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Nate Silver says the likelihood of black swan events favors Kamala

Never forgot that this a variable in his model, and by his o...
https://imgur.com/a/IkQnGlr
  10/04/24
Just so we're clear, this month we're *checks notes* back to...
him
  10/04/24
back to?
go back to israel
  10/04/24
you seem to have missed the june-july period where a bunch o...
him
  10/04/24
by xo poasters???
go back to israel
  10/04/24
based on what? this gay jewish tool is never right about an...
"""'""""''
  10/04/24
He just threw it out there in his commentary one day. I'll l...
https://imgur.com/a/IkQnGlr
  10/04/24
He's really good at making liberal-arts grads feel quantitat...
the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)
  10/04/24
Quantitizing Liberal Artists As A Service
DC
  10/04/24
Idiocracy the movie was prescient after all
"""'""""''
  10/04/24
Liberal arts as a service
Karlstack (Retired)
  10/04/24
The black swan hidden variable. It's like the constant you a...
OldHLSDude
  10/04/24
There are, however, two major sources of uncertainty. One is...
https://imgur.com/a/IkQnGlr
  10/04/24


Poast new message in this thread



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:35 PM
Author: https://imgur.com/a/IkQnGlr


Never forgot that this a variable in his model, and by his own admission it is biased in Kamala's favor. Political Science.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164397)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:37 PM
Author: him (🧐)

Just so we're clear, this month we're *checks notes* back to "Nate is a shamless lib shill"?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164406)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:42 PM
Author: go back to israel

back to?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164421)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:48 PM
Author: him (🧐)

you seem to have missed the june-july period where a bunch of the twitterslop that got retweeted were silver links where he kept pointing out how trump was destroying biden and libs were in denial

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164437)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:51 PM
Author: go back to israel

by xo poasters???

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164448)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:39 PM
Author: """'""""''

based on what? this gay jewish tool is never right about anything that isn't plainly obvious to the public at large weeks beforehand.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164410)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:41 PM
Author: https://imgur.com/a/IkQnGlr


He just threw it out there in his commentary one day. I'll look for the thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164417)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:45 PM
Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)

He's really good at making liberal-arts grads feel quantitatively savvy. It's a legit monetizable knack.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164427)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:54 PM
Author: DC

Quantitizing Liberal Artists As A Service

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164464)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:54 PM
Author: """'""""''

Idiocracy the movie was prescient after all

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164465)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:59 PM
Author: Karlstack (Retired)

Liberal arts as a service

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164473)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:50 PM
Author: OldHLSDude

The black swan hidden variable. It's like the constant you add after doing the integral.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164446)



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Date: October 4th, 2024 6:58 PM
Author: https://imgur.com/a/IkQnGlr


There are, however, two major sources of uncertainty. One is whether the Trump campaign will take the high road or the low road. In rare possession of the moral highground, will Trump ask the nation to come together? Or, like one of his potential VP picks, Senator J.D.Vance of Ohio, will he plunge us further into darkness, blaming his political opponents for the attempt on his life? The high road is probably the more electorally rewarding course, believe it or not, especially given that Trump was winning to begin with. But candidates with authoritarian tendencies can obviously seize on moments like these also.

https://x.com/JDVance1/status/1812280973628965109

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606572&forum_id=2...id#48164472)