5-10 years... "biglawyers" = lamplighters out of work
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Date: July 18th, 2025 6:33 AM Author: ( , ) ( , )
What happens next though?
Clearly we still have lawyers and law firms, but perhaps the firm headcount drops to 10% the current headcount, and AI/software picks up the slack.
In that world, is the firm owned by just a handful of partners? Do law firms start to act like lean software companies? When does a U.S. firm IPO?
The counterpoint btw is that we just do a lot more work that was prohibitively expensive before. For example, I probably see 25+ cease and desist letters for every lawsuit, because letters cost $5-10k and lawsuits cost $100k to initiate and $5M+ to litigate through summary judgment. If cost of litigation drops [80%] people may file many more lawsuits. There could be an analogous dynamic on the corporate/business side.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2...id#49111194) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:33 AM Author: Wang Hernandez
It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there’s no objectively correct answer unlike coding or whatever. Here’s a better explanation why law is harder to master for AI than coding.
Coding is governed by strict syntax and deterministic rules. A given input in a programming language will always produce the same output if the code is correct.
• Legal analysis involves ambiguous language, conflicting authorities, policy tradeoffs, and context-sensitive reasoning—skills that require human judgment and real-world understanding.
AI has been trained on massive open-source code repositories like GitHub, with clear labels, documentation, and results. This data is abundant, consistent, and high-quality.
• Legal data is more fragmented:
• Case law is often behind paywalls.
• Court decisions may be long, inconsistent, or involve complex procedural postures.
• Outcomes are not always “correct” or universally agreed upon.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2...id#49111495)
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