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RCP average is refusing to publish any of the favorable Kamala polls
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:25 AM Author: pearl contagious church building knife Not sure that will affect the outcome but that’s what they’re doing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886211) |
Date: July 24th, 2024 9:37 AM Author: razzle-dazzle ladyboy water buffalo which are favorable to her, they published the reuters/ipsos (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886233) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:05 AM Author: Beta chestnut electric furnace mediation cr I think they're just on a 1 day lag which makes sense
the polls for yesterday reflect what I think is the current state of the race--Trump still has the edge but ditching Biden has made this, for now, an actual race again |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:15 AM Author: Comical harsh pit gaping Yesterday's polls show Kamala with a 2 point edge over Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886335) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:22 AM Author: Beta chestnut electric furnace mediation One or two polls suggest that, but note that they're all within the margin of error AFAIK (as are the polls showing Trump in a dead heat or up by 1)
Certainly the last week has been a much needed shot in the arm for Democrats in terms of enthusiasm and money and press, but she's also getting a sort of convention bump right now |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 2:37 PM Author: Cerebral Stage these 1k RV polls are useless but that's the standard and why you see so much swing between the polls. you're guaranteed to get a lot of variance there and of course people run with the outliers. almost as if they are used to gin up clicks rather than be useful prediction tools. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47887727) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:40 AM Author: hyperactive genital piercing the amount of complete garbage "Meaty Penis" tp has been spamming all across xo around the clock last couple of days is staggering (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886243) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:41 AM Author: overrated magenta university boiling water I assume he's being paid to do so. Let him, it's always interesting to see what the other side is doing - and it appears dems are going to try to force-meme Kamala. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886244) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:43 AM Author: hyperactive genital piercing I have never in my life seen such a brutal brute force-memeing campaign as Kamala Harris, not irl, and not even on xo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886249) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:52 AM Author: overrated magenta university boiling water It's pretty crazy, but all that campaign money is going to be spent somewhere, why not spend it on a broad internet campaign? It makes sense, I guess, but it's also crazy as shit to see people parrot what they've been told to say. The celebrity thing where a bunch of actors all made statements saying the same thing earlier this week was pretty nuts as well.
Ultimately, who cares, nobody believes anything anyone says anymore and most people understand this is all theater. |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:55 AM Author: Nighttime Arousing Library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886284) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:15 AM Author: Primrose fiercely-loyal church mad cow disease The small studio theater in Milwaukee was indicative of the campaign. It was a TV audience with a bunch of paid actors following a script. Dems in the media were saying she had a 'moment' and that the crowd was really into it. There was only a hundred people but they used camera tricks to make it look like it was q packed house. Dems were saying they cried when they chanted Ka Ma La. This is the campaign they're running. It's going to all be extremely favorable crowds, TikTok soundbytes. They're going to claim everything she does is a heartfelt 'moment'. But she will never face any tough questions, a hostile or mixed crowd, or speak extemporaneously. It will all be framed and curated heavily with every media outlet operating as a propaganda wing of the DNC far more shamelessly than ever before. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886336) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:25 AM Author: overrated magenta university boiling water A perfect campaign to put someone in charge who's main job will be staying out of the way of the federal agencies doing what dem donors want them to do. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886380) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:32 AM Author: Primrose fiercely-loyal church mad cow disease It will be far worse than that brother. If they win the White House and get Congress it's going to be extremely accelerationist. Their whole campaign is fuck you, we're winning and the other side gets nothing. It's an extremely divisive campaign where they're saying if we win it's full steam ahead with our radical left agenda. They will ensure a major progressive sea change in Washington. I think their main plan is to give illegals the right to vote so GOP never wins again. But they have far more heinous and evil things on their agenda. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886413) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:15 AM Author: Comical harsh pit gaping Why is she ahead in polling? After less than one week. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886338) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:27 AM Author: Beta chestnut electric furnace mediation It's basically a convention bump (since they've got the media cycle and are stoking enthusiasm)
Also, people forget that Trump has high unfavorable ratings too and always has--he's just been fortunate in having less likable/more hated opponents. This very well might reassert itself soon--Kamala has been a punchline among members of her own party, let alone independents or Republicans--which is what I think the race will boil down to. Democrats are gambling that, even if Kamala is weird and nobody really likes her, they'll dislike her less than Trump.
We'll see what unfolds |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:28 AM Author: overrated magenta university boiling water I don't know. Options: (a) fake polls, (b) bad polls, (c) people genuinely want Kamala (despite this never being the case before), (d) people hate Trump but Biden wasn't seen as a viable alternative because he was basically dead, where Kamala's status as being an "alive person" makes her viable, (e) dem campaign machine really can create 10 point swings out of nowhere in hours because they're that good.
Any others you can think of? |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:35 AM Author: Beta chestnut electric furnace mediation I think it's (d), like I said above thread. It's a gamble that they're making, and I don't think it's a bad one, but it's also possible that this is Kamala's high-water mark. Since she's been so out of sight during the Biden Administration, there's a degree to which, for the voters who'll be swayed by (d), she *is* the 'generic younger Democrat' who has had the edge on Trump in polling.
She'll now become the full lightning rod for RNC attacks, and (what's more crucial here), it's very likely that the more people see of her, the less they'll like her (this happened to DeSantis and Giuliani, and I strongly suspect it'll happen to Newsom if he ever makes a run for it)
I also think that the last few days have been sort of like a mini-convention before the convention (party unity, public interest in the party, media coverage of the party)--I don't know much about the how/why of convention bumps but I'm guessing it's for those sorts of reasons |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:37 AM Author: razzmatazz jew skinny woman Yes but much like you disantis and Giuliani are both toilet tier human beings. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886429) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:59 AM Author: Canary exhilarant gaming laptop ur done here MPA or, as i like to call him, “man’s portapotty approximation” (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886551) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 11:30 AM Author: Beta chestnut electric furnace mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886646) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:23 AM Author: Beta chestnut electric furnace mediation Ever since Bloomberg spent millions of dollars on giving poasters laptops, etc., I'm less suspicious of the 'shill'/'troll' accusations
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Date: July 24th, 2024 2:37 PM Author: effete state factory reset button I'm the only one who's legit. I actually watched what Kamala did as VP, and I even poasted about it once in a while because I thought she was doing a great job. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47887726) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:49 AM Author: Canary exhilarant gaming laptop pretty sure it’s just deranged penguin fully liquored up and poasting like there’s no tomorrow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886264) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:50 AM Author: hyperactive genital piercing makes sense love your new moniker btw |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:09 AM Author: Canary exhilarant gaming laptop ππΏππΏππΏ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886323) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:52 AM Author: overrated magenta university boiling water If so, he's having an absolute blast. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886273) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 9:54 AM Author: Nighttime Arousing Library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886281) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:08 AM Author: Canary exhilarant gaming laptop frolicking thru the ascii fields like a satyr of dionysus festooned in phallic livery, dreamily strewing threads hither and yon as he may, the spirit of nude luis is upon him (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886318) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 1:53 PM Author: Ruby odious macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47887478) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 10:13 AM Author: violent brunch mad-dog skullcap reddit is 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47886331) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 2:04 PM Author: Buff fighting idiot parlour RCP is a known Con psy op.
Look at their final polling averages and predictions for 2022, LMAO. |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 2:24 PM Author: pearl contagious church building knife Link? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47887649) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 2:34 PM Author: effete state factory reset button Kamala hasn't even begun campaigning. Why the fuck would her current poll numbers matter? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47887700) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 2:35 PM Author: hilarious mother nursing home because the more the pubic sees her the lower her numbers will drop? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47887710) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 4:08 PM Author: Beta chestnut electric furnace mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47888100) |
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Date: July 24th, 2024 4:17 PM Author: Cerebral Stage cr.
i haven't seen polls in the news for months and suddenly it's headlines about "kamala closing the gap", which you would expect from *any* new nominee. they're forcememeing the predictable bump a new nominee gets to generate headlines in a desperate bid to sustain the momentum permanently. |
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Date: July 30th, 2024 6:03 PM Author: pearl contagious church building knife (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47910524) |
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Date: August 13th, 2024 3:04 PM Author: pearl contagious church building knife (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5563162&forum_id=2#47961812) |