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Here's the blackpill about Kamala Harris.
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:26 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business A media honeymoon is ramping up the likes of which have never been seen before. The sacrifice of Biden was done so that now, only following the great switcharoo, can they say "Kamala Harris is the candidate we sacrificed the sitting President over - and she is the greatest candidate we've ever seen". For all the attacks they've taken on Biden, expect the same level of fawning directed at Kamala Harris. Her polls will even to a dead heat by September.
Even more relevant: They chose kamala because non-whites will vote for the non-white candidate and women will vote for the woman candidate. Voting takes place 90% at the identity level. Expect Obama-level 97% black voting for Kamala. Expect every white shrew cat lady to just "love how much Kamala serveddddddd".
Trump's one opening is the September debate. He will get no other openings than that. Based on his performances against Hillary, I have no reason to be bullish on his chances.
hi butt cheeks |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:24 PM Author: filthy location people who are hurt Trump destroyed Hitlery. HTH, goober. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876566) |
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Date: November 19th, 2024 2:18 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business Embarrassing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#48356666) |
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Date: November 19th, 2024 3:35 PM Author: wild fishy tank school cafeteria he got the first half right (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#48357029) |
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Date: November 20th, 2024 10:52 AM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business I'm the OP (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#48359826) |
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Date: November 20th, 2024 10:50 AM Author: brilliant garrison "non-whites will vote for the non-white candidate and women will vote for the woman candidate"
(guy who has never interacted with either a woman or a non-white man) |
Date: July 21st, 2024 9:28 PM Author: talented flushed ratface antidepressant drug she was radioactive in the Dem primary and inspires nobody to turn out to the polls. also appears to be dumb af. she might hold her own against Trump's incredibly incompetent debating "skills", but a draw won't be enough to save her from structural deficits. It's ADVANTAGE TRUMP, and unless Dems throw a hail mary and put Oprah or something as VP, it's Trump's election to fumble and lose (which he may, believe me!) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876298) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:43 PM Author: Vivacious Dull Persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876372) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:52 PM Author: talented flushed ratface antidepressant drug one thing that's underrated is the extent to which any black tribalism she might benefit from is heavily offset by her radioactivity to the youth vote due to 1) her cartoonish level of cringe phoniness and 2) the fact that she was a prosecutor (see Tulsi's takedown of her https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1-CRrMDSLs&ab_channel=TulsiGabbard ) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876420) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:26 PM Author: orange heaven new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876571) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:30 PM Author: wonderful topaz menage not black (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876801) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:46 PM Author: Honey-headed Range Private Investor I can’t picture black men voting for her. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876880) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:17 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "and inspires nobody"
$47,000,000 raised in less than 24 hours.
https://thehill.com/elections/4785224-harris-campaign-fundraising-actblue/ |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:18 PM Author: talented flushed ratface antidepressant drug wow, that's great too given that you can buy votes with donations (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876759) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:18 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "and inspires nobody"
$47,000,000 raised in less than 24 hours.
https://thehill.com/elections/4785224-harris-campaign-fundraising-actblue/ |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:19 PM Author: talented flushed ratface antidepressant drug cool (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876763) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:20 PM Author: apoplectic mother internal respiration She didnt even make it out of Iowa (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876766) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:23 PM Author: Chocolate parlor and despite not even polling 3%. . .
$47,000,000 raised in less than 24 hours.
https://thehill.com/elections/4785224-harris-campaign-fundraising-actblue/ |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:19 PM Author: apoplectic mother internal respiration That number isnt a reflection of her; but rather a collective respnse to the first perceived “win” for Dems in weeks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876764) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:20 PM Author: talented flushed ratface antidepressant drug naw she's a heroic inspiring figure who will TURNOUTMAXX for the dems according to pumo faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876765) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 4:59 AM Author: outnumbered know-it-all piazza you seem dumb as fuck or you know... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47877249) |
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Date: November 19th, 2024 3:32 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#48357008) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:28 PM Author: bistre abode Ballot harvesting = a Kamala win (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876300) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:57 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Pro-palestine far-left activist ballot harvesters are boycotting the dem party, that's not available as an option. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876443) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:29 PM Author: Poppy Boyish Toilet Seat kamala is too unlikeable for this situation to play out properly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876303) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:32 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business This is just cope brother, I'm sorry, I hope to be wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876318) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:58 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm You also thought the DeSantis hype would work. NYT posted a bunch of articles posting 'What Liberals can Learn from DeSantis'. The irony is that she would do fine against a boring republican like DeSantis, but not Trump. Trump would double down on the chaos and say welcome to the party & dog whistle against her for being a black woman into oblivion.
Media tried to promote the Red Wave & hyped up COVID Conspiracies while downplaying abortion. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:07 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business Such a weird non-sequitur of a post. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876478) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:09 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm You are giving too much power to the media & this is clouding your judgement. I gave you examples of the media being overrated.
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:18 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "Trump would double down on the chaos and say welcome to the party & dog whistle against her for being a black woman into oblivion."
So what you're saying is that BEING A RACIST is going to improve Trump's chances with minorities and suburban women?
LOL |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:27 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Trump lost in 2020 because he lost 5% of White Men per the exit polls. That was because Trump betrayed his 2016 populist platform & governed like a regular republican more or less. He improved with every other demo. Yes, he will win non-whites/suburban-women types just like Bolsonaro did, just like he did in 2020. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876789) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:30 PM Author: Chocolate parlor Oh. . .so even though he completely LOST non-whites/suburban women in 2020, he's somehow miraculously gonna make up that 7 million vote deficit by being EXTRA racist and sexist?
Because appointing the Justices that got rid of Roe vs. Wade is surely gonna bring the white women to his camp, right? |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:31 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm He didn't lose those people, he lost 5% of white men. See the exit polls. Trump did better with suburban women & non-whites, hence his rio grande valley performance that was talked about.
Trump says abortion should be a state issue & he opposes 6 week bans, the abortion issue could be used against Haley/Desantis as they support 6 week bans.
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:06 PM Author: bisexual histrionic chapel She got 3% in a primary to run against Trump and more blacks voted for president brainworms than her. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876475) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:09 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business Who cares man. That was a giant primary; they’ll coalesce around her easily when the media give them months of “the first black female president” fawning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876485) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:10 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Obama would've lost had Bush/Paulson simply bailed out Lehman. Mccain was ahead in the EC. Media fawned over Dukakis/Humphrey to no avail. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876500) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:41 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point This is beyond a doubt at this point. The Dem machine is going all in on her. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876855) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:29 PM Author: bronze office Black people are making Rap Songs about Trump. It's over for The Libs
Sorry, snowflake. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:33 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business That's when it was two old white guys against each other You have no idea what tribalism is, but you will when the first few black polls come out on the new matchup |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:00 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Biden was seen as honorary black due to the Obama connection, he maxed out the black vote. People in general aren't going to vote for a random last min candidate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876460) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:24 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "People aren't going to vote for a random last min candidate"
$47,000,000 raised in less than 24 hours.
https://thehill.com/elections/4785224-harris-campaign-fundraising-actblue/ |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:29 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm You know that was money from people that were holding back due to the pressure campaign against Biden, right? Had Biden not caved, he would've eventually received that money. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876796) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:50 PM Author: Honey-headed Range Private Investor I don’t picture male niggers liking her though. She’ll have the Oprah /View crowd all in but wouldn’t motivate black men. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876890) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:30 PM Author: insanely creepy ape stock car is the last line satire/irony? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876308) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:32 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business Hillary destroyed him in the debates. All you remember is the "you'd be in jail" line which is why you think otherwise, but this was consensus in 2016. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876313) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:33 PM Author: insanely creepy ape stock car I also remember the "trumped up trickle down economics" self-pwn but your read on my memory is otherwise correct (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876321) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:24 PM Author: Chocolate parlor Trump has been destroyed in EVERY debate he's entered. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876780) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:33 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business Well he definitely won the debate in June. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876810) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:36 PM Author: Chocolate parlor Yup, because Biden fucked up and couldn't articulate his point throughout the debate.
Now imagine the same Trump going up against Kamala. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:31 PM Author: Provocative soggy library birdshits cannot handle an articulate tamil brahmin queen, they have no idea the massive pipe coming for trumps old gaping anus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876310) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:46 PM Author: cracking vengeful crackhouse laser beams Articulate? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876385) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:42 PM Author: Drunken locale “Queens” have children. Kamala is a childless prosecutor shrew. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876633) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:34 PM Author: awkward gaping national The much bigger blackpill is how much the age issue completely turns around. Trump is now the oldest candidate ever nominated for POTUS. He has lived a lifestyle seemingly designed to maximize his chances for cognitive decline (minus alcohol). His dad was 2-3 years older than he is when he was diagnosed with dementia and by the age Trump will be in Jan 2029 his dad didn’t recognize his own kids (TBF Trump barely recognizes Eric and Tiffany now). And Trump decided to nominate a 39 year old who is the most transparent grifter and charlatan to emerge on the national stage in our lifetimes, and we’re all old enough to have been alive when the Clintons were still relevant (weird how they all went to the same law school!). We’re now in a position where Trump can’t have a senior moment on a big stage like the debate or he will get the full Biden treatment where leaks will come out about all the ways he’s lost a step and every bit of awkwardness from every rally through the fall will go viral. A debate is super risky and high stakes for Trump. If he stays within the margin of error in the polls he’d be retarded to agree to do one. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876326) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:36 PM Author: bronze office Ok leave the sarcastic trolling to the OP bro he's way better at it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876335) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:36 PM Author: awkward gaping national This one made you nervous lol fag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876342) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:37 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business This is definitely true, and libs are already turning the narrative back around on cons. They are drooling for a chance to unleash the media on Trump on the age issue the same way Biden got it the first chance they get.
My one caveat: it's unclear to me that many conservatives cared about the age issue as anything other than a bludgeon to bash Biden with and clearly Biden supporters only cared about it because it was working. I don't think the strategy will be as effective only because Trump is not near the same state of decline. But it will hurt him, and it's another reason to be bearish on his chances. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:41 PM Author: awkward gaping national Age isn’t about either side’s base. It’s about double haters and legit swing voters, many of whom are the most vocal about how Biden reminds them of their grandparent that needed 24 hour care/had to be forced to give up the keys. The Dems now get a ton of credit from those voters for standing up to grandpa and they look at MAGA and know that it’s impossible for them to do the same thing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876366) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:02 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Quite literally no one cares about age. The media push polled the age issue, if age were an issue, Biden's decline would've been gradual. Biden's polling went down due to 2 major events, Afghan Withdrawl & October 7th. Both events were ultimately Israel-related as Afghanistan was a military base vs. Iran. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876465) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:26 PM Author: Chocolate parlor Age was THE BIGGEST issue that Dems cared about.
Biden's age came up over and over:
- Interview with Special Counsel; - Falling up the stairs on Air Force 1; - Trump Debate in Atlanta; - Numerous visits by a Neurologist to the WH;
You are being disingenuous to say that Dems DGAF about Biden's age. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:30 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm They literally did not care until Trump defeated Biden in the debate, the general public didn't care either, that's why polls didn't change that much especially when you look at them relative to other candidates. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876800) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:58 PM Author: awkward gaping national Biden’s decline was gradual hth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876910) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:23 PM Author: Chocolate parlor The age issued hurt Biden b/c it was depressing the vote amongst Youth and Minorities. They don't give a shit about winning over conservatives.
By taking the age issue off the table, GOP lost their strongest argument. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:36 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm This is completely retarded. Biden's numbers went down due to the media attacking him for the Afghan withdrawal as well as Oct. 7th. Those events are the 2 main events if you look at his polling history. Age is just a push-poll issue where they pressure people into mentioning it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876834) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:49 PM Author: cracking vengeful crackhouse laser beams I know libs are hypocrites and whatnot, but lobs just spent 3.5 years talking about how age doesn’t matter. I’m not sure they can all get the latest update in time for this to suddenly turn around. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876396) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:52 PM Author: awkward gaping national What would be the point of ripping the car keys away from grandpa if not to claim credit for being brave enough to rip those car keys and shame the other side for their inability to control their grandpa? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876896) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:44 PM Author: Drunken locale Ladies and gentlemen, the liberal mind. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876638) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 12:00 AM Author: awkward gaping national lol “ladies” yeah right (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876921) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:35 PM Author: Pontificating odious school gunner 1. I think Dems are in for a great surprise with black men. They do NOT support black women. BW would vote for Obama, acquit OJ etc. Black women are out for all blacks
Black men? Out for black men. They’d choose a non black mate the moment they could. They resent BW success and sure as fuck don’t want a BW boss. (On that last point black men are not nearly as cucked as white men and don’t want any female boss. But def not a black woman.)
PLUS the high info black male voter knows 1. She’s not really ADOS and worse — she’s a prosecutor.
This will filter through black culture. Expect “the breakfast club” etc to talk about this.
2. Married white women go (R) and they will do so even more now. A Kamala win is NOT the “first woman potus” they want to show their daughter.
I think Dems will still obv get the white single female vote, but less than most years. Women hate each other and esp hate sluts. Besides… the First Woman President is supposed to be white, like them
3. Mexicans hate blacks more than any other demo and this will open the floodgates. They won’t care about “is she really black” like blacks do. To them, this bitch is black and they’re gone
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:41 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business Your post + the post below are a good alternative thesis when you put them together. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876363) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:47 PM Author: Pontificating odious school gunner The big fear now is a racial disaster. I think trump has earned the N-card, but if the fucking “hillbilly” says something dumb, or an old tape emerges and this election can be recast credibly as RACE… Kamala wins bc all the white lib moralists will crawl over glass to do the right thing and vote Kam with massive enthusiasm
Trump / Vance need to tighten up ALL comms to avoid race and pray no cops shoot anyone |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:03 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm It's the exact opposite, he's going to double down on race/sex & win the race easily. A normal boring republican refusing to attack on her on those grounds would be vulnerable to defeat just like DeSantis was to Gillum. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876471) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:10 PM Author: Pontificating odious school gunner I was specifically thinking about RDS “monkeying around”
A comment like that, esp from Vance, could bog the ticket down for a month. And they’ve only got three months |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:12 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm DeSantis backed down on the comment & cried when Gillum brought it up at the debate, people saw weakness. Open Racism/Sexism helps as it activates those voters, no different from dems running on abortion to activate that bloc. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876509) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:41 PM Author: yapping autistic hall I'd add a 4th category to your list. The old, somewhat lean Democratic voters. These are the older boomers. They were raised to be nice. Trump turned them off because of his vulgarity and chaos, which is why a decent number switched from Trump in 2016 to Biden in 2020. They're not turning out for Harris because she backstabbed Biden. They just won't vote. And that's it in a nutshell. It's all about enthusiasm. A slight drop in the D enthusiasm across their various voting blocs, Trump wins the election. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876364) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:49 PM Author: Pontificating odious school gunner Yeah boomer Dems may feel betrayed by the way Joe was treated
Kamala really needs him to kill it at the convention and hug her |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:28 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "They're not turning out for Harris because she backstabbed Biden."
$47,000,000 raised in less than 24 hours.
https://thehill.com/elections/4785224-harris-campaign-fundraising-actblue/ |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 3:10 AM Author: free-loading turquoise business firm fanboi you guys don't want for creativity in insecure moments, i'll give you that (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47877159) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:44 PM Author: big violent public bath cumskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876379) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:37 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann I think this is partly right, partly wrong.
What I think is unquestionably true: the media is going to glaze Kamala like a donut. They will call her a historic, once-in-a-generation talent akin to Obama. That she has trained her whole career for this moment and that she is not just uniquely qualified, but singularly gifted. They're going to talk a *lot* about this whole "prosecutor vs. criminal" angle.
But, at some point, she is going to speak. And when she does that, she's going to have two things going against her that will be hard for her to mitigate. First, people will hear her voice. Second, they'll listen to the things she says.
I don't think people yet fully comprehend how deeply unlikable Kamala is. When I hear her speak, I am reminded of Taibbi's takedown of Thomas Friedman: "Thomas Friedman does not get these things right even by accident. It's not that he occasionally screws up and fails to make his metaphors and images agree. It's that he always screws it up. He has an anti-ear, and it's absolutely infallible; he is a Joyce or a Flaubert in reverse, incapable of rendering even the smallest details without genius." He could say something similar about Kamala without exaggeration.
That is what it is to listen to Kamala. I think polling has already demonstrated that she's not likely to garner a lot more of the minority vote or the female vote than already baked into the polls--and her overall position is relatively similar to Biden's--and the only way she can move the needle is if she successfully goes out and makes the case to the American people. And I feel fairly confident that she can't.
Things have changed and the American people like novelty. She media may be able to launder the stink of the Biden presidency off of her. And that *would* give her a good chance. What an effort it will be.
One thing is for sure: you are going to see headlines and breathless fawning that will make the Obama years feel modest by comparison. Someone will say that she's a "savior" in print in the next 24 hours. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:38 PM Author: maroon corner main people What about Obama not endorsing her though? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876356) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:42 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann A few hours ago, I thought this was significant. But it seems as though the party has decided? Honestly I don't know. The whole thing does feel shady. At any rate, this poast is obviously about Kamala being at the top of the ticket. If it's someone else, then it's someone else. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876369) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:43 PM Author: maroon corner main people (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876370) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:44 PM Author: awkward gaping national He’s going to wait five days or so. The Dems are trying to make sure it’s rigged in her favor but she still “wins” after a “process” or a “mini primary” if Dean Phillips and 2-3 more sacrificial lambs will agree to it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876378) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:12 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point Obama got out over his skiis in this whole affair and he's trying to disappear back in the shadows. Conservative pundits have been screaming bloody murder for years that he was this eminence grise of the DNC pulling all the strings. Now, for the first time since his Presidency ended, he has his hand in the cookie jar. He has worked tirelessly to use surrogates and go-betweens so as not to be tied to anything. The entire Clooney NYT mess was a disaster for his "hands-off" reputation.
Imo Obama desperately wants people to go back to forgetting he exists or has anything to do with what's going on and his statement reflected that. The tone of it was "hey, don't look at me". But before Biden stepped down all of this was hashed out in a back room, alliances were made. Signed sealed and delivered by the party grandees. If it goes tits up Obama wants have the least association with the whole affair despite almost certainly being the #2 orchestrater of Biden's downfall behind only Nancy Pelosi who has been openly on the phone for weeks with donors and officials tearing their heads off to get this done. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:15 PM Author: maroon corner main people (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876523) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:15 PM Author: Pontificating odious school gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876529) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:17 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876533) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:22 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876555) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:33 PM Author: Chocolate parlor Nothing you said came close to making any sense. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876813) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:39 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point Stfu Obeezy you have been foaming at the mouth like a madman ITT. The entire bort braintrust is with me on this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876847) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:41 PM Author: Chocolate parlor I'm a TBF alt, actually. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876853) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 3:18 AM Author: wild fishy tank school cafeteria (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47877161) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:40 PM Author: Thirsty overrated hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876359) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:40 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business "Someone will say that she's a "savior" in print in the next 24 hours." I feel like this has already happened. Great post. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:42 PM Author: Smoky sticky juggernaut Cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876368) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:44 PM Author: yapping autistic hall The media fawning may be so extensive that it backfires. This may be me wishing, but after everything this year I cannot see how more and more people, even among Democrats, cannot be anything but skeptical of the media and want to do the opposite of what the media tells them to do. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876377) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:46 PM Author: maroon corner main people I want to believe, but normies have about memories that reset every 2 or 3 days. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876383) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:51 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann Look up Gell-Mann amnesia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876410) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:53 PM Author: maroon corner main people How does it apply here? Normies don't have any expertise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876422) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:55 PM Author: Thirsty overrated hunting ground they’re retarded and they fully trust the experts, not much else to be said (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876434) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:57 PM Author: maroon corner main people Yeah that's what I was saying originally. Normies will quickly forget all of the media lies covering for senile Biden and move right along to Current Thing which is Kamala is the "right" way to go so we all need to get on board and stop Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876444) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:57 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann my only point was the in-built credibility most people give the media in the face of contrary evidence, and again and again despite its proven lies / incompetence (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876446) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:58 PM Author: maroon corner main people good point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876448) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:53 PM Author: yapping autistic hall Ouch. That summarizes most NYT readers over age 60. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876424) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:51 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann Fingers crossed brother. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876406) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:52 PM Author: maroon corner main people Go to Reddit front page. Everything is about kamala being the best candidate right now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876416) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:32 PM Author: orange heaven new version maybe. this aspect could be interesting. i think youngs tend to have much more of a knee-jerk response against empty suits propped up out of nowhere by the media. this can work devastatingly when there's a large slate (remember bootygay? me neither), but the question here is whether it's enough to overpower the young and feminine knee-jerk response against the pussy grabber. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876595) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:52 PM Author: sexy station potus bizarro flaubert tp (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876417) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:53 PM Author: cracking vengeful crackhouse laser beams I’m already flooded with “historic” headlines. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876423) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "But, at some point, she is going to speak. And when she does that, she's going to have two things going against her that will be hard for her to mitigate. First, people will hear her voice. Second, they'll listen to the things she says."
So nobody heard her speak when she ran for:
- District Attorney; - Attorney General; - U.S. Senator; - Vice President
What you're saying is that nobody has ever heard her speak prior to July 21, 2024?? |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:36 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point SFDA was set up by her boyfriend Willie Brown who was the head of the CA legislature at the time. AG and Senate were both set up by the California democratic party. In CA you have an open primary and often the Republican doesn't make the final ballot. This is the most left wing crazy state. They ensured she had a fake opponent and CA GOP is always in shambles. They just had to make sure no one serious ran against her. Take Xavier Becerra he waited his turn for her to move up before he ran. It's all theater in California.
Then she comes in dead last in the primary after the tone deaf attack on Biden calling him a racist. She can't get more than 1%. Disaster campaign but she is selected to meet the diversity quota. Covid ruined Trump term 2 the first time and George Floyd, Mail in ballots plus no one cares who the VP is anyways.
She has never won anything that wasn't rigged. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:40 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "They ensured she had a fake opponent"
Wow, you sound totally rational. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:57 PM Author: awkward gaping national Will be amazing when she makes it all the way to POTUS by winning rigged elections at every level of government. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876907) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 12:00 AM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point She never got more than in the 30s as a percent of any at large primary in California. Never once broke 40% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876920) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:38 PM Author: Ruby Space Windowlicker She's a dumb bitch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876355) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:47 PM Author: hyperventilating cerebral market feces Yep, all those Rust Belt voters will be even more likely to vote for Laughin’ Kamala rather than Ol’ Scranton Joe.
Idiot. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 9:51 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business She could very plausibly win MI and a good VP pick like Beshear or Shapiro wins her WI and PA. Then it's game over.
No shame if you can't see it. |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 5:09 AM Author: duck-like domesticated pervert forum "a good VP pick like Beshear or Shapiro wins her WI and PA"
I wonder how this has become common wisdom without any real evidence for it. Kamala is inherently repulsive to blue collar Biden-leaning candidates in these states and there's something viscerally off-putting when an otherwise fairly liked white male governor is added in to play a subservient role, it diminishes them. The ticket only might work in reverse. |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 3:37 PM Author: Sapphire mind-boggling set macaca It's also comical to watch the media pretend Shapiro, a Jew who has only been governor since last year, is going to provide some massive boost (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47878938) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:03 PM Author: cracking vengeful crackhouse laser beams Cock-hungry Kamala doesn’t seem like it would ring with the working class. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876469) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:02 PM Author: cracking vengeful crackhouse laser beams It will be up to alt-media to get the image across, but I think most Americans will be viscerally uncomfortable with the image of their President sucking Willie Brown’s dick. They think there is too much dignity in the position to be reduced to a fellatiator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876464) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:09 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann explain the obama years (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876491) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:15 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Bush/Paulson refusing to bail out Lehman Brothers = Obama.
Mccain led Obama in the EC prior to that event. Mccain/Mckinley would've beaten Obama/William Jennings Bryan.
Teddy & Cleveland bailing out Wall Street blocked WJB. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:23 PM Author: Thriller ungodly boltzmann i was just making a joke about obama being gay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876558) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 12:00 AM Author: Carnelian karate keepsake machete Lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876917) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:23 PM Author: buff motley native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876556) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:23 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point Nate Silver is right. He's estimated Biden's real chances were about 15% to win the EC. He says now, it's about double. Still a underdog but an underdog with a chance.
Here's the #1 thing people are overlooking ITT: Kamala fires up the base. Biden "won" (taken at face value here for argument's sake) by 8 million votes. Now true a lot of those people are in New York, Illinois, and California and their relevance to the EC is hard capped. But we're still talking about a very large margin in the popular vote.
Biden's campaign was completely DOA. He was 100% going to lose. By firing up the base you now get turnout. You get enthusiasm, you get donor money. There's still a popular majority for any Democrat against Trump. And this is what they're betting on. Every argument ITT or anywhere else about her unlikeableness or her mindless word salad doesn't matter to the base. The base will turn out for her more than they would have for Biden.
Still an underdog but the Dems are right back in this thing. They have wind in their sails. This gives them momentum and now the pressure will be back on the GOP. In the end independents and last minute voters still may swing the election back towards Trump. He is still the favorite. There are just as many if not more reasons why he may win. But it's game on. It's a race, now. Unfortunately.
Addendum: It's like Steve Bannon said he realized after Romney lost in 2012. Elections aren't about persuasion, they're about mobilization. And Kamala mobilizes the base where Biden did not. Biden was never going to get anybody enthused. So this play only has upside. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:31 PM Author: maroon corner main people You're right. But does Kamala really motivate the Dem base to get out and vote? Any more than sleepy Joe? Why do you think that? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876582) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:35 PM Author: Poppy Boyish Toilet Seat she doesn't (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876605) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:40 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point (Consuela) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876627) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:36 PM Author: Pontificating odious school gunner She wouldn’t have over an 18 months process. But he’s right - she’s NEW…. Right now
But the trump shooting already feels ancient and it’s 8 days old.
Will she feel NEW in 100 days? We will see |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:41 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point It's substantially better for the Harris campaign that people know as little about her as possible. Not only would a full 18 month campaign be a disaster for her but she also would have zero shot at winning a Dem primary that the voters were actually involved in. But as a last minute replacement candidate this is by far the ideal scenario for her, and for the Democrats on the whole. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876632) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:39 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point *Lights a Marlboro light*
I'm glad you asked. First and foremost, let's start with the obvious here: Joe wasn't motivating anyone to go vote for him. This is the generic democract effect. In other words, Joe sucked and was tamping down enthusiasm. By virtue of not being a literal walking corpse the enthusiasm springs back. The neverjoe people were right.
Secondly is all the aforementioned IdPol crap. First woman, first black woman, make the election about everyone who's not a straight white man, make it about abortion. There's a ton of angles here.
You also have to remember that most Dems don't give a single fuck about her record, or anything about her personality. This is the Blue Donkey Team we're talking about here. These aren't the brightest bulbs. But this is a major league injection of desperately needed energy and enthusiasm. The base turns out now undoubtedly more than it would have. And it will still come down to a few swing voters in a few swing states. We have no way of knowing which way it will break and it still may well break for Trump but never say never, stranger things have happened. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:35 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "But does Kamala really motivate the Dem base to get out and vote?"
$47,000,000 raised in less than 24 hours.
https://thehill.com/elections/4785224-harris-campaign-fundraising-actblue/ |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 11:11 AM Author: Wine dashing wrinkle that money was being held back from biden IMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47877910) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:39 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Trump does best at annihilating media-hyped aspirational candidates by bloodying them up/unmanning them.
See Rubio/DeSantis who both collapsed quickly as soon as Trump started attacking them despite all the media hype they got. Time Magazine Covers for Rubio & NYT posting 'What Liberals can learn from Desantis' articles did nothing.
Serious pedigreed candidates with strong structures behind them show resilience: Cruz/Hillary/Biden. |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:46 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point Every last Trump supporter was already going to vote for Trump no matter what. This changes nothing on his side. The fact remains our cities which have the most dense population centers are chalk full of deranged malformed mud people and lgbt redditors who have absolutely no idea what's going on in the world and just need a reason to fill out and mail in a ballot for blue donkey team. Trump bodying her in the debate will do little to change their puny, feeble minds. Kamala is a liquid cocaine injection into the hearts and minds of the miscreants who outnumber us. It's going to be incredibly close, friend. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876645) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:15 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm Not close, the muds & lgbts will vote for Trump. This is what happens when you don't have a political machine candidate to run & make it about entertainment (she's running on coconuts!), the bigger entertainer wins. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876752) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:22 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point You seem retarded (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876772) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:33 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm See Bolsonaro & the retarded nature of Latin American politics. That's how Muds vote. They vote for strong and/or entertaining Far-Right/Far-Left candidates, ideology doesn't matter that much. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876811) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:53 PM Author: Wine dashing wrinkle https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/1e921zo/joe_biden_is_our_greatest_living_president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876683) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 10:56 PM Author: Stimulating ruddy state It's possible, but I doubt it. The polls show that by a big margin, the two most important issues to voters right now are the economy and the border. And they trust Republicans over Democrats on both issues by 20-30 points. Right now voters are MAF about inflation and insanely high housing prices/interest rates, and they blame the Democrats. They remember Trump's presidency with both inflation and unemployment near historic lows. That's going to be very tough for the Democrats to overcome. And I say this as one who doesn't like Trump and didn't vote for him either time. But I can read the polls, and they are not good for the Democrats. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876691) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:00 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point Dems didn't do this because they were sure they were going to win. They did this because with Biden they were sure they were going to lose. They may still lose but it's obviously a race now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876703) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:17 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm It was a race with Biden, it's not a race with Harris, what they think is irrelevant & ultimately based on a historical retcon. Black Voters went with Biden in part because they saw him as a nice older white man that could defeat a racist. Libs are forgetting the 2017 trauma they had about Trump's racism/sexism, but they are about to remember it. Same thing happened when Cons hyped up Conservative Golden Boy DeSantis while failing to remember what Trump did to Conservatism in 2016. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876757) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:22 PM Author: hairraiser preventive strike point You're insane if you think that their chances were better with Biden. He was getting blown out in the polls and enthusiasm was very low and donations were drying up. They hung onto him for a very long time before throwing in the towel. The energy and enthusiasm Harris brings will be enough to cut the polls within striking distance at least. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876770) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:37 PM Author: wonderful topaz menage gbti (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876839) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:39 PM Author: exhilarant genital piercing pisswyrm That's because Dems were attacking him, he was under pressure, he was showing resilience despite the pressure similar to Trump's polling in 2016. There's no hope/optimism when running against Trump as he engages in mud fights against all of his opponents. You need a strong institutional/machine candidate like cruz/clinton/biden. A media-hyped 'fresh new face' candidate like rubio/desantis will collapse as soon as their polish gets wrecked by the mud, that includes harris. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47876844) |
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Date: July 21st, 2024 11:39 PM Author: Chocolate parlor "But I can read the polls, and they are not good for the Democrats"
Polls as of July 21, 2024:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/21/trump-kamala-harris-polls/
CBS-YouGov 48 51 Trump by 3 July 16 - 18 +/- 2.7 |
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Date: July 22nd, 2024 1:55 AM Author: Stimulating ruddy state The Dems could still pull this out, but Trump is the favorite right now. I think Nate Silver gives Trump a 70% chance of winning, which sounds about right to me. (Granted, that was about the chances he gave Hillary in 2016, so...) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#47877122) |
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Date: November 19th, 2024 2:15 PM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business Holy fucking shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#48356654) |
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Date: November 20th, 2024 10:47 AM Author: Irradiated snowy place of business (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5561336&forum_id=2...id#48359793) |