Here's the blackpill about Kamala Harris.
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:26 PM Author: Sable overrated wagecucks
A media honeymoon is ramping up the likes of which have never been seen before. The sacrifice of Biden was done so that now, only following the great switcharoo, can they say "Kamala Harris is the candidate we sacrificed the sitting President over - and she is the greatest candidate we've ever seen". For all the attacks they've taken on Biden, expect the same level of fawning directed at Kamala Harris. Her polls will even to a dead heat by September.
Even more relevant: They chose kamala because non-whites will vote for the non-white candidate and women will vote for the woman candidate. Voting takes place 90% at the identity level. Expect Obama-level 97% black voting for Kamala. Expect every white shrew cat lady to just "love how much Kamala serveddddddd".
Trump's one opening is the September debate. He will get no other openings than that. Based on his performances against Hillary, I have no reason to be bullish on his chances.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876290) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:18 PM Author: Spruce theater cuck
"Trump would double down on the chaos and say welcome to the party & dog whistle against her for being a black woman into oblivion."
So what you're saying is that BEING A RACIST is going to improve Trump's chances with minorities and suburban women?
LOL
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876760) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:31 PM Author: Rambunctious Glassy Hissy Fit Giraffe
He didn't lose those people, he lost 5% of white men. See the exit polls. Trump did better with suburban women & non-whites, hence his rio grande valley performance that was talked about.
Trump says abortion should be a state issue & he opposes 6 week bans, the abortion issue could be used against Haley/Desantis as they support 6 week bans.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876803)
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:29 PM Author: cobalt crusty state
Black people are making Rap Songs about Trump. It's over for The Libs
Sorry, snowflake.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876304) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:26 PM Author: Spruce theater cuck
Age was THE BIGGEST issue that Dems cared about.
Biden's age came up over and over:
- Interview with Special Counsel;
- Falling up the stairs on Air Force 1;
- Trump Debate in Atlanta;
- Numerous visits by a Neurologist to the WH;
You are being disingenuous to say that Dems DGAF about Biden's age.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876788) |
Date: July 21st, 2024 9:35 PM Author: Azure elite forum
1. I think Dems are in for a great surprise with black men. They do NOT support black women. BW would vote for Obama, acquit OJ etc. Black women are out for all blacks
Black men? Out for black men. They’d choose a non black mate the moment they could. They resent BW success and sure as fuck don’t want a BW boss. (On that last point black men are not nearly as cucked as white men and don’t want any female boss. But def not a black woman.)
PLUS the high info black male voter knows 1. She’s not really ADOS and worse — she’s a prosecutor.
This will filter through black culture. Expect “the breakfast club” etc to talk about this.
2. Married white women go (R) and they will do so even more now. A Kamala win is NOT the “first woman potus” they want to show their daughter.
I think Dems will still obv get the white single female vote, but less than most years. Women hate each other and esp hate sluts. Besides… the First Woman President is supposed to be white, like them
3. Mexicans hate blacks more than any other demo and this will open the floodgates. They won’t care about “is she really black” like blacks do. To them, this bitch is black and they’re gone
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876329)
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:37 PM Author: fluffy 180 jap
I think this is partly right, partly wrong.
What I think is unquestionably true: the media is going to glaze Kamala like a donut. They will call her a historic, once-in-a-generation talent akin to Obama. That she has trained her whole career for this moment and that she is not just uniquely qualified, but singularly gifted. They're going to talk a *lot* about this whole "prosecutor vs. criminal" angle.
But, at some point, she is going to speak. And when she does that, she's going to have two things going against her that will be hard for her to mitigate. First, people will hear her voice. Second, they'll listen to the things she says.
I don't think people yet fully comprehend how deeply unlikable Kamala is. When I hear her speak, I am reminded of Taibbi's takedown of Thomas Friedman: "Thomas Friedman does not get these things right even by accident. It's not that he occasionally screws up and fails to make his metaphors and images agree. It's that he always screws it up. He has an anti-ear, and it's absolutely infallible; he is a Joyce or a Flaubert in reverse, incapable of rendering even the smallest details without genius." He could say something similar about Kamala without exaggeration.
That is what it is to listen to Kamala. I think polling has already demonstrated that she's not likely to garner a lot more of the minority vote or the female vote than already baked into the polls--and her overall position is relatively similar to Biden's--and the only way she can move the needle is if she successfully goes out and makes the case to the American people. And I feel fairly confident that she can't.
Things have changed and the American people like novelty. She media may be able to launder the stink of the Biden presidency off of her. And that *would* give her a good chance. What an effort it will be.
One thing is for sure: you are going to see headlines and breathless fawning that will make the Obama years feel modest by comparison. Someone will say that she's a "savior" in print in the next 24 hours.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876346) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Spruce theater cuck
"But, at some point, she is going to speak. And when she does that, she's going to have two things going against her that will be hard for her to mitigate. First, people will hear her voice. Second, they'll listen to the things she says."
So nobody heard her speak when she ran for:
- District Attorney;
- Attorney General;
- U.S. Senator;
- Vice President
What you're saying is that nobody has ever heard her speak prior to July 21, 2024??
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876806) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:36 PM Author: hairraiser space
SFDA was set up by her boyfriend Willie Brown who was the head of the CA legislature at the time. AG and Senate were both set up by the California democratic party. In CA you have an open primary and often the Republican doesn't make the final ballot. This is the most left wing crazy state. They ensured she had a fake opponent and CA GOP is always in shambles. They just had to make sure no one serious ran against her. Take Xavier Becerra he waited his turn for her to move up before he ran. It's all theater in California.
Then she comes in dead last in the primary after the tone deaf attack on Biden calling him a racist. She can't get more than 1%. Disaster campaign but she is selected to meet the diversity quota. Covid ruined Trump term 2 the first time and George Floyd, Mail in ballots plus no one cares who the VP is anyways.
She has never won anything that wasn't rigged.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876833) |
Date: July 21st, 2024 9:47 PM Author: hideous library
Yep, all those Rust Belt voters will be even more likely to vote for Laughin’ Kamala rather than Ol’ Scranton Joe.
Idiot.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876389) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:15 PM Author: Rambunctious Glassy Hissy Fit Giraffe
Bush/Paulson refusing to bail out Lehman Brothers = Obama.
Mccain led Obama in the EC prior to that event. Mccain/Mckinley would've beaten Obama/William Jennings Bryan.
Teddy & Cleveland bailing out Wall Street blocked WJB.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876521) |
Date: July 21st, 2024 10:23 PM Author: hairraiser space
Nate Silver is right. He's estimated Biden's real chances were about 15% to win the EC. He says now, it's about double. Still a underdog but an underdog with a chance.
Here's the #1 thing people are overlooking ITT: Kamala fires up the base. Biden "won" (taken at face value here for argument's sake) by 8 million votes. Now true a lot of those people are in New York, Illinois, and California and their relevance to the EC is hard capped. But we're still talking about a very large margin in the popular vote.
Biden's campaign was completely DOA. He was 100% going to lose. By firing up the base you now get turnout. You get enthusiasm, you get donor money. There's still a popular majority for any Democrat against Trump. And this is what they're betting on. Every argument ITT or anywhere else about her unlikeableness or her mindless word salad doesn't matter to the base. The base will turn out for her more than they would have for Biden.
Still an underdog but the Dems are right back in this thing. They have wind in their sails. This gives them momentum and now the pressure will be back on the GOP. In the end independents and last minute voters still may swing the election back towards Trump. He is still the favorite. There are just as many if not more reasons why he may win. But it's game on. It's a race, now. Unfortunately.
Addendum:
It's like Steve Bannon said he realized after Romney lost in 2012. Elections aren't about persuasion, they're about mobilization. And Kamala mobilizes the base where Biden did not. Biden was never going to get anybody enthused. So this play only has upside.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876557) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:36 PM Author: Azure elite forum
She wouldn’t have over an 18 months process. But he’s right - she’s NEW…. Right now
But the trump shooting already feels ancient and it’s 8 days old.
Will she feel NEW in 100 days? We will see
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876612) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:39 PM Author: hairraiser space
*Lights a Marlboro light*
I'm glad you asked. First and foremost, let's start with the obvious here: Joe wasn't motivating anyone to go vote for him. This is the generic democract effect. In other words, Joe sucked and was tamping down enthusiasm. By virtue of not being a literal walking corpse the enthusiasm springs back. The neverjoe people were right.
Secondly is all the aforementioned IdPol crap. First woman, first black woman, make the election about everyone who's not a straight white man, make it about abortion. There's a ton of angles here.
You also have to remember that most Dems don't give a single fuck about her record, or anything about her personality. This is the Blue Donkey Team we're talking about here. These aren't the brightest bulbs. But this is a major league injection of desperately needed energy and enthusiasm. The base turns out now undoubtedly more than it would have. And it will still come down to a few swing voters in a few swing states. We have no way of knowing which way it will break and it still may well break for Trump but never say never, stranger things have happened.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876624) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:39 PM Author: Rambunctious Glassy Hissy Fit Giraffe
Trump does best at annihilating media-hyped aspirational candidates by bloodying them up/unmanning them.
See Rubio/DeSantis who both collapsed quickly as soon as Trump started attacking them despite all the media hype they got. Time Magazine Covers for Rubio & NYT posting 'What Liberals can learn from Desantis' articles did nothing.
Serious pedigreed candidates with strong structures behind them show resilience: Cruz/Hillary/Biden.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876619) |
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