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Kamala surging late
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:18 AM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter Not saying she's going to pull off the come from behind upset but turnout seems high, early voting seems high. We have no idea what the splits are in the swing counties and Trump very well may be safe but you can't count Kamala out. She's having huge rallies and her people love her. The Blue Wall state demographics are in her favor. You can't just say oh the enthusiasm is low anymore. Both campaigns are churning.
It very well may be that the splits for Trump are excellent and he could win Pennsylvania by 2-3 points and even McCormick could win too. But the public perception is shifting a little in that you can't totally count her out. And maybe she's getting just as much turnout as she needs. At this point safe to move the race to pure tossup. Coinflip, unknowable outcome.
I will say this for my election day watch hunch: I like Trump to win it going away but if it's close I like Kamala. In other words if Trump has this in the bag then everything I'm saying is moot and it will be a red wave. And this is very possible if not the most likely scenario. But in a nail biter I think Kamala is the comeback kid. I don't know why just a gut feeling developed from years of watching sports. |
Date: November 1st, 2024 12:20 AM Author: Luce Fuhrer i think theyre slowplaying this exceedingly well for max BRICKED GAPED SOYIM energy extraction
Shit is fucking marvelous to behold |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:21 AM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter I don't even understand by your poast who you are for. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266353) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:23 AM Author: Luce Fuhrer why would i take a side in a Uniparty where my (((people))) win either way
Whichever candidate rounds up all boomers and zoomers and puts them mass graves in our National Parks i guess |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:21 AM Author: Self-serious Macbook Airplane Girl so basically you have no idea whats going to come of fifty different "states" which are basically "countries" in the sense that you learned about in middle school, assuming youre actually from here. great analysis faggot. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266355) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:21 AM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Anyone claiming they are highly confident their guy/gal will win based on the current state of the polls is deluding themselves. Going to be a long time after polls close before we know who wins, in all likelihood. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266356) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:29 AM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter Agreed. What we really don't know is how people are voting. Something big is obviously happening beneath the surface but we just can't trace it until Wednesday or Thursday or Friday. 150,000 million people all doing a secret ballot independently and without any way to capture it ahead of time. It's actually very kooky in the digital age. This is the one bizarre analog ritual we have. The truth is unknowable but we all open up our collective fortune cookie and someone wins and the loser is completely devastated.
But something is happening beneath the surface for sure. Something is going on and it will be a whole story for decades to come about what actually happened.
Most likely scenario is Trump overperforms polling in the swing states and wins comfortably by 2-3 points. My second most likely scenario is Kamala last minute surge and she wins blue wall by less than a point.
It's completely unknowable but when we open the ballots we will know the truth. I think we're in for a result that will surprise everyone on both sides. The voters are sending a message, we just don't know what it is yet. Could go either way. |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:13 AM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad "I think we're in for a result that will surprise everyone on both sides."
While a landslide for Harris would certainly surprise everyone on both sides, the only "something big is obviously happening beneath the surface" in the way you describe it is a big Trump landslide.
A solid Harris victory would have precedence and people would point to 2022 midterms with women coming out to vote for abortion as a forerunner but more to the point, it wouldn't be a game changer, it'd be the status quo. Continuing what currently exists.
A Trump landslide, aka a decisive, in no uncertain terms, message from the electorate to the ruling establishment, is the only outcome that fits with the rest of your thinking.
Will that happen? Who knows. I do admit feeling that we could be witnessing something on November 5 destined for the history books but I have to ask myself if that's instinct or wishing?
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:15 AM Author: MASE The only thing that I think is not possible is a Kamala landslide. Anything from a Kamala close win to a Trump landslide is on the table. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267491) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:21 AM Author: cowstack Yeah no (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266358) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:23 AM Author: """'""""'' PRO TIP: if you want to lower your IQ by 1-2 points read this entire thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266361) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:24 AM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Why would I want to do that? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266364) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:25 AM Author: """'""""'' most people wouldn't, which is why I put the warning label (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266366) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:29 AM Author: but at what cost why exactly would she be "surging"? what has she done that could even remotely cause such a "surge"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266376) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 12:32 AM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter Ground campaign, GOTV, demographics. Nothing she is doing per se but dyed in the wool D voters reliably trudging to the polls. Tens of millions of Americans who simply don't like Trump. Nothing she is necessarily doing but reliable D people from sea to shining sea just going this is what I do, I wake up and I vote for Democrats. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48266385) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:15 AM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) how are they "reliably trudging to the polls" when ev+vbm are down (indicative of lower dem turnout) and we have no idea what the turnout will actually be on 11/5? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267492) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:56 AM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter They've got everyone to the polls they need (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267413) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:58 AM Author: MASE The only strategy that Dems have left now is to try and suppress R turnout, which is why after a month of it being crystal clear that Trump is going to win in a blowout the media is trying to forcememe a Kamala surge five days before election day.
R's should just assume anything between now and election day is a psyop to convince you not to vote and VOTE. |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:02 AM Author: 718-662-5970 cr
puerto rico talk marked the start of Completely Insane Time, and we are now past that into Say Anything Time. Not unrealistic we could get news about aliens, *more* news about demons, or political pundits just getting naked on screen and humping their microphone.
Its total chaos from here on out. Best path, no matter your politics, is to vote and turn all this shit off for a week. |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:05 AM Author: Self-serious Macbook Airplane Girl the demon thing strikes a real astrology vibe. they want your chubby/obese millennial gf from 2015 to dictate the vote while you watch netflix together. its a scary thought but im not sure if itll work in 2024. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267451) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:10 AM Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:; Lmao how much addy are you on bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267478) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:11 AM Author: MASE Stop raping "your" adopted "son" and Trump will be your President once again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267481) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:12 AM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) get in the crystal faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267485) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:03 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., Trump's going to win (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267446) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:09 AM Author: disco fries (no more via ferratas or Teewinot for me, brothers) I’m not in a swing state so I have no feel for what will happen. All of the media seems completely fabricated and is just noise. I will be shocked if Trump loses though. Also, I just want a child tax credit expansion. Vance said something about $5k per kid. That’d give my family $20,000 in tax relief, up from $8k, so $12k more. So I am in support that. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267471) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:14 AM Author: l3orders I just want to win (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267488) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:15 AM Author: Epistemic Humility This is so dumb. Elections are schroedinger’s box. People just need narratives at this late stage when Tuesday’s weather may play an important role. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267494) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:18 AM Author: AZNgirl early voting all AZNmen off Planet Earth trumpkins were so retarded pretending there was a "wave" to trump, the polls were always super close but with kamala with a slight advantage nationally and basically doing well enough in great lakes and PA that she is the slight favorite
they are bussing in millions of NIGGAS and baby murderers to vote, trump meanwhile is talking to retard joe rogan for 3h, he prob even has no idea abt voter turnout.
everything favors kamala, its almost over trumpkins, it soon will be street shitting time |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:28 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., No it doesn't? If anything most indicators favor Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267553) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:31 AM Author: suidlander Should have known your “redpilling” was bullshit
You’re going on the train bitch |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:25 AM Author: indulgent In 2016 it was shown that the polls don't matter. In 2022 that message was sent again. No one has any idea who is going to win. Some people will correctly 'predict' it the same way a lottery winner predicts the numbers. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267536) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:27 AM Author: AI_concubine Is what it really comes down to is votes. Either Kamala could win, or Tump could win. It just depends on who wins more electoral votes. A lot of factors are at play here that could decide this. Voters will vote and electoral votes will be awarded. Trump could win, or, he could lose. Kamala could win, or, she could lose. Time will tell. Some polls are predicting that Trump will win, but others are predicting that Kamala will win. Some other polls show different outcomes, time will tell. We can't really say for sure at this point who will win, it could really go either way, it just depends on what the voters decide. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267549) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:28 AM Author: MASE Thank you for the insightful comment of "anything can happen" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267560) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:29 AM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) wow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267562) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:30 AM Author: ceci n'est pas un avocat Give this man a six figure CNN contract (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267569) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:31 AM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad Top of the list to be the next White House press secretary under Harris if she wins. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267571) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:56 AM Author: AI_concubine Thank you (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267706) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:35 AM Author: dha tux ( ) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48267598) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:58 AM Author: MartincourtMinicooper > But the public perception is shifting a little in that you can't totally count her out
lol i think you're in a bubble if you think the public perception up until today was that trump was winning |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 1:21 PM Author: Epistemic Humility 50/50 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5622262&forum_id=2...id#48268106) |