Don't think POTUS election will be particularly close
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 5th, 2024 12:46 PM
Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......,
Thought Trump was going to win before anyway but now
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812096) |
Date: July 5th, 2024 12:49 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
harvesting and industrial voting have changed everything.
WI is all-in on fixing the vote for Dems.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812107) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 12:52 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
What happened in 2016? Left-Wing activists won't bail Dems out unless they get what they want via Palestine & even then only Biden has a shot. If a non-Biden dem gets the nom, Progs will intentionally tank the candidate due to smelling blood in the water. They will play the long game for '28.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812125) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:11 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
2016 changed everything. remember those meetings at Google where they said, "we will not let this happen again"?
Dem urban machines perfected harvesting by 2020.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812202) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 12:54 PM
Author: .,...,..,.,.,:,,:,.,.,:::,...,:,.,,:..:.,:.::,.
that or he will be the fall guy when the US economy goes to shit. they will all say "see, these trump policies don't work"
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812129) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 12:54 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
Nah, Trump is the same as he was in 2020, he just brought the system to its knees by attacking it after they tried to fight him & they gave him the same 'personality cult for policy' deal he's had since late 2017.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812130) |
Date: July 5th, 2024 12:54 PM Author: AZNgirl outside 10 Downing St waiting for Handsome
retarded take, ppl either hate or love trump, theres not much inbetween. every poll shows its quite close except the latest biden polls which prob are biased by media trying to get him out
the idea trump is gonna become reagan and dominate is lolzy, its basically a 51-49 electorate u just hav eto figure out which side is which
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812131) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 12:55 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
Nah, Trump blows Kamala out of the water by attacking her for being a black woman. Wouldn't be close, a non-Biden/non-Kamala Dem loses even harder due to not having any electoral legitimacy. Libs would death spiral into 25thing Biden & Kamala loses anyway.
Only Biden would make it close due to Biden keeping the Dem base in-line.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812139) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:00 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
Not MAGA, but legitimately, Trump's dog whistle racism would destroy Kamala. Kamala does fine against a normal republican, but not Trump. All the Rustbelt union voters will go for the openly racist white guy if they have the option.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812155) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:10 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
The abortion argument works against 6-week ban supporting Haley/DeSantis, not Trump. Trump is more pro-choice than a regular republican. Those Latinos will also vote for the racist, see Bolsonaro.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812196) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:16 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
It's divided due to the strengths of Hillary/Biden as candidates. You run a random unknown 'generic politician' that 'runs on ideas' & you will get blown out.
2004 was only close due to the negative goodwill from Bush stealing the 2000 election.
Reagan would've been mauled & impeached if the media treated him the way they projected Reagan's actual Iranian collusion onto Trump with Russia.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812215) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:19 PM Author: AZNgirl outside 10 Downing St waiting for Handsome
LOL literally lold at It's divided due to the strengths of Hillary/Biden as candidates.
yes the great candidates HRC and Biden,, wow such 180 exceptional motivational candidates, soooo good
and u just ignore obama legacy, kamala has more of the obama voters, that is devastating for birdshit trump
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812223) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:21 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
Obama voters aren't 'not racist', they just voted for him because they preferred his economic policies while the regular GOP candidates never engaged in enough racism to activate the issue. That's why Kamala would do fine against a regular republican, but not Trump.
Hillary/Biden were tied to previous Democratic presidents & had dominant personalities.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812229) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 12:57 PM
Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......,
Nah Biden is done, this place is just neurotic and biased towards coastal libs because that's all you dorks know
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812143) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 12:59 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
Biden's the only one that has a shot, if Dems hate Trump so much, they'd have to prove it by openly endorsing a corpse. If they think a corpse can't beat Trump, it shows you that the anti-Trump argument is fragile & invalid.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812148) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:03 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
That's only true if you convention couped both parties, but if you have an electorally illegitimate candidate vs. a legitimate candidate, the legitimate candidate wins.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812168) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:17 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
She's a black woman, who will get attacked for that by the king of the birther movement, which will activate the racist labor union voting bloc.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812217) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 1:23 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
Yes, lots of racist union voters think Trump is full of garbage against an old white man due to his governance as a regular republican. If you put him up against a black woman, you change the dynamic.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812233) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 2:32 PM
Author: .,.,.,...,,,,..,.,.,..,...,
TRUMP has been leading in NATIONAL POLLING for months now. That is to say that the polls currently predict he will win the POPULAR VOTE, which has been unfathomable for politicos with how blue CA/NY/NJ/IL are.
He's also leading by WIDE margins in sunbelt battleground states that he previously lost (AZ, NV, GA) and pretty solid, out of margin of error leads in PA. Within margin of error leads in MI and WI.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812450) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 2:37 PM Author: AZNgirl outside 10 Downing St waiting for Handsome
this is the RCP avg u faggot, since april its been within 1-2% faggot
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
trump never has been dominating, u want to turn him into reagan, hes not, lots of ppl hate him
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812459) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 3:38 PM
Author: .,.,.,...,,,,..,.,.,..,...,
Current average is +3.3 which is in line with Nate Silver: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
He's ahead in all the battlegrounds and within striking distance in reliable blue states like VA, MN, NH.
Even a recent set of polls out showing he's up or close in NJ.
The reality is if the election were today, TRUMP would be running away with an Obala 2008 landslide.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812639) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 2:38 PM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
are you familiar with what America looks like when you go outside now?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812461) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 2:45 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
Look at Latin American politics.
Trump-type candidates can win Latinos, see Bolsonaro.
The people that can beat Bolsonaros are generally Bernie/Lula types. Biden won due to his connection to progressive Obama, just like Sheinbaum & her connection to AMLO.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812481) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 2:49 PM
Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......,
Biden also won due to Covid, media TDS, dem cheating and the phony idea that he was some kind of moderate 1990s style democrat. That's all gone or meaningless now besides the cheating which won't be enough
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812488) |
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Date: July 5th, 2024 3:40 PM
Author: .,.,.,...,,,,..,.,.,..,...,
Media TDS cannot be understated. We literally had the motherload of October surprises, the Hunter laptop, and the media colluded with Obama's intel officials to completely censor it as 'Russian disinformation'. Even Fox didn't want to touch it.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5550832&forum_id=2...id#47812644) |
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