AI starting to see diminishing returns
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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:48 PM Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''
It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that the improvements are marginal. We all witnessed the jump from retarded (GPT 2) to not retarded (GPT 3/4) so it seemed like scaling would always give you huge improvements. Turns out that’s not the case. Now when you double your GPU cluster you just go from college graduate to PhD, which is good but not revolutionary.
If the 400,000-GPU mega datacenter OpenAI is building only delivers marginal improvement to their models then companies like Nvidia will shit the bed since their current valuation is based on the assumption that there will be huge demand for every unit they have the capacity to produce for at least the next 4-5 years.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992590) |
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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:50 PM
Author: .........,,.,.,.,.,,,,,,.,.,.,.,.,. ( )
college graduate to PhD
- that seems like a big jump.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992604) |
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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:18 PM
Author: .........,,.,.,.,.,,,,,,.,.,.,.,.,. ( )
Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge improvement. Also, a lot more use cases for AI besides commercial grunt work…for high level decision making that jump and upcoming jumps will make a big difference.
More excited about that use case than taking the jobs of some min wage workers at T-Mobile
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992706) |
Date: June 6th, 2025 3:13 PM Author: 718-662-5970
It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still internet pre smart phone
Wait till the dumbest poorest pieces of shit wrap it around their lives.
It will wake them, order their Mountain Dew breakfast, talk to them about weed or whatever, play little shows and videos for them all day, schedule their welfare etc
Right now it’s Facebook with ivy only edus
It’s gonna be huge
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992691) |
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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:19 PM
Author: .........,,.,.,.,.,,,,,,.,.,.,.,.,. ( )
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992708) |
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