The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
ITT: I will document Atlanta's turnout from now until election day
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 25th, 2024 1:37 PM Author: """'""""'' REFERENCE GUIDE: it was 523,931 last election. There are 753,527 registered voters.
For Queen Kamala to win she needs the number to be at least 524k again, preferably higher.
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 1:37 PM Author: """'""""'' 276,734 as of 1pm ET on Oct. 25 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48239605) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 1:42 PM Author: .,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,......,;:.,.:..:.,:,::,. She’ll need to do a whole lot more than just drive up turnout in Atlanta to win the entire state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48239630) |
 |
Date: October 25th, 2024 1:45 PM Author: """'""""'' she needs the 9 or 10 core Atlanta counties to come out big (which is happening) + she needs the smaller Dem cities like Savannah to have decent turnout + the black belt counties to be decent. She also needs to make sure the exurbs like Cherokee and Forsyth don't give Trump crazy margins. Rural turnout and margins for Trump are already factored in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48239646) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 2:32 PM Author: """'""""'' 279,202 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48239890) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:44 PM Author: """'""""'' 281,936 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240324) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:47 PM Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. This shows why 95% of EV analysis is shit. How is Atlanta doing compared to the rest of GA? How does that compare to 2020? What is the white/black split in Atlanta compared to 2020?
You can't reach any conclusions without looking at those factors. |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:53 PM Author: """'""""'' statewide turnout: 34.9%
Atlanta: 37.4%
when Biden won, Atlanta had below average turnout for the state.
Trump = fucked. |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:50 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"' I'm not one of those guys that think Trump is gonna win black males, but I guarantee he will do significantly better than he has previously (which was already good for a Republican). There's been a culture shift where it's much more acceptable for black men, including celebrities, to endorse Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240362) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:53 PM Author: """'""""'' LOL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240393) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:56 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"' You think he'll do worse? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240428) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 4:20 PM Author: """'""""'' every single year GOP talks about the inroads with black voters and every single year they get buttfucked.
he'll do about as piss poor with black men in Atlanta as he did last time.
All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate to win Georgia. And all evidence points to HIGHER turnout in Atlanta and surrounding counties this time. Trump is fucked. |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 4:24 PM Author: MASE Date: October 25th, 2024 4:20 PM Author: """'""""''
every single year GOP talks about the inroads with black voters and every single year they get buttfucked.
he'll do about as piss poor with black men in Atlanta as he did last time.
All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate to win Georgia. And all evidence points to HIGHER turnout in Atlanta and surrounding counties this time. Trump is fucked.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240546) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 7:33 PM Author: JD Vance is a political genius All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate All Kamala needs to do is mirror the 2020 electorate
But the Science has Changed brother quotemo. The Science changed... |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:55 PM Author: MASE Wow...how many of those voters are black btw? It was 40% in 2020 UH OH https://x.com/TonerousHyus/status/1849885228879454698 |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:56 PM Author: """'""""'' Date: October 25th, 2024 3:55 PM Author: MASE
Wow...how many of those voters are black btw? It was 40% in 2020 https://x.com/TonerousHyus/status/1849885228879454698
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240417) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:56 PM Author: """'""""'' in no universe does higher turnout in Fulton help you you deranged dipshit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240426) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 3:58 PM Author: MASE Fulton+DeKalb turnout alone is white +16. And you think this can all be salvaged on ED? yikes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240433) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 4:18 PM Author: """'""""'' LOL moron, those are all white libs. check how Trump did in DeKalb last time chief. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240536) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 4:18 PM Author: """'""""'' 284,538 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240532) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 5:34 PM Author: """'""""'' 287,048 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240797) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 6:21 PM Author: """'""""'' 289,214 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48240911) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2024 7:23 PM Author: """'""""'' 290,899 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48241152) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 10:21 AM Author: """'""""'' 293,165 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48242714) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 10:32 AM Author: TRUMP IS GORGEOUS It’s over for Trump in GA at least. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48242732) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 12:13 PM Author: """'""""'' yeah, it's looking that way. The closer Kamala gets to 600,000 votes out of Fulton the more fucked Trump is. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48242938) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 12:13 PM Author: """'""""'' 296,853 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48242935) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 1:43 PM Author: """'""""'' 298,973 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243223) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 2:13 PM Author: """'""""'' WE HAVE HIT 300K
300,716 |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 2:18 PM Author: TRUMP IS GORGEOUS Trump done here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243338) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 2:42 PM Author: JD Vance is a political genius Seems low (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243396) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:15 PM Author: """'""""'' ?????????? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243488) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:15 PM Author: """'""""'' 302,636 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243489) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:19 PM Author: TRUMP IS GORGEOUS BYE TRUMPMOS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243496) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:20 PM Author: """'""""'' (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243501) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:22 PM Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded) To be fair,
Libs: "LMAO 300K, THIS SHIT IS SO OVER, BUH-BYE TRUMPKINS!"
Me: "Damn... hey btw how does that number stack up to this point in 2020?"
Libs: "Sorry gtg, PS ur gay fuk u fgt u fuking fag" |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:24 PM Author: """'""""'' TL DR (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243516) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:24 PM Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243517) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:25 PM Author: TRUMP IS GORGEOUS How does it stack up? Be straight with me: I want Trump to win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243519) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 3:26 PM Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded) To be fair,
I legitimately have no idea, the answer might be "it's way up and Trump is fukt in GA."
But the fact that OP + all of the other dumb Jewish shitlib Pumo faggots in here are screeching about absolute numbers without citing that critically important context and ignoring what actually matters is fitting and very on brand considering that they're the same retards who love to cite national polls as if "HARRIS UP +2 IN NATIONAL POLLING" is going to decide a fucking POTUS election.
It's almost like they're dumb as shit and don't actually understand how this stuff actually works. |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 4:20 PM Author: MASE As someone that’s been studying this for months, Trump has already won the state. I have no idea where this cope is coming from libs. Rural turnout is up BIGLY in every county, and while some metros have higher turnout, their black turnout (80%-90% Harris) is way down and white turnout (65% Trump) is way up. In the diseased shitlib mind this is somehow a good thing because all whites in metro areas are libs. (Ignore the fact that nearly 100% of blacks are libs haha) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243701) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 4:14 PM Author: """'""""'' 304,505 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243682) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 4:16 PM Author: revolting kikes seems like a pretty good use of one's time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243686) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 5:20 PM Author: """'""""'' 306,230 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48243921) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 7:48 PM Author: """'""""'' 307,134 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48244438) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:13 PM Author: MASE Hey quotemo! Please explain to me why whites voting en masse in Fulton county compared to declining black turnout is “good for Dems”? https://x.com/jake_w/status/1850295077798809939 |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:14 PM Author: ,.,,.,..,..,..,.,..,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,.,..,. Who do you think will be voting on Election Day? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48245029) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:19 PM Author: MASE Man, I would probably have to say the demos that have showed the most enthusiasm to vote. Just spitballing here, but probably the ones that are early voting the most and not as much the ones that have seen a 25% dropoff in early voting from 2020.
Good luck on getting all those excited Dem voters to the polls on Election Day; I know Republicans have always beaten them on Election Day, but I know that’ll probably change this year. Because of reasons. ;) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:25 PM Author: ,.,,.,..,..,..,.,..,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,.,..,. I wonder if actually trying to get Cons to vote early for the first time in 3 cycles changed that dynamic
I’m sure there’s tons more cons in Fulton who’ll keep on showing up though. I’m sure your NPC Twitter analysts have really cracked the code |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:28 PM Author: MASE The “cannibalizing Election Day vote” libs are straight up coping. Many of these voters are first time voters. They’re basically saying that suffering from an enthusiasm gap is a GOOD thing.
Just really funny all around and thankfully we won’t have to wait very long to prove the insider Dem panic about this shit right. |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: ,.,,.,..,..,..,.,..,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,.,..,. Yeah bro maybe all those Twitter dorks are hearing the inside lib gossip at the hipster coffee shop. Seems very likely! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48245080) |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:33 PM Author: MASE Wait (less than) two weeks! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48245082) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 2:43 PM Author: """'""""'' there's no panic.
Statewide turnout = 38.9%
Fulton = 41.3% DeKalb = 40.8% Cobb = 41.1%
Right now we have 726,800 votes from these 3 counties alone, which will deliver wide margins for Dems. Add in the other 6 Atlanta area counties Biden won and the total is 1,173,471.
Atlanta area is going to make up a larger share of the Georgia electorate than in 2020 when Biden won the state. UR FUCKED. |
|
Date: October 26th, 2024 11:22 PM Author: MASE By the way; if you want to see something even cooler, look into who the low prop voters are this time around. Really might make your head spin haha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48245059) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 2:43 PM Author: """'""""'' notice how this tard doesn't actually provide any data for his hot takes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246500) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 2:37 PM Author: """'""""'' yeah, whites voting in urban Atlanta is GOOD for Trump. You fucking stupid? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246474) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 2:36 PM Author: """'""""'' 311,669 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246470) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 4:27 PM Author: """'""""'' 315,230 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246829) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 4:29 PM Author: """'""""'' BENCHMARKS:
Below 375,000 before Election Day = Good for Trump
Around 400,000 before Election Day = Mixed
Above 425,000 before Election Day = Good for Kamala |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 4:34 PM Author: .,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,......,;:.,.:..:.,:,::,. How are we tracking? Looks like another 100K could come in easily (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246856) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 4:40 PM Author: """'""""'' SOS's site.
She's in great shape but I suspect the returns are going to slow down in the final week as there is a smaller pool of voters left. If she can still get more than 10-15k votes a day in Atlanta that would be amazing. But I don't think they are open next weekend so she doesn't have a ton of time left. |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 4:39 PM Author: MASE We’re going to be bumping this thread for years LMAO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246871) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 4:40 PM Author: """'""""'' Date: October 27th, 2024 4:39 PM Author: MASE
We’re going to be bumping this thread for years LMAO
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246871) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 4:40 PM Author: """'""""'' yes we will (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48246874) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 12:18 PM Author: MASE Isn't that "Good for Kamala" number 100k lower than it was in your OP? Date: October 25th, 2024 1:37 PM Author: """'""""''
REFERENCE GUIDE: it was 523,931 last election. There are 753,527 registered voters.
For Queen Kamala to win she needs the number to be at least 524k again, preferably higher.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48239604) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 5:27 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"' Why do these numbers seem to be grinding to a halt? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48247084) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: """'""""'' grinding to a halt is a bit of an exaggeration don't you think?
I think it's to be expected, there's only so many voters. there's a smaller pool of voters left with each passing day so it's harder to get the same volume each day going forward. |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 12:18 PM Author: .,..,.,.;,.,,:,.,.,::,...,..,:,..;,.., you are a 55 year old jewish homosexual who lies about having served in the military (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48249762) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: """'""""'' 316,868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48247183) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2024 6:14 PM Author: """'""""'' 317,584 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48247289) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 10:56 AM Author: """'""""'' IT IS MAKE OR BREAK WEEK. Today we start off with...
319,721 |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 12:05 PM Author: MASE Update us again OP! What's the number at now? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48249697) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 12:17 PM Author: MASE OP? Any update on those Atlanta numbers? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48249757) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 1:11 PM Author: """'""""'' 323,090 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48249947) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 1:12 PM Author: JD Vance is a political genius Quaking in my boots (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48249952) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 1:20 PM Author: """'""""'' 325,124 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48249985) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 2:25 PM Author: """'""""'' 327,185 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250315) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 2:27 PM Author: TRUMP IS GORGEOUS REDDDDDD KINGDOM (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250322) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 2:27 PM Author: """'""""'' if pace stays the same she's on track for 395,000 by end of early voting on Friday. but there will also be absentee ballots trickling in over the weekend and Monday. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250327) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 2:29 PM Author: MASE Do you promise to kill yourself when Donald J Trump wins Georgia by multiple points? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250337) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 2:29 PM Author: JD Vance is a political genius Isn't that pretty bad for you people (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250338) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 2:34 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"' "If pace stays the same"
But it hasn't stayed the same. And MASE poasted a poll showing Trump getting 30% of black men. Just a couple things to consider |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 2:47 PM Author: ,.,,.,..,..,..,.,..,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,.,..,. JFC. Even if that poll is accurate (it isn’t) how in the FUCK is a national poll relevant to Atlanta.
Trumpers are not smart. |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 3:05 PM Author: JD Vance is a political genius Methinks there are at least a few black men in Atlanta. Can someone confirm? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250501) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 3:03 PM Author: '"'"'"''" Was the 2020 turnout 523,931 TOTAL or 523,931 in early voting? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250490) |
|
Date: October 28th, 2024 3:07 PM Author: JD Vance is a political genius Early Voting. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&forum_id=2#48250506) |