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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?
| Flickering Shimmering Locus | 07/21/18 |
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM Author: Flickering Shimmering Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544) |
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Fuchsia Internet-worthy Genital Piercing Senate 0% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Frisky sepia casino jap Reply Favorite
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)
0%
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Maniacal passionate center water buffalo http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2
Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM Author: ...,.........,.........,....
I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported. Gillum is doing too well in central florida.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM Author: vibrant violent reading party I would be shocked if they don't.
1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.
2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.
3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.
4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.
5. Democratic base is far more energized.
6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM Author: lime excitant nowag http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2 https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: supple federal nursing home fat ankles jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM Author: 180 stag film 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM Author: Alcoholic useless brakes them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM Author: bossy cordovan office They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM Author: Charcoal stirring theatre 65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: zombie-like sienna dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM Author: vibrant violent reading party Correct. It's 90%+. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: Obsidian soggy laser beams You need to get a life outside xo bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: cheese-eating telephone really tough guy 45% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Crystalline Narrow-minded National 75% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911) |
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