Penis! |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:27 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot (guy who cited PredictIt 3 weeks ago who is MAF about it now) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47922226) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 12:36 AM Author: Emerald milk if the market is inefficient, you stand to make a lot of money by exploiting it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926366) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:11 AM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926688) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:16 AM Author: Excitant indigo kitchen Impossible because of the limits and fees (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926700) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:25 AM Author: bat shit crazy indian lodge You can make at least a cool $2k still (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926723) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:23 PM Author: Dark boiling water partner You can also win big at casinos, not flame. Slot machines are required by law to pay out with some frequency. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47940218) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:14 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle double fault Why is Trump leading in every other major market?
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:39 AM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot lol at calling that a lead. That’s basically even money, a coin flip. He was at 69/70 in those markets three weeks ago
and the answer is because incel Trumpmos are very online degenerate gamblers |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 10:08 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle double fault Whatever it is, they're all significantly different from PredictIt. Degenerate gamblers aren't allowed on PredictIt.
Explain the difference without getting partisan, please. |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 12:40 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot PredictIt changes in real time and it’s the most popular market so you get a larger number of people whose opinions and interpretations of the polls are factored in and because each bet is capped at $800 or whatever a single person can’t skew the odds. By contrast on ploymarket one person making a huge bet can drastically skew the odds. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927225) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 1:17 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle double fault Okay, fair enough. I guess we'll find out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927312) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 2:34 PM Author: ungodly lettuce laser beams RCP is right wing propaganda that times their releases to help GOP in aggregation measures. You might as well link to TMZ, it’s slightly more reputable. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927488) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:19 AM Author: Hateful Dun Toilet Seat Senate What was the predictit for hillary the day before she lost to trump? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926705) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:23 AM Author: tantric locale Seems like libs could just distort the market with bots or something, it’s no different from their fake polls imho (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926715) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:40 AM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot Yes, they use bots to distort the market, because that affects outcomes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926760) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 10:10 AM Author: tantric locale It seems to do it with Polls. Proles want to Win. If this weren’t a factor 3rd parties would do way better. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47926807) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 1:32 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot There’s no projected winner in a race this close. This isn’t 1984 or 2008. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927338) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 4:24 PM Author: tantric locale Are you retarded (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927835) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 2:46 PM Author: razzle range mexican so you're taking advantage of the buying opp (i did)? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927528) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: tantric locale I’m going to Buy High (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927837) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 1:30 PM Author: massive knife genital piercing I'm all in on Green party. Just like I went all in on Intel last week, which will pay off eventually (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47927334) |
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Date: August 5th, 2024 6:06 PM Author: Charismatic lilac fat ankles where are we on this? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47931841) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 1:18 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot Weird question considering she at an all time high of 56 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47934605) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:40 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot woops make that 57 now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47938683) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Bistre Mad Cow Disease Orchestra Pit Lmao TDNW (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47938694) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 5:16 PM Author: tantric locale The combined Height in this sub thread is like 10 ft max (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47939938) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 2:17 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot +8 now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47934819) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 2:19 PM Author: bearded chest-beating public bath This means jack and there's no fucking way she wins (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47934825) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:39 PM Author: offensive state masturbator This means Jack and she's absolutely going to win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47938676) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 9:48 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot +9 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47936800) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 9:53 PM Author: aromatic milky death wish boistinker I mean Trump golfs 6 times a week and does one rally so yea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47936812) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 10:12 AM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot +10 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47938037) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 1:12 PM Author: razzle range mexican how about now? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47938807) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47940179) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot +12 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47940180) |
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Date: August 11th, 2024 1:10 PM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot +16 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47953626) |
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Date: August 11th, 2024 1:42 PM Author: Bistre Mad Cow Disease Orchestra Pit LJL TDNW (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47953714) |
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Date: August 11th, 2024 1:45 PM Author: ungodly lettuce laser beams TBF, this is still a steal. Anything under +40 is free money. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47953726) |
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Date: August 12th, 2024 10:26 AM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot +15, all-time high of 59 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47956289) |
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Date: August 12th, 2024 11:11 AM Author: ruby sexy temple coffee pot +17, ATH of 60 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47956522) |
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Date: August 12th, 2024 11:28 AM Author: Bistre Mad Cow Disease Orchestra Pit Trump is a great buy at these prices. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2#47956595) |