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Polling was off by 1-3 points against the average in 2016 and 2020
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Date: September 18th, 2024 5:46 PM Author: MASE But seriously Cons. That's not going to happen this time.
Also Harris, sitting at a 2% lead in polling average, would definitely win in the electoral college even if there wasn't a polling error.
Trust me. I'm a lib. |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:08 PM Author: """'""""'' what happened in 2022, did the red wave materialize? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105703) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:09 PM Author: MASE I can't remember, was Trump on the ballot that year? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105710) |
Date: September 18th, 2024 5:48 PM Author: cock of michael obama brown hooker keeps moving up in the predictit odds (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105643) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 5:52 PM Author: MASE Sounds like good arbitrage for you then. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105651) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 5:59 PM Author: Fyre festival founder She seems consistently up like 4-7 points in most of the recent national polls. It’s not looking good at the moment. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105674) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:00 PM Author: cock of michael obama that was always the plan, to fake build polling momentum in her favor leading up to the election to justify the hardcore vote harvesting election steal
no one is voting for this blown out 80 iq hooker |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:04 PM Author: ''"'''"""'''"''''" why would they have to justify legal behavior? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105690) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:10 PM Author: cock of michael obama they want the election to at least appear legitimate
hard power is more expensive to use than soft power |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:06 PM Author: MASE Wow, only 4-7 points? Looks like Drumpf is dun here! Let's check and see what the average was for 2016 post-debate btw: https://ibb.co/44PLrQW Oh okay cool, let's see what the average was for 2020 post-debate: https://ibb.co/6HzkPvR Okay, now let's look at the average post-debate today: https://ibb.co/j3R0FGR
It's too bad that they completely fixed polling and these numbers are all accurate (which points to a narrow Trump electoral college victory before any adjustments are made) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:24 PM Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person This is the only accurate poll out right now
https://www.atlasintel.org/polls/general-release-polls
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:26 PM Author: MASE Baris is doing a good job. But CR. Atlas nailed 2020. Will probably start being considered a "right wing" outlet soon. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105778) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:03 PM Author: ''"'''"""'''"''''" 1.1% in 2016 actually (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105684) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:04 PM Author: peeface if you pick a particular basket of polls you can get it down to a small but significant error, but they were insanely off at this point in the election
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:08 PM Author: gibberish (?) Who knows maybe this time it will be two points off in Kamalas favor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105700) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:09 PM Author: MASE Damn, maybe we need to start adding 2-3 points to every poll in HER favor. Trumpmos in SHAMBLES. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105706) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:09 PM Author: """'""""'' it probably will (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105707) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:10 PM Author: MASE You better be hoping and praying that's the case, because that's the only chance Cummala has of winning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105714) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:47 PM Author: peeface strangely it is never off in the republicans favor... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105843) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:19 PM Author: MASE Oh look, a new Fox News poll (rated one of the most accurate pollsters). Let's see what it says! https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1836527836238131327 #NEW NATIONAL poll
🔵 Harris: 50% (+2) 🔴 Trump: 48%
Fox | Sept. 13-16 | N=876LV
Uh oh! Harris +2%! Extremely bad news for DRUMPF (Clinton lost the election with a 2.1% popular vote lead). Let's see how this pollster did in 2016 and 2020.
Oct 2016: Clinton +7% Final Result 2016: Clinton +2.1% (4.9% miss) Oct 2020: Biden +10% Final Result 2020: Biden +4.5% (5.5% miss)
Wow. Wow. |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:35 PM Author: ''"'''"""'''"''''" You can tell Trumpmos are getting nervous (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105810) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:37 PM Author: MASE I am actually terrified because libs have no response to any of this which means they must be coming up with some terrible plans to combat the fact that their candidate is about to lose bigly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105814) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 7:25 PM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term You conflate being cocksure and repetitious with making an argument.
Polls error is normal. https://www.voronoiapp.com/politics/Polling-Error-in-the-Past-Five-US-Presidential-Elections--2125
In fact, the worst was in 2012.
I have no idea what is going to happen, and neither do you. |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 7:49 PM Author: MASE Date: September 18th, 2024 7:25 PM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term
You conflate being cocksure and repetitious with making an argument. Polls error is normal. https://www.voronoiapp.com/politics/Polling-Error-in-the-Past-Five-US-Presidential-Elections--2125
In fact, the worst was in 2012.
I have no idea what is going to happen, and neither do you.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 6:56 PM Author: Senior Ethics Official I am worried the democrat party and deep state will rig the election again further deligitimizing our system of government amd making a civil war in this country more likely. Yes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105883) |
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Date: September 18th, 2024 7:00 PM Author: How to derive aut from ism More so because there's a better chance they'll get caught dead to rights this time but push the steal through anyway (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5597348&forum_id=2...id.#48105916) |