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Trump wins Nevada

2020 10am update: Dem 7,297; GOP 13,481 (+6,184) https:/...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24
but wait for the CLARK MAIL DROP
richard clock
  11/05/24
*Bellagio Fountain bursts*
Metal Up Your Ass
  11/05/24
...
Swashbuckling Yarmulke-laden Shitlib ISO Poontang
  11/05/24
You mean like the 11k mail drop last night that yielded 2k f...
....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
  11/05/24
DJ DROP THAT SICK MAIL BEAT *record scratch*
'"'"'"''"
  11/05/24
...
richard clock
  11/05/24
R-D is stupid because you assume I splits evenly
. . ... .. . .. . . . .. . . .. .... . . . ..
  11/05/24
There are 310k Others. Would need to split 175k/135k Dem/Re...
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  11/05/24


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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:06 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


2020 10am update: Dem 7,297; GOP 13,481 (+6,184)

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showpublisheddocument/9114/637426740693930000

2024 10am update: Dem 16,799; GOP 20,905 (+4,106)

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showpublisheddocument/15289/638664002447431425

Dems entered 2020 EDay with a statewide lead of ~47k and entered 2024 EDay with a statewide deficit of ~40k. So the GOP improved 87k in pre-EDay voting (early + mail) and is only doing 2k worse on EDay.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48287468)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:07 PM
Author: richard clock

but wait for the CLARK MAIL DROP

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48287473)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:08 PM
Author: Metal Up Your Ass

*Bellagio Fountain bursts*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48287485)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:11 PM
Author: Swashbuckling Yarmulke-laden Shitlib ISO Poontang



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48288047)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:13 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


You mean like the 11k mail drop last night that yielded 2k for the Dems?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48287539)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:22 PM
Author: '"'"'"''"

DJ

DROP THAT SICK MAIL BEAT

*record scratch*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48287653)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:10 PM
Author: richard clock



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48288040)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:14 PM
Author: . . ... .. . .. . . . .. . . .. .... . . . ..

R-D is stupid because you assume I splits evenly

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48287554)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 2:22 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.


There are 310k Others. Would need to split 175k/135k Dem/Rep to overcome GOP statewide lead of 40k, which is more than 55% Dem (or a >10% win). Ralston thinks Dems can win Others by 5% but not 10%.

With registered Dem turnout down I doubt there is a surge of Dem-leaning Others.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625881&forum_id=2...id#48287647)