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Kamala at all time high of +7 on PredictIt
Poast new message in this thread
Date: August 2nd, 2024 3:43 PM Author: amber hall messiness https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election |
Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:00 PM Author: amber hall messiness Oh, make that +8 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47922132) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:13 AM Author: Crimson stirring becky school cafeteria she’s dropping by the day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926692) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:30 AM Author: blue shivering locale (shit for brains who doesn't know how to read a basic graph)
lmao no wonder your only option was the military |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 10:43 AM Author: Crimson stirring becky school cafeteria start from obeezy’s post and look again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926886) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 12:04 PM Author: blue shivering locale (shit for brains who doesn't know how to read a basic graph) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927131) |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:01 PM Author: lemon jap space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47922134) |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:17 PM Author: Hilarious Charcoal Station New Version PredictIt pricing seems fundamentally whack now The $850 bet limit and 10% withdrawal fee makes the market illiquid in comparison to Polymarket |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:21 PM Author: amber hall messiness I’ve noticed that polymarket lags behind PredictIt (which changes in real time) by about 48 hours, but if you prefer polymarket Trump has dropped there from 69 to 54 in the past week:
https://polymarket.com/elections
My guess is a week from now Trump will be under 50 |
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Date: August 5th, 2024 2:16 PM Author: Translucent quadroon parlor Update? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47931073) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:49 PM Author: amber hall messiness Weird request. Have you looked at it lately? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47938703) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:15 PM Author: Bat shit crazy boyish filthpig associate This is just fake enthusiasm. The people buying Kamala now are hardcore lefties. Bump this in 2 months. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47940187) |
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Date: August 22nd, 2024 12:05 AM Author: Translucent quadroon parlor Have you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47992364) |
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Date: August 8th, 2024 9:29 AM Author: sepia laughsome depressive foreskin Right on time! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47942291) |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:24 PM Author: Sexy state mood Markets are not efficient aggregators of information when none of the market participants actually know a goddamn thing, and all anyone can do is guess.
Since no one actually knows who's going to win, the maximum IQ of anyone who puts stock in these numbers is 7. But that's our Meaty Penis! |
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Date: August 2nd, 2024 4:27 PM Author: amber hall messiness (guy who cited PredictIt 3 weeks ago who is MAF about it now) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47922226) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 12:36 AM Author: Hilarious Charcoal Station New Version if the market is inefficient, you stand to make a lot of money by exploiting it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926366) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:11 AM Author: amber hall messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926688) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:16 AM Author: lavender low-t ratface Impossible because of the limits and fees (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926700) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:25 AM Author: Domesticated Rigpig Area You can make at least a cool $2k still (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926723) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:23 PM Author: Sexy state mood You can also win big at casinos, not flame. Slot machines are required by law to pay out with some frequency. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47940218) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:14 AM Author: Angry hyperventilating sanctuary Why is Trump leading in every other major market?
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:39 AM Author: amber hall messiness lol at calling that a lead. That’s basically even money, a coin flip. He was at 69/70 in those markets three weeks ago
and the answer is because incel Trumpmos are very online degenerate gamblers |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 10:08 AM Author: Angry hyperventilating sanctuary Whatever it is, they're all significantly different from PredictIt. Degenerate gamblers aren't allowed on PredictIt.
Explain the difference without getting partisan, please. |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 12:40 PM Author: amber hall messiness PredictIt changes in real time and it’s the most popular market so you get a larger number of people whose opinions and interpretations of the polls are factored in and because each bet is capped at $800 or whatever a single person can’t skew the odds. By contrast on ploymarket one person making a huge bet can drastically skew the odds. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927225) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 1:17 PM Author: Angry hyperventilating sanctuary Okay, fair enough. I guess we'll find out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927312) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 2:34 PM Author: Indecent Chapel Hominid RCP is right wing propaganda that times their releases to help GOP in aggregation measures. You might as well link to TMZ, it’s slightly more reputable. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927488) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:19 AM Author: dead school travel guidebook What was the predictit for hillary the day before she lost to trump? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926705) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:23 AM Author: autistic field chad Seems like libs could just distort the market with bots or something, it’s no different from their fake polls imho (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926715) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 9:40 AM Author: amber hall messiness Yes, they use bots to distort the market, because that affects outcomes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926760) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 10:10 AM Author: autistic field chad It seems to do it with Polls. Proles want to Win. If this weren’t a factor 3rd parties would do way better. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47926807) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 1:32 PM Author: amber hall messiness There’s no projected winner in a race this close. This isn’t 1984 or 2008. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927338) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 4:24 PM Author: autistic field chad Are you retarded (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927835) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 2:46 PM Author: twinkling motley knife boltzmann so you're taking advantage of the buying opp (i did)? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927528) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: autistic field chad I’m going to Buy High (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927837) |
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Date: August 4th, 2024 1:30 PM Author: iridescent toaster I'm all in on Green party. Just like I went all in on Intel last week, which will pay off eventually (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47927334) |
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Date: August 5th, 2024 6:06 PM Author: Crimson stirring becky school cafeteria where are we on this? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47931841) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 1:18 PM Author: amber hall messiness Weird question considering she at an all time high of 56 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47934605) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:40 PM Author: amber hall messiness woops make that 57 now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47938683) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: sepia laughsome depressive foreskin Lmao TDNW (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47938694) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 5:16 PM Author: autistic field chad The combined Height in this sub thread is like 10 ft max (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47939938) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 2:17 PM Author: amber hall messiness +8 now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47934819) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 2:19 PM Author: Seedy roast beef dopamine This means jack and there's no fucking way she wins (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47934825) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 12:39 PM Author: vivacious lime pit giraffe This means Jack and she's absolutely going to win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47938676) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 9:48 PM Author: amber hall messiness +9 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47936800) |
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Date: August 6th, 2024 9:53 PM Author: Misunderstood nursing home I mean Trump golfs 6 times a week and does one rally so yea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47936812) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 10:12 AM Author: amber hall messiness +10 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47938037) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 1:12 PM Author: twinkling motley knife boltzmann how about now? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47938807) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: amber hall messiness holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47940179) |
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Date: August 7th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: amber hall messiness +12 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47940180) |
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Date: August 11th, 2024 1:10 PM Author: amber hall messiness +16 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47953626) |
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Date: August 11th, 2024 1:42 PM Author: sepia laughsome depressive foreskin LJL TDNW (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47953714) |
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Date: August 11th, 2024 1:45 PM Author: Indecent Chapel Hominid TBF, this is still a steal. Anything under +40 is free money. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47953726) |
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Date: August 12th, 2024 10:26 AM Author: amber hall messiness +15, all-time high of 59 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47956289) |
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Date: August 12th, 2024 11:11 AM Author: amber hall messiness +17, ATH of 60 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47956522) |
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Date: August 12th, 2024 11:28 AM Author: sepia laughsome depressive foreskin Trump is a great buy at these prices. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5568859&forum_id=2...id#47956595) |