The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| racy arrogant stage | 12/10/15 |
| Scarlet mind-boggling indian lodge wagecucks | 12/12/15 |
| racy arrogant stage | 01/02/17 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 01/06/16 |
| cracking territorial new version | 01/06/16 |
| cracking territorial new version | 06/05/16 |
| Supple Salmon Coffee Pot | 03/26/16 |
| dark painfully honest dog poop set | 01/02/17 |
| Boyish emerald sneaky criminal | 10/25/18 |
| Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life | 12/10/15 |
| Cyan antidepressant drug electric furnace | 12/10/15 |
| Cerebral principal's office codepig | 12/10/15 |
| sticky khaki chapel | 12/10/15 |
| Learning disabled state | 12/15/15 |
| Startling tank range | 12/10/15 |
| Frozen hot gas station stain | 12/10/15 |
| swashbuckling fighting point voyeur | 12/10/15 |
| Underhanded Ebony Juggernaut | 12/11/15 |
| Very tactful claret becky | 12/12/15 |
| Glittery avocado plaza | 12/16/15 |
| multi-colored locale | 01/04/16 |
| unhinged red sanctuary | 11/09/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 12/11/15 |
| Nighttime glassy orchestra pit | 12/11/15 |
| chrome stead main people | 12/11/15 |
| Underhanded Ebony Juggernaut | 12/11/15 |
| Sooty piazza | 12/12/15 |
| Peach hairless stage | 01/25/16 |
| Bateful smoky cuckold lay | 11/10/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 12/12/15 |
| clear police squad | 12/12/15 |
| bat-shit-crazy maroon forum | 12/12/15 |
| charcoal lodge | 12/12/15 |
| comical faggot firefighter market | 12/15/15 |
| pea-brained light library | 12/21/15 |
| angry contagious space stock car | 12/12/15 |
| Twisted jewess home | 12/12/15 |
| elite mustard son of senegal | 12/12/15 |
| Idiotic school | 12/12/15 |
| Galvanic Offensive Nowag | 12/12/15 |
| Green tattoo mother | 12/12/15 |
| Frozen hot gas station stain | 12/15/15 |
| Frozen hot gas station stain | 12/16/15 |
| Stirring turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| bisexual drunken old irish cottage church | 12/15/15 |
| Spectacular Milky Fat Ankles | 12/15/15 |
| floppy locus prole | 12/15/15 |
| Bull headed alcoholic pit deer antler | 12/15/15 |
| Fragrant Parlour | 12/15/15 |
| racy arrogant stage | 12/15/15 |
| racy arrogant stage | 12/15/15 |
| racy arrogant stage | 12/15/15 |
| racy arrogant stage | 12/15/15 |
| racy arrogant stage | 12/15/15 |
| Crimson cumskin | 01/05/16 |
| Peach hairless stage | 01/25/16 |
| bistre feces | 12/17/16 |
| talented tripping shrine | 05/18/16 |
| Diverse hell | 08/12/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/09/16 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 11/09/16 |
| citrine bbw | 11/09/16 |
| Aphrodisiac chartreuse corner | 10/22/20 |
| Rusted telephone coldplay fan | 12/15/15 |
| Marvelous alpha | 12/16/15 |
| bespoke dilemma candlestick maker | 12/16/15 |
| Shimmering headpube | 12/16/15 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 12/16/15 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 12/17/15 |
| Titillating pistol national security agency | 12/18/15 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 01/06/16 |
| Primrose high-end step-uncle's house | 12/18/15 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 12/21/15 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 12/21/15 |
| pea-brained light library | 12/21/15 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 12/30/15 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 12/30/15 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 01/04/16 |
| multi-colored locale | 01/04/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 01/05/16 |
| Peach hairless stage | 01/25/16 |
| Titillating pistol national security agency | 01/05/16 |
| Walnut 180 knife | 01/05/16 |
| Insane charismatic ratface nursing home | 01/05/16 |
| histrionic amber halford | 01/05/16 |
| aromatic hospital | 01/05/16 |
| histrionic amber halford | 01/05/16 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 01/06/16 |
| histrionic amber halford | 01/06/16 |
| aromatic hospital | 01/05/16 |
| Diverse hell | 01/06/16 |
| pea-brained light library | 01/07/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 01/08/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 01/08/16 |
| pea-brained light library | 01/08/16 |
| Titillating pistol national security agency | 01/09/16 |
| pea-brained light library | 01/10/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 01/18/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 01/19/16 |
| Titillating pistol national security agency | 01/21/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 01/25/16 |
| crystalline area depressive | 01/25/16 |
| Peach hairless stage | 01/25/16 |
| crystalline area depressive | 02/09/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 09/06/16 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 11/05/18 |
| Saffron kitty | 01/29/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 02/01/16 |
| Razzle Sickened Meetinghouse Karate | 02/01/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 02/01/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 02/07/16 |
| Walnut 180 knife | 02/09/16 |
| lascivious whorehouse | 02/09/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 02/20/16 |
| Odious address pervert | 02/20/16 |
| talented tripping shrine | 02/24/16 |
| Aqua Selfie Office | 02/24/16 |
| mildly autistic water buffalo | 02/27/16 |
| Stirring turdskin | 03/09/16 |
| iridescent provocative cruise ship giraffe | 03/15/16 |
| Cerebral principal's office codepig | 03/15/16 |
| bisexual drunken old irish cottage church | 03/16/16 |
| rambunctious liquid oxygen | 02/24/16 |
| Motley milk boltzmann | 02/24/16 |
| bisexual drunken old irish cottage church | 07/21/16 |
| vibrant zombie-like stag film black woman | 02/24/16 |
| Cerebral principal's office codepig | 02/27/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/02/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/04/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/09/16 |
| Walnut 180 knife | 03/09/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/15/16 |
| talented tripping shrine | 03/15/16 |
| Sienna cocky goyim property | 03/15/16 |
| crusty beady-eyed dysfunction national | 03/15/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/16/16 |
| Frozen hot gas station stain | 03/16/16 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 03/23/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/23/16 |
| elite mustard son of senegal | 03/26/16 |
| flushed genital piercing athletic conference | 03/26/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/26/16 |
| Crimson cumskin | 03/28/16 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 03/28/16 |
| Cyan antidepressant drug electric furnace | 03/28/16 |
| Diverse hell | 08/12/16 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 11/05/18 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/28/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/29/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 03/29/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 03/29/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/29/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/29/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 04/01/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 04/04/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 04/15/16 |
| vigorous bipolar travel guidebook jap | 04/15/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 04/19/16 |
| Mauve Site | 04/20/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle Heaven | 04/20/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 04/24/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 04/25/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 04/26/16 |
| thriller judgmental garrison | 04/26/16 |
| cruel-hearted personal credit line patrolman | 04/30/16 |
| Carmine bawdyhouse rigor | 05/01/16 |
| Carmine bawdyhouse rigor | 11/07/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/02/16 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 05/02/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/03/16 |
| arousing roast beef | 05/03/16 |
| lime thirsty idea he suggested half-breed | 05/03/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/04/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 05/04/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/05/16 |
| Idiotic school | 05/05/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 05/05/16 |
| Motley milk boltzmann | 05/05/16 |
| clear police squad | 05/18/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/18/16 |
| talented tripping shrine | 05/18/16 |
| clear police squad | 05/18/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 05/29/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 06/20/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 06/29/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 07/14/16 |
| yellow mewling pocket flask | 07/15/16 |
| Diverse hell | 07/15/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 07/17/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 07/17/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 07/21/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 07/22/16 |
| Navy buck-toothed indirect expression wrinkle | 07/22/16 |
| Curious factory reset button quadroon | 07/23/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 07/24/16 |
| Sexy Blood Rage Legend | 07/25/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 07/25/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 07/27/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 08/05/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 08/09/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 08/12/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 08/12/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 08/12/16 |
| sepia location volcanic crater | 08/12/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 08/30/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 08/30/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 09/06/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 09/13/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 09/14/16 |
| angry contagious space stock car | 09/14/16 |
| brilliant crawly faggotry | 09/15/16 |
| Trip bearded clown theatre | 09/15/16 |
| cracking territorial new version | 09/15/16 |
| House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate | 09/15/16 |
| laughsome cheese-eating resort | 09/15/16 |
| Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca | 09/19/16 |
| Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca | 09/19/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 09/27/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 09/24/16 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 09/27/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 09/27/16 |
| Frozen hot gas station stain | 09/27/16 |
| Free-loading affirmative action crackhouse | 10/08/16 |
| awkward marketing idea keepsake machete | 07/29/24 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 09/28/16 |
| angry contagious space stock car | 09/28/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 09/28/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle Heaven | 09/28/16 |
| vigorous bipolar travel guidebook jap | 09/28/16 |
| internet-worthy hunting ground | 10/08/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 10/09/16 |
| Exhilarant Base Corn Cake | 10/09/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 10/09/16 |
| nubile big windowlicker | 10/09/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 10/10/16 |
| Sexy Blood Rage Legend | 10/30/16 |
| Diverse hell | 11/01/16 |
| House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate | 11/01/16 |
| Jet brunch | 11/02/16 |
| floppy locus prole | 11/02/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 11/07/16 |
| Adventurous casino legal warrant | 11/08/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 11/08/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/08/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 11/08/16 |
| nofapping frum degenerate tanning salon | 11/08/16 |
| Bronze violent center potus | 11/08/16 |
| Razzle Sickened Meetinghouse Karate | 11/08/16 |
| Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca | 11/08/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/08/16 |
| Sapphire doctorate field | 11/09/16 |
| brilliant crawly faggotry | 11/09/16 |
| electric nudist institution ceo | 11/09/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/09/16 |
| House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate | 11/09/16 |
| Sapphire doctorate field | 11/09/16 |
| Sexy Blood Rage Legend | 11/09/16 |
| Idiotic school | 11/09/16 |
| ungodly ruddy mood | 12/03/16 |
| Bateful smoky cuckold lay | 12/07/16 |
| bistre feces | 12/17/16 |
| Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig | 10/11/24 |
| cerise community account abode | 11/09/16 |
| Rose hominid | 11/09/16 |
| Disgusting Self-absorbed Kitchen | 11/09/16 |
| exciting ocher trailer park | 11/09/16 |
| ungodly ruddy mood | 11/09/16 |
| Diverse hell | 11/09/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/09/16 |
| clear police squad | 11/09/16 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 11/09/16 |
| Zippy Demanding Business Firm Psychic | 11/09/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/09/16 |
| fantasy-prone philosopher-king | 11/09/16 |
| Haunting sex offender theater stage | 11/09/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/09/16 |
| sticky khaki chapel | 11/09/16 |
| Primrose high-end step-uncle's house | 11/10/16 |
| crystalline area depressive | 11/10/16 |
| cracking territorial new version | 11/10/16 |
| Indecent Gay Wizard School Cafeteria | 11/10/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/10/16 |
| Bright magical mental disorder persian | 11/10/16 |
| Odious address pervert | 11/10/16 |
| Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca | 11/14/16 |
| aquamarine razzmatazz newt toaster | 11/14/16 |
| Buff swollen fortuitous meteor station | 12/04/16 |
| bistre feces | 12/17/16 |
| Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig | 10/11/24 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/25/16 |
| tantric lavender immigrant | 12/03/16 |
| nubile big windowlicker | 12/04/16 |
| henna bearded senate | 12/07/16 |
| cracking territorial new version | 12/07/16 |
| tantric lavender immigrant | 12/07/16 |
| racy arrogant stage | 01/02/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/02/17 |
| racy arrogant stage | 01/02/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/02/17 |
| racy arrogant stage | 03/03/20 |
| cracking territorial new version | 01/02/17 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 01/16/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/20/17 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 01/20/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/23/17 |
| internet-worthy hunting ground | 01/23/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/23/17 |
| Stimulating Pungent Pozpig Round Eye | 01/23/17 |
| internet-worthy hunting ground | 01/23/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/23/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/25/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 01/26/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 02/06/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 02/13/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 02/27/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 05/03/17 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/03/17 |
| autistic ape toilet seat | 09/21/17 |
| Cerebral principal's office codepig | 01/23/17 |
| House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate | 02/27/17 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 03/22/17 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 04/17/17 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/08/17 |
| racy arrogant stage | 06/20/17 |
| racy arrogant stage | 08/10/17 |
| racy arrogant stage | 10/15/17 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 10/15/17 |
| opaque wonderful trump supporter | 10/15/17 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/06/17 |
| confused den | 11/06/17 |
| federal sweet tailpipe | 11/08/17 |
| olive party of the first part | 11/08/17 |
| Spruce Vivacious Dingle Berry Ticket Booth | 11/13/17 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 12/18/17 |
| effete irradiated people who are hurt | 12/18/17 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 12/18/17 |
| racy arrogant stage | 01/30/18 |
| cracking territorial new version | 06/01/18 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 07/18/18 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 07/19/18 |
| laughsome cheese-eating resort | 09/20/18 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 09/25/18 |
| Cyan antidepressant drug electric furnace | 10/06/18 |
| racy arrogant stage | 10/06/18 |
| cracking territorial new version | 10/25/18 |
| Trip bearded clown theatre | 10/25/18 |
| Peach hairless stage | 11/05/18 |
| cracking territorial new version | 11/05/18 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 11/05/18 |
| cracking territorial new version | 11/05/18 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 01/08/19 |
| carnelian shivering public bath | 02/23/19 |
| racy arrogant stage | 03/13/19 |
| Peach hairless stage | 06/24/19 |
| Umber Kitty Cat | 06/24/19 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 11/18/19 |
| House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate | 02/12/20 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 02/12/20 |
| racy arrogant stage | 03/24/20 |
| gay bossy puppy sound barrier | 03/24/20 |
| yellow mewling pocket flask | 04/04/20 |
| racy arrogant stage | 04/26/20 |
| racy arrogant stage | 05/13/20 |
| yellow mewling pocket flask | 06/05/20 |
| Brindle university | 06/05/20 |
| yellow mewling pocket flask | 09/09/20 |
| House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate | 09/09/20 |
| Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life | 09/09/20 |
| Heady boistinker | 09/12/20 |
| ultramarine spot fanboi | 09/24/20 |
| Umber Kitty Cat | 10/09/20 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 10/10/20 |
| narrow-minded parlor | 10/22/20 |
| ungodly ruddy mood | 10/22/20 |
| Aphrodisiac chartreuse corner | 10/22/20 |
| Aphrodisiac chartreuse corner | 10/22/20 |
| concupiscible rehab | 03/23/22 |
| racy arrogant stage | 10/27/20 |
| indigo mad cow disease | 10/27/20 |
| Umber Kitty Cat | 10/30/20 |
| coral internal respiration jew | 11/03/20 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/22/22 |
| Unholy canary temple | 03/23/22 |
| yapping hairraiser hairy legs | 03/23/22 |
| obsidian box office foreskin | 03/23/22 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 07/25/22 |
| Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life | 07/25/22 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 10/23/22 |
| racy arrogant stage | 11/16/22 |
| racy arrogant stage | 04/25/23 |
| clear police squad | 04/25/23 |
| ultramarine spot fanboi | 04/29/23 |
| awkward marketing idea keepsake machete | 05/28/23 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 02/22/24 |
| ultramarine spot fanboi | 02/23/24 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 05/23/24 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 08/26/24 |
| ultramarine spot fanboi | 09/13/24 |
| Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life | 09/13/24 |
| ultramarine spot fanboi | 10/18/24 |
| Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig | 10/11/24 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 11/06/24 |
| Idiotic school | 03/04/25 |
| Idiotic school | 03/04/25 |
| laughsome cheese-eating resort | 03/04/25 |
| Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig | 03/04/25 |
| maniacal cuck cuckoldry | 03/04/25 |
| overrated multi-billionaire native | 03/05/25 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/07/25 |
| Soul-stirring lake striped hyena | 03/07/25 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/08/25 |
| Out-of-control french theater pisswyrm | 03/08/25 |
| Appetizing boiling water | 03/08/25 |
| goy orbison | 02/18/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: racy arrogant stage December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
 |
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Scarlet mind-boggling indian lodge wagecucks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364653) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32284620) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29532817) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: cracking territorial new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29532846) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: cracking territorial new version another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30631018) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: Supple Salmon Coffee Pot 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30144195) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: dark painfully honest dog poop set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32284612) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Boyish emerald sneaky criminal "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29351706) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: Cyan antidepressant drug electric furnace 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29351728) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Cerebral principal's office codepig 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29351742) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: sticky khaki chapel Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29351744) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: Learning disabled state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384172) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: Startling tank range FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29351749) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Frozen hot gas station stain Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29351753) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: swashbuckling fighting point voyeur Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: Underhanded Ebony Juggernaut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29359932) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Very tactful claret becky Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364985) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Glittery avocado plaza Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29392387) |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: multi-colored locale Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: unhinged red sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31854764) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29359811) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: Nighttime glassy orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29359818) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: chrome stead main people 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29359849) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: Underhanded Ebony Juggernaut November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29359926) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Sooty piazza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364617) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: Peach hairless stage Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29677834) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: Bateful smoky cuckold lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31866880) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364607) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: clear police squad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364621) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: bat-shit-crazy maroon forum lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364630) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: charcoal lodge March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: comical faggot firefighter market (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384155) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: pea-brained light library 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29429271) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: angry contagious space stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364847) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: Twisted jewess home lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364873) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: elite mustard son of senegal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364887) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: Idiotic school (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364890) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: Galvanic Offensive Nowag Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364896) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Green tattoo mother Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29364933) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Frozen hot gas station stain OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29383835) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Frozen hot gas station stain And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: Stirring turdskin 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29383898) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: bisexual drunken old irish cottage church fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29383961) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: Spectacular Milky Fat Ankles I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384107) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: floppy locus prole 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384183) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Bull headed alcoholic pit deer antler February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Fragrant Parlour You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384207) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: racy arrogant stage Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: racy arrogant stage http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384231) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: racy arrogant stage http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384237) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: racy arrogant stage http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384254) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: racy arrogant stage http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384262) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Crimson cumskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29525662) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: Peach hairless stage Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29677869) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: bistre feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32165246) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: talented tripping shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30504262) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Diverse hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31172544) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: racy arrogant stage http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31846270) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31846325) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: citrine bbw Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Aphrodisiac chartreuse corner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41167037) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Rusted telephone coldplay fan This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29384232) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Marvelous alpha 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29392396) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: bespoke dilemma candlestick maker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29392414) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Shimmering headpube Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29392427) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
|
Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: Titillating pistol national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29411300) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29532836) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Primrose high-end step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29411342) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: pea-brained light library 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29429241) |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: multi-colored locale flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29519032) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: racy arrogant stage ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29525598) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: Peach hairless stage Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29677890) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: Titillating pistol national security agency From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: Walnut 180 knife 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29531444) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Insane charismatic ratface nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29531475) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: histrionic amber halford An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29531481) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: aromatic hospital 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29531500) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: histrionic amber halford I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29532843) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: histrionic amber halford Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29535993) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: aromatic hospital No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29531557) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Diverse hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29532829) |
|
Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: pea-brained light library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29546163) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29551314) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: pea-brained light library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29554010) |
|
Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: Titillating pistol national security agency http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29559692) |
|
Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: pea-brained light library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29566112) |
|
Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29622950) |
|
Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
|
Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: Titillating pistol national security agency looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29677719) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: crystalline area depressive 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29677863) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: Peach hairless stage You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29677913) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: crystalline area depressive No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29791782) |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31345881) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37162047) |
|
Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Saffron kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29708433) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29727124) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Razzle Sickened Meetinghouse Karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29727197) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29732588) |
|
Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29771453) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: Walnut 180 knife (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29791735) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: lascivious whorehouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29791763) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29877406) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: Odious address pervert OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29877434) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: talented tripping shrine PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29903568) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: Aqua Selfie Office The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29903615) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: mildly autistic water buffalo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29931652) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: Stirring turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30015868) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: iridescent provocative cruise ship giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30066562) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: Cerebral principal's office codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30066681) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: bisexual drunken old irish cottage church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30070592) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: rambunctious liquid oxygen hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: Motley milk boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29904083) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: bisexual drunken old irish cottage church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30987707) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: vibrant zombie-like stag film black woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29904074) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: Cerebral principal's office codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29931637) |
|
Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29960115) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#29976826) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30015799) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: Walnut 180 knife yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30015891) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30065629) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: talented tripping shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30065970) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: Sienna cocky goyim property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30066291) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: crusty beady-eyed dysfunction national truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30066549) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: Frozen hot gas station stain March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30070601) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30119676) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30119337) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: elite mustard son of senegal http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30140474) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: flushed genital piercing athletic conference Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30140513) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30144174) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Crimson cumskin jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30151942) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30151965) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: Cyan antidepressant drug electric furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30151975) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Diverse hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31172540) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37162050) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30160689) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30161654) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30163086) |
|
Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30183235) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
|
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: vigorous bipolar travel guidebook jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30279158) |
|
Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30307876) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Mauve Site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30310760) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle Heaven I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30310807) |
|
Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30335375) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30346848) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30353572) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: thriller judgmental garrison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30353587) |
|
Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: cruel-hearted personal credit line patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30378951) |
|
Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: Carmine bawdyhouse rigor Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: Carmine bawdyhouse rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31825048) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30392947) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30393360) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: arousing roast beef holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30398720) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: lime thirsty idea he suggested half-breed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30402170) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30405223) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30405346) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: Idiotic school Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30412976) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: racy arrogant stage LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30412844) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Motley milk boltzmann Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30412994) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: clear police squad This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30504267) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30504223) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: talented tripping shrine In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30504268) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: clear police squad cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30504274) |
|
Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: racy arrogant stage lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30583536) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30746085) |
|
Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
|
Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30924907) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: yellow mewling pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30933127) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: Diverse hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30933205) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30956384) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30956397) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30987656) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30999290) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: Navy buck-toothed indirect expression wrinkle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#30999301) |
|
Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Curious factory reset button quadroon Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31006876) |
|
Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31020363) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Sexy Blood Rage Legend Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31022942) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31023351) |
|
Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: racy arrogant stage Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31043518) |
|
Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31113817) |
|
Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: racy arrogant stage THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31172565) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: racy arrogant stage I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31172569) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: sepia location volcanic crater LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31172627) |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: racy arrogant stage THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt 180 i want 2 believe |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31345879) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31404088) |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: angry contagious space stock car Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31404101) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: brilliant crawly faggotry September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Trip bearded clown theatre September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: cracking territorial new version god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31413930) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31413938) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: laughsome cheese-eating resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31413954) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31443744) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31443779) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31503555) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31482152) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31503552) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31503554) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Frozen hot gas station stain This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31503556) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: Free-loading affirmative action crackhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31592208) |
|
Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: awkward marketing idea keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#47906632) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: angry contagious space stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31511665) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31511673) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle Heaven This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31512070) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: vigorous bipolar travel guidebook jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31513385) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: internet-worthy hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31592192) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31594952) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Exhilarant Base Corn Cake Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31594953) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31594954) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: nubile big windowlicker half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31594956) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
|
|
Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Sexy Blood Rage Legend close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31763265) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: Diverse hell Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31772625) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31777531) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Jet brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31782180) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: floppy locus prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31786832) |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31825019) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Adventurous casino legal warrant You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31833310) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31833315) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: racy arrogant stage ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31839758) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31844114) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: nofapping frum degenerate tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31842891) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Bronze violent center potus Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Razzle Sickened Meetinghouse Karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31843660) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31844292) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31844674) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: Sapphire doctorate field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31846281) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: brilliant crawly faggotry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31846326) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: electric nudist institution ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31846448) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31848552) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31848608) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: Sapphire doctorate field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31848693) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Sexy Blood Rage Legend it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31848755) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: Idiotic school (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31848775) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: ungodly ruddy mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32044462) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Bateful smoky cuckold lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32076291) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: bistre feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32165256) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48187313) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: cerise community account abode (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31848725) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Rose hominid Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31849301) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Disgusting Self-absorbed Kitchen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31849447) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: exciting ocher trailer park 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: ungodly ruddy mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31851790) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: Diverse hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31852918) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31854576) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: clear police squad this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31854584) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31855383) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Zippy Demanding Business Firm Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31855482) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31863076) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: fantasy-prone philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31863082) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Haunting sex offender theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31863093) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: racy arrogant stage November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: sticky khaki chapel you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31863503) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Primrose high-end step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31866924) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: crystalline area depressive Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31868448) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: cracking territorial new version bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31866864) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Indecent Gay Wizard School Cafeteria (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31867005) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: racy arrogant stage sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Bright magical mental disorder persian ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31868235) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Odious address pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31868543) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal flickering hall macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31907692) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: aquamarine razzmatazz newt toaster They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31907697) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: Buff swollen fortuitous meteor station Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32055646) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: bistre feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32165261) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48187317) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#31989410) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: tantric lavender immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32044435) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: nubile big windowlicker GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32055631) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: henna bearded senate https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32076268) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: cracking territorial new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32076292) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: tantric lavender immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32076345) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32284600) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: racy arrogant stage ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32284631) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
|
Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#39686962) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: cracking territorial new version truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32284649) |
|
Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32389095) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32412323) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32416346) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: internet-worthy hunting ground TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32441222) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32441238) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: Stimulating Pungent Pozpig Round Eye I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: internet-worthy hunting ground it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32441319) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32458110) |
|
Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32466804) |
|
Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32560776) |
|
Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32612572) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32714310) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#33221553) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#33222883) |
|
Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: autistic ape toilet seat https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34257967) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Cerebral principal's office codepig this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32441221) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32714399) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#32891711) |
|
Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#33097887) |
|
Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#33256991) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#33605191) |
|
Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: racy arrogant stage What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: racy arrogant stage https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34449074) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34449102) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: opaque wonderful trump supporter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34449138) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34615930) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: confused den credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34615959) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: federal sweet tailpipe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34636123) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: olive party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34636459) |
|
Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: Spruce Vivacious Dingle Berry Ticket Booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34673088) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34948560) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: effete irradiated people who are hurt Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34948572) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#34950581) |
|
Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#35278621) |
|
Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: cracking territorial new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#36168381) |
|
Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#36451135) |
|
Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#36458802) |
|
Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: laughsome cheese-eating resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#36847087) |
|
Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: Cyan antidepressant drug electric furnace It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#36973680) |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: racy arrogant stage lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#36973690) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: cracking territorial new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37090167) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: Trip bearded clown theatre Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37090191) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: Peach hairless stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37161974) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: cracking territorial new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37161955) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37162045) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: cracking territorial new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37167335) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37553376) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: carnelian shivering public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#37833345) |
|
Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: racy arrogant stage Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
|
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: Peach hairless stage There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#38431500) |
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: Umber Kitty Cat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#38431431) |
|
Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#39135638) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#39583415) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#39583624) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#39849854) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: gay bossy puppy sound barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#39849877) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: yellow mewling pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#39938878) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40097972) |
|
Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: racy arrogant stage https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: yellow mewling pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40354730) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: Brindle university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40355911) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: yellow mewling pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40896459) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: House-broken scourge upon the earth roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40896523) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40896526) |
|
Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: Heady boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40908695) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: ultramarine spot fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#40977795) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: Umber Kitty Cat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41079968) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41088157) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: narrow-minded parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41166967) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: ungodly ruddy mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41166990) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Aphrodisiac chartreuse corner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41167039) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: Aphrodisiac chartreuse corner https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41167053) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: concupiscible rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#44203011) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: racy arrogant stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41200021) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: indigo mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41202581) |
|
Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: Umber Kitty Cat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41222868) |
|
Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: coral internal respiration jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#41261120) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#44196611) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Unholy canary temple (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#44202968) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: yapping hairraiser hairy legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#44202984) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: obsidian box office foreskin 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#44203017) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#44911871) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#44911874) |
|
Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#45378008) |
|
Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: racy arrogant stage Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: racy arrogant stage https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#46237455) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: clear police squad why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#46237460) |
|
Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: ultramarine spot fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#46252623) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: awkward marketing idea keepsake machete FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
|
Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#47428670) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: ultramarine spot fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#47430198) |
|
Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
|
Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48010724) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: ultramarine spot fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48087201) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Useless Startled Idiot Goal In Life One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48087224) |
|
Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: ultramarine spot fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48211967) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48187302) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48296972) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: Idiotic school 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48715841) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: Idiotic school https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48715847) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: laughsome cheese-eating resort Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: Sadistic Lilac Menage Filthpig The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48715863) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: maniacal cuck cuckoldry He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48715869) |
|
Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: overrated multi-billionaire native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48716330) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48724299) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: Soul-stirring lake striped hyena 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48724306) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: Appetizing boiling water "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: Out-of-control french theater pisswyrm Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48727216) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: Appetizing boiling water Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#48727802) |
|
Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: goy orbison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2...id.#49679495) |