record profits for NFLX
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Date: April 18th, 2025 3:19 PM Author: Oh, you travel? ( )
"Netflix has emerged from the 2025 stock losses stronger, gaining 4% since April 2 and 9% year-to-date. That came as the S&P 500 (down 6% since April 2, 10% year-to-date excluding dividends) and the Nasdaq (-7%, -15%) both pulled back as President Donald Trump’s trade war heightened recession concerns. Many analysts herald Netflix stock as a safe parking spot as economic slowdown fears swirl. “If a recession hits, we would expect Netflix subscribers to be sticky as Netflix is a stay-at-home cheap diversion, of the type that has held up well in past recessions,” Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett wrote in a Monday note to clients. “Amid recent market volatility, Netflix's strong subscription model with critical entertainment (which historically has performed well in a recession) has made the stock a defensive choice for investors,” Bank of America analysts led by Jessica Reif Ehrlich concurred in a Tuesday note."
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5712935&forum_id=2...id.#48860983) |
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Date: April 18th, 2025 8:34 PM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
They don’t have the expenses or a typical movie studio because they don’t maintain all the physical assets and they don’t really have to worry about theatrical distribution. That said I share your skepticism that there is a ton more juice left for them to squeeze. Per below they are already sucking tons of money out of their current subscriber base.
The best steelman of the argument is that they and Disney are both going to bulk up once streaming fully takes over sports, so they will eventually be charging $30-something a month for ad tier, Disney will do the same, and the cable bundle reconstituted in streaming form will be complete (possibly with Max, Peacock and Paramount voltroning into a third player, though they will not have meaningful live sports). Plus the international upside, whatever it might be. But I’ve always thought that there was a huge flaw in the reconstituted cable bundle argument, namely that canceling cable was a pain in the ass and most places it was a monopoly or duopoly and was typically heavily discounted for a promo period to also get you cable internet business. The switching hassle is so greatly reduced with streaming that I suspect they will face pressure to keep prices lower and will face increasing competition not just from yt and shortform video apps, but from free ad supported streaming channels like Tubi.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5712935&forum_id=2...id.#48861667) |
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