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Honest answers sought: can Harris still win this?
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 26th, 2024 10:45 PM Author: .,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,. I give her like a 20% chance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244945) |
Date: October 26th, 2024 10:45 PM Author: richard clock she can but i dont fancy her chances (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244946) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:46 PM Author: Self-serious Macbook Airplane Girl if she does its all fake. she wont actually get more votes from legal voters. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244951) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:49 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244960) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:55 PM Author: Epistemic Humility Trump won with lower odds than her (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247441) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:46 PM Author: "Tony" lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244952) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:47 PM Author: .,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,. Less than 20%? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244955) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:50 PM Author: MASE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244966) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:46 PM Author: .,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,. It feels completely like 2016. Am I off base? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244954) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:50 PM Author: MASE https://x.com/jackposobiec/status/1850356595181367685 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244965) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:51 PM Author: caitlin clark L m f a o (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244968) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:53 PM Author: cowstack wtf I love Joe Biden now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244970) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:40 PM Author: Wallace and Solace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245094) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:29 PM Author: lex (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247354) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:57 PM Author: joyous rallies would love to believe this, but it's sounds like hilary throwing a $200 bottle of booze against her 5k tv (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244982) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:58 PM Author: caitlin clark (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48244984) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:22 PM Author: richard clock so you mean it definitely happened? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245062) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: '"'''"'''"""" But that actually happened (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245064) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:25 PM Author: MASE I like the one where she karate chopped the victory cake on election night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245067) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:41 PM Author: Wallace and Solace Tell that to Hillary’s aid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245099) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:51 PM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, so funny. utterly plausible but who know if he really said it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245125) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:58 PM Author: Karlstack (nigger) (FAGGOTCHIPPER / Hegemon) really hope this is true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245141) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:41 AM Author: @bigdickretard420 (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) the Hare is also stupid, not just lazy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245214) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 4:24 PM Author: MASE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48246820) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:31 PM Author: sealclubber how is harris the hare? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247367) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:18 PM Author: ........,,,,,,......,.,.,.,,,,,,,,,, Absolutely. There's 2 huge reasons she can win.
1. She's not that far off from where she needs to be in the polls, and the polls are all complete bullshit. Only like 1 in 30 people answer a poll, and for many subsets of the population it's probably like 1 in 500. So the polls are all just fucking guessing. Seems to me that if the polls think 1 in 70 Trump voters will answer the phone, but its actually 1 in 50, then that means Kamala can outperform the polls.
2. The Democrats just have to win a few states that include Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit and Atlanta. If the election is close they're going to be counting "votes" in those areas for 3 weeks, and the voting will only stop once Kamlaa is ahead. |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:20 PM Author: cowstack LOL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245049) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:38 AM Author: @bigdickretard420 (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245212) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 5:21 PM Author: borders2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247054) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 7:06 PM Author: Blackpill Bob I agree. Seems like the election is pretty close, and we all know what "close" means. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247475) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:34 PM Author: ....,,....,,... Did everyone forget what happened in the middle of the night last time? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245084) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:36 PM Author: MASE None of us actually believe in widespread fraud we just like to say we do because it helps us push election integrity raises our turnout and casts suspicion on libs HTH (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245088) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:34 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' Do you think this was just a water pipe burst?
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/burst-pipe-delays-atlanta-absentee-vote-433988 |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:37 PM Author: cowstack You mean when we had covid lockdowns and special ballot drop off rules that made it extremely easy to harvest votes? We still have that now? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245091) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:49 PM Author: usha's slimy tits yes, all the pieces remain in place to fraudulently harvest and it’s obvious dems will run the same playbook. you retards jerking yourselves off over “polymarket” are going to be severely disappointed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245121) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:56 PM Author: MCHMRDCZ Ok but what if I'm jerking myself to things other than over "polymarket"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245134) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:05 AM Author: usha's slimy tits I’m sure there are many great data points that excite you but on election night, when pipes start bursting and they kick republican poll watchers out and put cardboard over the windows to the counting area, don’t say you weren’t warned (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245159) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:49 PM Author: MCHMRDCZ Absolutely not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245123) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:59 PM Author: Karlstack (nigger) (FAGGOTCHIPPER / Hegemon) Yeah, absolutely, I give it a 40% chance or so they can still cheat their way to victory. It'll have to be pretty flagrant though. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245143) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:35 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' This was flagrant. Does it need to be even more flagrant than this? https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/burst-pipe-delays-atlanta-absentee-vote-433988 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245210) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:36 AM Author: AutoAdmit Historian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245211) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:39 AM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245213) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 12:41 AM Author: @bigdickretard420 (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48245215) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 2:47 PM Author: Risten 40% chance is the fag's way out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48246512) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 10:57 PM Author: Karlstack (nigger) (FAGGOTCHIPPER / Hegemon) Yeah I fully accept how noncommittal this looks; it's because I'm unsure what will happen. Me being wrong would look like - Harris winning decisively - Harris winning closely with no indications of fraud such as significant statistical anomalies, heavy contraindications from bellwether counties, or ballot dumps with over-distribution of Dem ballots
I'm not sure what will happen, but I think those things won't. |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 2:49 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard yeah she's got more than a puncher's chance, but, it would definitely be because dems cheating apparatus is firing on all cylinders and not because she has the people's support (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48246514) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 2:51 PM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) she's looking better than trump did in 2016 on paper.
polling can't capture enthusiasm, who will actually bother to vote, who is lying, etc. the enthusiasm gap is huge and kamala seems to have given up. |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 2:52 PM Author: caitlin clark its 50/50. either she wins or she doesn't (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48246521) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: ;..........POLITITH,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;. many poasters are in denial of this simple fact
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Date: October 27th, 2024 5:00 PM Author: lsd (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48246957) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:27 PM Author: ceci n'est pas un avocat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247344) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 10:58 PM Author: Mainlining the Secret Truth of the Mahchine (Mahchine's 180 Vi$ion is here...XO, privy to the Great Becumming) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48256957) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 3:27 PM Author: lsd She's already planning her transition team and you still think Trump has a shot?
https://x.com/ChristianM_74/status/1850437361101885465 |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 5:01 PM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, that is music to my ears. Trump was a newb last time and he got played by the deep state. this time he's unplugged from the GSA and he says he's going to select his own team.
30 days ago i would have said that Trump is incapable of doing that. but at least he's acknowledging his mistake and says he's trying to do it right this time.
===== Christian Movick @ChristianM_74 NEW: Robert Kenendy Jr. says that Donald Trump is breaking tradition by privately funding his transition team and has already started it three months early.
Kennedy began by talking about why he's chosen to trust Trump, saying, "I've talked to Donald Trump specifically about this, and I said, 'Look, the last time you were in there, you put John Bolton in charge of NSA, and Mike Pompeo in charge of the CIA... and he said, 'Here's the difference... when I got in last time, I had no idea how to govern, and I got surrounded by donors and corporate people who said you appoint this guy and appoint that guy... I appointed a lot of bad people.'
He continued, "I was listening this morning to this extraordinary interview that Donald Trump did with Joe Rogan yesterday... and he said, 'This time I'm not gonna do that.' He told us that (too), and he didn't just promise that, but he did something no other president's done before. Normally, the transition team is not created until November 6th because GAO, the General Accounting Office, pays for all the cost of the transition team. Trump said, 'I'm not gonna do it this time. I'm not gonna do it their way. I'm gonna start my own transition team three months early.' And he got private donors to fund it, and he's appointed 20 people including me and Tulsi, and there's people of all different kinds of ideology and people who we're gonna have to go up against on that transition team and fight for our vision. But I can tell you this, which is unique: there are no corporate lobbyists on that transition team. And, usually, it's 100% corporate lobbyists. So it's very, very different, and it gives me lots of hope that this government is gonna be different than any government we've ever seen." |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 5:05 PM Author: @bigdickretard420 (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) they are 100% going to kill him (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48246983) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 5:20 PM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247052) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 5:26 PM Author: ( ''.'') go back to your Trump Rally (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247075) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 5:29 PM Author: borders2 http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5610452&mc=14&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247093) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:30 PM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) Tucker tees off on the idea that Kamala can conceivably win
https://x.com/bucksexton/status/1850656168370127174 |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:34 PM Author: Slaanesh She can still win sure but it isn't likely. Would require a huge wave of women bloc voting for her at high rates without too much bleeding of all other groups. Possible, but unlikely. And the enthusiasm does not appear to be there to support a surprise wave of support.
This "feels" like inverse 2012. One side with false hopes, pointing to outlier polls to juice their flawed candidate and the other side amped the absolute fuck up and ready to turn out to vote. |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:37 PM Author: borders2 Didn’t trump barely lose 2020? The only way for them to convert people is with the January 6th Threat to Democracy bs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247383) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:50 PM Author: Slaanesh Yeah literally everything was aligned against Trump in 2020 and he still just barely lost
nobody gives a shit iabout January 6th |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 7:08 PM Author: Blackpill Bob What about killing babies? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247488) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:37 PM Author: sealclubber yes, but i hope they get btfo it is amazing not so much that the far left has been able to indoctrinate the youth to be quasi commies, but that they have been able to keep so many of the regular left in line. you can basically name all of the dems who oppose the insanity and inanity of the far left on two hands |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:48 PM Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:; You’d have to be really low IQ to be confident in either outcome (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247421) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 5:36 AM Author: jewish halloween ive got some bad news for you about this place... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48257566) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:53 PM Author: VoteRepublican (A true Chad!! where's your gf/wifew?) Think i might be sexist but how are hillary and this one so bad? Like just distorted ugly faces and unlikeable personality and wouldnt trust them for simplest tasks. Am i sexist (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247431) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:58 PM Author: labs *chill water pipes burst in unison* (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247454) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 5:59 AM Author: @bigdickretard420 (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48257594) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 6:59 PM Author: askav Do I think she's likely to win? No. If you think she CAN'T win, even legitimately (where 'legitimate' means not technically illegal, or illegal but impossible to prove, ballot harvesting), you're fucking nuts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48247455) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 11:03 PM Author: Wallace and Solace Titcr
Dems have been hyping their “ground game” this cycle. Talking about how much better it is than 2020 or 2016.
It is generally known that “ground game” means ballot harvesting operations. |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 11:06 PM Author: Blackpill Bob (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48248257) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 9:37 PM Author: sealclubber never should a nursing home bed go unvoted (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48256499) |
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Date: October 27th, 2024 11:04 PM Author: MASE After that Tony Hinchecliffe joke I think anything is possible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48248252) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 10:58 PM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) after her dumb speech at the WH, Niden exposing lib hatred for half of America, and that Latinos for Trump video, I think it’s safe to say Kamala is gonna get trounced (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48256952) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 11:05 PM Author: borders2 So you’re an expert on what a bunch of Scumbags are doing? On what DRIVES the body politik irl? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48256996) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 5:22 AM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) yeah man (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48257555) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 5:56 AM Author: joufr She can I don't think it's actually that bad for the Ds atm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48257590) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 6:02 AM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) (guy who didn’t see the Latinos for Trump video) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48257599) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 7:55 AM Author: Tenured Humanities Prof Speaking Truth to Power Guy who didn’t see the internals that I saw. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48262165) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 7:27 AM Author: '"'''"'''"""" Of course, sweetie! It’s called cheating. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48262146) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 7:29 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' No one seems to have a good response to this. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/burst-pipe-delays-atlanta-absentee-vote-433988
What if Democrats just truck in extra absentee ballots in the middle of the night after an incident? |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 7:32 AM Author: borders2 Will there be a bunch of January 6th Scumbag patriots at these places with AR15s? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48262150) |
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Date: October 31st, 2024 8:10 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' The feds might use drones to take them out and then the media will make a big deal about the civil war, using it to justify a further crackdown on online freedom of speech. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2#48262180) |