\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Hypo: Trump wins, Senate stays D, Clarance Thomas dies shortly thereafter

Does the Dem Senate keep SCOTUS at 8 seats for 3-4 years unt...
Talking digit ratio sanctuary
  06/21/24
Yes obviously
Bat-shit-crazy jewess institution
  06/21/24
Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip t...
carmine theater stage
  06/21/24
LJL
Talking digit ratio sanctuary
  06/21/24
Cr they'll appoint Merrick Garland
Thriller jew main people
  06/21/24
Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip t...
stimulating primrose locale
  06/21/24
minority consent wouldn’t be “consent of the Sen...
Talking digit ratio sanctuary
  06/21/24
just do a recess appointment. nothing in the rules...
Spectacular pistol
  06/21/24
(1) Would effectively require the Rs to have the House of Re...
federal marvelous station
  06/21/24
thats not something we have to worry about haha
lavender ceo
  06/21/24
There's like zero chance of TRUMP winning and senate staying...
federal marvelous station
  06/21/24
SCOTUS justice buchanan
Spectacular pistol
  06/21/24
FN17 Justice BUCHANAN writes that "[t]he so-called Bir...
federal marvelous station
  06/21/24
BASED
Spectacular pistol
  06/21/24
Unmitigated 180
Curious well-lubricated stage friendly grandma
  06/21/24
more likely trump loses, senate stays blue, house stays red....
Very tactful laughsome temple
  06/21/24
But I did have breakfast this morning
Ivory Dragon
  06/21/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 11:44 AM
Author: Talking digit ratio sanctuary

Does the Dem Senate keep SCOTUS at 8 seats for 3-4 years until Trump’s term is done?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47766411)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 12:13 PM
Author: Bat-shit-crazy jewess institution

Yes obviously



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47766488)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 2:26 PM
Author: carmine theater stage

Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip the senate, if they don't, they'll agree to a modern Anthony Kennedy style compromise pick that's right-wing on economic issues & left-wing on social issues.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47766720)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 3:58 PM
Author: Talking digit ratio sanctuary

LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47766933)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 5:08 PM
Author: Thriller jew main people

Cr they'll appoint Merrick Garland

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767136)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 4:12 PM
Author: stimulating primrose locale

Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip the Senate.

If not, Trump will just say "fuck it" and appoint someone with just the consent of the Senate Minority and get his AG to sign off on it.

Constitution just requires the "Advice & Consent" of the Senate. What can the DEMS do if Trump just accepts the "advice & consent" of half of Senate and appoints anyways?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47766973)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 4:17 PM
Author: Talking digit ratio sanctuary

minority consent wouldn’t be “consent of the Senate”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47766981)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 4:46 PM
Author: Spectacular pistol

just do a recess appointment. nothing in the rules...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767071)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 5:01 PM
Author: federal marvelous station

(1) Would effectively require the Rs to have the House of Representatives (making this hypo even more unlikely), as Senate Ds would use pro forma sessions to prevent recess appts, and POTUS's power to adjourn them by force requires disagreement between the two houses.

(2) Recess appointments are obviously temporary (they expire if they aren't confirmed by the end of the congress, so two years max), but what I don't know is whether the Senate can boot you pre-sine die by affirmatively no-voting you. (I don't know if this has been decided at all.) Either way, would be 180^180 to have Interim Justice Kacsmaryk write the Court's 5-4 decision overturning gay marriage ("But we agree with the Obergefell majority, and disagree with its dissenters, on the most important point: the Constitution does speak directly to same-sex 'marriage.' Looking to the history and text of the document, we find that the Founders would have been repelled by the idea of the matrimonial union of Man and Man, and their cherished document must be understood as implicitly prohibiting legal recognition of such arrangements....")

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767118)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 4:23 PM
Author: lavender ceo

thats not something we have to worry about haha

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47766995)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 4:38 PM
Author: federal marvelous station

There's like zero chance of TRUMP winning and senate staying D.

But accepting the hypo, I think (a) TRUMP appoints either a standard hardliner or, at worst/best (depending on your perspective), a righty with a little bit of moderate street cred (the R version of obama's merrick garland pick); (b) Dems rightly refuse to confirm; (c) TRUMP waits out the midterm; (d) if Rs flip the senate in 2026, obviously they confirm who they want (most interesting question here is, if they went with conservative merrick garland initially, do they swap him out for a Kacsmaryk type); but (e) if they don't flip the senate, they probably try to work out a real compromise -- to me, an OLD AS FUCK con makes more sense than a moderate R (it's what I'd want from Ds if they were in this position) -- and probably fail to do so, because, bear in mind, the Dem senate leadership will feel like their behavior in obstructing through 2 years was rewarded by keeping the senate in '26, so why change course?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767058)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 4:46 PM
Author: Spectacular pistol

SCOTUS justice buchanan

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767073)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 5:29 PM
Author: federal marvelous station

FN17 Justice BUCHANAN writes that "[t]he so-called Birthright Citizenship Clause of the 14th Amendment was congressionally uncontroversial in its inclusion in the text of the amendment, and thus cannot possibly be understood to bestow automatic citizenship on every Mexican (or Canadian) child born to an illegal immigrant here[, and that this would be true] regardless of whether the Clause's text restricted such citizenship to those individuals born 'subject to the jurisdiction' of the United States." See post at 19 (opinion of BUCHANAN, J.).

He develops this point over 17 pages of his concurrence. See ibid. at 18-35. We remind lower courts that the dicta of a single concurring justice is of limited value, particularly where, as here, the dicta relates to constitutional-interpretation questions wholly unrelated to this case, which concerns the dischargeability of certain debts in a Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767174)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 10:43 PM
Author: Spectacular pistol

BASED

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767938)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 10:46 PM
Author: Curious well-lubricated stage friendly grandma

Unmitigated 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767949)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 4:52 PM
Author: Very tactful laughsome temple

more likely trump loses, senate stays blue, house stays red.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767086)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 21st, 2024 10:44 PM
Author: Ivory Dragon

But I did have breakfast this morning

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2...id#47767943)