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kamala is up by 900,000 votes in PA right now
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 26th, 2024 4:03 AM Author: queensbridge benzo https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242269) |
Date: October 26th, 2024 4:09 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' This is quite convincing data something is going on in PA/WI/MI. Everywhere else Dems and Republicans are even in ballots by party affiliation. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242277) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:21 AM Author: queensbridge benzo blue wall states are the path of least resistance so i'm assuming that's where the bulk of the ad/get out the vote money is going (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242286) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:34 AM Author: queensbridge benzo dp (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242292) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 8:58 AM Author: richard clock no its not. repubs do early in person, which pa doesnt have, so their turnout is lower there. still, kamala's firewall is less than 400k right now, which is way lower than where biden was in 2020 and probably not enough (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242552) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:12 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' what explains the even balance of dems and republicans in other states except wi, mi, and pa? doesn't trump tell his pa voters to do mail in, just do it early? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242580) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:16 AM Author: richard clock trump voters will do early in person, not mail, so places like pa that dont have early in person are worse than say nevada. WI and MI dont provide data by party id so anything you're seeing is just a guess.WI in particular has open primaries so fewer people are registered to a party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242598) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:36 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' can you link to mi/wi being guesswork? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242654) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:51 AM Author: richard clock look here: https://x.com/VoteHubUS. for states that have actual data on voter registration of early voters, they provide that. for michigan and wisconsin, they only have the geography that the votes come from, not the party. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242876) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:53 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' What do you make of this?
VoteHub @VoteHubUS 1.3 million mail and absentee ballots have been requested in Pennsylvania. Here's how they break down 👉
🔵 Democratic 841,428 🔴 Republican 347,270 ⚪️ Other 141,967 |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:53 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' VoteHub @VoteHubUS Pennsylvania 🔔🚂 Mail and absentee ballots update Total: 89,598
🔵 Democratic 65,235 (73%) 🔴 Republican 17,342 (19%) ⚪️ Other 7,021 (8%) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:55 AM Author: richard clock this is the latest data. dem returns +370,000. it's not enough
https://x.com/VoteHubUS/status/1849828788877549871 |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:56 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' PA could be determined by a margin under 100,000 votes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242893) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:58 AM Author: richard clock for sure. in 2020 the dem advantage in early vote returns was 1.1 million, and it came down to like 100k votes. dems arent even going to hit 500k heading into election day this year. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242902) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:55 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' VoteHub @VoteHubUS Pennsylvania 🚂 Mail and absentee ballot returns update Total returns: 536,212 (+119,560 since 10/11)
🔵 Democratic 66.9% | 358,703 (+73,631) 🔴 Republican 24.3% | 130,076 (+34,410) ⚪ Other 8.8% | 47,433 (+11,519) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:23 AM Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., Did you read your own link benzo? Would love to see you break down how Kamala is up by 900k votes after 1.3M ballots have been returned (with 60/30/10 D/R/O breakdown). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242287) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:32 AM Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., Benzo plz respond (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242290) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:33 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' I don't know how many votes Harris is up by but look at the national data by party affiliation compared to PA, WI, and MI. Dems are doing a really good job of getting voters to vote early in those three states and probably have operatives send in ballots harvested from illegal immigrants. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242291) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:35 AM Author: queensbridge benzo missed the 10%, so 780,000. biden's final margin was a million votes and we're still 11 days out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242294) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:45 AM Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., OK benzo, I’ll walk you through it.
To get 60 percent of 1.3M you multiply it by .6 (we’ll call this the Harris number)
To get 30 percent of 1.3M you multiply it by .3 (we’ll call this the Trump number)
The difference between the Harris number and the Trump number is not 780k.
I thought an expert trader like yourself would be better at math.
Date: October 26th, 2024 4:35 AM Author: queensbridge benzo
missed the 10%, so 780,000. biden's final margin was a million votes and we're still 11 days out. |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 5:47 AM Author: queensbridge benzo oops figured for the difference between R votes and total votes instead the difference between D and R votes. " i'm just glad my misstatement [deliberate lie] drew attention to the issue." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242340) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 8:41 AM Author: ms. appleberry's landing strip How’s the “options trading” going you innumerate retard? 😅 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242532) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 11:34 AM Author: art the clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242851) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 3:20 PM Author: alek benzo? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48243502) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 4:48 AM Author: UN peacekeeper Terrible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242301) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 5:15 AM Author: ''"'''"''"' Harris is going to win (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242319) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 6:54 AM Author: UN peacekeeper terrible if true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242400) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., Benzo math (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242320) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 5:19 AM Author: ,.,.,:,,:,..,:::,...,:,.,..:,:.::,. i'm trying to reverse retard engineer how you even got that inconceivably and obviously wrong number and i am stumped. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242324) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 5:22 AM Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., Benzo saw that republicans were getting 30% of 1.3M and subtracted that number from the total and believes that the remainder is what Harris is winning by.
It’s one of the dumber takes I’ve ever seen. |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 5:56 AM Author: queensbridge benzo what's your take on the drastic difference between 2020 and 2024 in michigan?
https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2024?count_prefix=final_eav_voted_count_&demo_filters=%5B%7B%22key%22%3A%22modeledParty%22%2C%22value%22%3A%22All%22%7D%5D&state=MI&view_type=state |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 6:25 AM Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded) To be fair,
It really is remarkable that one of the most profoundly gifted quant trading geniuses in the world is a deeply impoverished and permanently unemployed retard who can't do basic math.
It's almost enough to make you wonder if he really *is* one of the most profoundly gifted quant trading geniuses in the world... |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 6:49 AM Author: jag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242393) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 8:57 AM Author: richard clock (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242549) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 8:17 AM Author: ..................,.....,.,,.,..... Have to love how this drooling retard constantly reminds xo just how fucking stupid he is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242500) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 8:25 AM Author: .,,;,;,.:;,::.,;:.,;:.,;:;,..:;,.:;,.....:;;,,: I’m even dumber than everyone in this thread and I can’t read but can someone tell me if this is good or bad for Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242512) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 8:32 AM Author: borders2 Looks good, hes being Boring but still entertaining (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618394&forum_id=2...id.#48242516) |
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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:04 AM Author: richard clock it's bad for dems, they are not going to hit 500k registration lead in the early vote
https://x.com/CoolHandElias/status/1849582241367851498 |