\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Predict date by when most of xo will recognize that "AI" was a hysteria.

A lot of iconoclasts here, so I bet we'll realize this about...
multi-colored space candlestick maker
  01/26/26
...
aromatic silver dopamine
  01/26/26
Have to define it more narrowly than that AI is very real...
pea-brained queen of the night
  01/26/26
Yeah hysteria isn't quite the right word, but I was running ...
multi-colored space candlestick maker
  01/26/26
“date by” was indispensable in your title
massive theater stage
  01/26/26
?
multi-colored space candlestick maker
  01/26/26
many xo approved shortening conventions could’ve given...
massive theater stage
  01/26/26
Oh, you mean "dispensable"
multi-colored space candlestick maker
  01/26/26
yes i was being sarcastic. i thought you liked that sort of ...
massive theater stage
  01/26/26
I was being sarcastic too.
multi-colored space candlestick maker
  01/26/26
“most of” is hard to say. i think a slight major...
massive theater stage
  01/26/26
...
Claret crackhouse
  01/26/26
As others have noted, "hysteria" is poorly defined...
Bat shit crazy mediation state
  01/26/26
Cr and good poast
pea-brained queen of the night
  01/26/26
...
massive theater stage
  01/26/26
Yeah, this is what I meant. But does a majority of xo alrea...
multi-colored space candlestick maker
  01/26/26
"But I would bet my entire 401k that we won't have Opti...
Exhilarant theater
  01/26/26
...
marvelous boltzmann business firm
  01/26/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: multi-colored space candlestick maker

A lot of iconoclasts here, so I bet we'll realize this about 6-12 months before normies do. I'll say December 1, 2026.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621120)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:52 PM
Author: aromatic silver dopamine



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621204)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: pea-brained queen of the night

Have to define it more narrowly than that

AI is very real and very powerful but it's being hyped up to be something it's not

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621121)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:24 PM
Author: multi-colored space candlestick maker

Yeah hysteria isn't quite the right word, but I was running out of characters.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621122)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:27 PM
Author: massive theater stage

“date by” was indispensable in your title

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621134)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:31 PM
Author: multi-colored space candlestick maker

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621148)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:43 PM
Author: massive theater stage

many xo approved shortening conventions could’ve given you more title characters

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621169)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:53 PM
Author: multi-colored space candlestick maker

Oh, you mean "dispensable"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621210)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:53 PM
Author: massive theater stage

yes i was being sarcastic. i thought you liked that sort of thing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621213)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 5:26 PM
Author: multi-colored space candlestick maker

I was being sarcastic too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621382)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:29 PM
Author: massive theater stage

“most of” is hard to say. i think a slight majority already are there tbh. the big AI fan here people are just really loud and they probably will never give it up bc they view it as their ticket to immortality

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621137)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:31 PM
Author: Claret crackhouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621146)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:51 PM
Author: Bat shit crazy mediation state

As others have noted, "hysteria" is poorly defined in this discussion. It's not entirely smoke and mirrors; it is a very handy tool that will increase productivity in a lot of white collar fields. But I would bet my entire 401k that we won't have Optimus robots cleaning our houses and taking care of our kids within the next decade.

My prediction on how this will all play out is that the first domino to fall will be when OpenAI runs out of cash and gets bought out by some other tech giant. That will make investors think that maybe they should not be accepting absurd P/E ratios just because a company is doing something related to AI. This will lead to a significant drop in the share prices of the Magnificent Seven, which will lead to a wider stock market correction given that the Seven have driven most of the growth in the S&P over the last few years. My guess is that this will not lead to a wider economic downturn given that the Magnificent Seven are all well capitalized and can afford to light lots of money on fire, so we won't see a 2008-style panic. But once the market starts to correct, people will see that maybe AI is not going to result in a robotic utopia in the next few years.

As for the timing on this, I have no idea. Keynes' quip about how the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent seems relevant here. I'm just guessing that OpenAI is the most vulnerable player in the field because they have essentially zero revenue and they are burning cash like it is going out of style. My guess is that sooner or later investors are going to get impatient and the cash spigot will dry up.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621200)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 4:59 PM
Author: pea-brained queen of the night

Cr and good poast

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621256)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 5:03 PM
Author: massive theater stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621274)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 5:28 PM
Author: multi-colored space candlestick maker

Yeah, this is what I meant. But does a majority of xo already recognized this?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621389)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 8:33 PM
Author: Exhilarant theater

"But I would bet my entire 401k that we won't have Optimus robots cleaning our houses and taking care of our kids within the next decade."

You have said the actual truth. Musk recently said something along the lines of "there will be more humanoid robots than people in the world" and it's just laughably insane. No one wants this and there are significant material and energy constraints to prevent this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621980)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2026 5:03 PM
Author: marvelous boltzmann business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5827001&forum_id=2Reputation#49621271)