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How large of a portfolio is needed to spend $200k annually indefinitely?

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Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
10mm
Mewling Area
  07/07/25
fuck my ass.
Slap-happy Cracking Point Codepig
  07/07/25
This seems about right. $10 million yields $300k pretax annu...
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
There is no 3% rule. No one needs to be that conservative. ...
Titillating idiot principal's office
  07/07/25
its not even that conservative dude. inflation, fees, fines,...
Mewling Area
  07/07/25
To my mind, 3% is aggressive going forward and a 2.5% or eve...
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
3% cagr means you could live 45 years with $5M on $200K spen...
crawly lodge
  07/07/25
you are retarded if you pay an effective tax rate of 33% on ...
bespoke patrolman
  07/07/25
Paying taxes is the law
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
Even if you are single, do no tax planning and have no deduc...
bespoke patrolman
  07/08/25
You're forgetting state taxes 😵‍💫
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/08/25
$6m
180 Plum Orchestra Pit
  07/07/25
$200k is this supposed to be some kind of a trick question
peach cerebral abode wrinkle
  07/07/25
...
trip shrine
  07/07/25
...
Brindle Self-centered Chad
  07/07/25
...
Greedy Theater Stage
  07/07/25
Between $4m-$5m depending on how conservative/aggressive you...
Titillating idiot principal's office
  07/07/25
I said spend, so obviously I meant post-tax
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
Between $5.3m - $7.5m depending on various assumptions and d...
Titillating idiot principal's office
  07/07/25
what the fuck are you buying every year?
Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria
  07/07/25
I dunno. Might enjoy having a place to live, food to eat, c...
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
you can do that for far less even in blue states.
Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria
  07/07/25
Think of it this way. Hedge funds typically charge 2 and 20...
histrionic multi-billionaire party of the first part
  07/07/25
answers like this always amaze me on xo. basic percentages b...
Mewling Area
  07/07/25
This makes no sense. OP, don’t think about it this way...
Olive shivering tanning salon
  07/07/25
And yet, the answer it gives (between 5 and 7 million) is th...
histrionic multi-billionaire party of the first part
  07/07/25
Lmao
Useless Potus
  07/07/25
you probably literally only need $4m for that. Assuming you...
Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria
  07/07/25
I'll probably have $10 million or thereabouts when I hit The...
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
the reality though is that you should actually spend the 200...
Mewling Area
  07/07/25
You wanna try that again
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
he clearly meant "shouldn't"
Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria
  07/07/25
Depends, how much of the principal do you want to leave behi...
Nofapping Depressive Generalized Bond
  07/07/25
Leave behind for what
Hairraiser bipolar theatre
  07/07/25
whatever you want my friend. kids, family, charity, etc.
Nofapping Depressive Generalized Bond
  07/07/25
fuck jews
Greedy Theater Stage
  07/07/25
"Leaving behind" makes almost no sense unless you'...
Titillating idiot principal's office
  07/07/25
why is everyone assuming ~1/3 in taxes? that’s a high ...
Slap-happy Cracking Point Codepig
  07/07/25
generally retirement income from QPs is ordinary income.
Nofapping Depressive Generalized Bond
  07/07/25
withdrawals from 401(k)s and the like, yes. but i don’...
Slap-happy Cracking Point Codepig
  07/07/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:03 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079518)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:04 PM
Author: Mewling Area

10mm

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079524)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:09 PM
Author: Slap-happy Cracking Point Codepig

fuck my ass.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079549)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:10 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

This seems about right. $10 million yields $300k pretax annually under the 3% rule, and assume 1/3 tax rate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079556)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:10 PM
Author: Titillating idiot principal's office

There is no 3% rule. No one needs to be that conservative. There is no version of the Trinity Study which supports this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079558)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:12 PM
Author: Mewling Area

its not even that conservative dude. inflation, fees, fines, taxes, etc gobble up all of your supposed "earnings". the economy isnt really growing faster than that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079572)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:15 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

To my mind, 3% is aggressive going forward and a 2.5% or even 2% rule is probably more appropriate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:07 PM
Author: crawly lodge

3% cagr means you could live 45 years with $5M on $200K spend and not run out of $. If you can get 5% then you can do $4.2M and never have your balance drop.

edit: factor 2% inflation to the $200K spend - you'd run out of $ in 45 years with $5M

edit v2: I guess if you pay 25% taxes you'd run out of $ in 30 years vs. 44 and change, assuming you pay taxes on the $ you withdraw/spend

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079801)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:30 PM
Author: bespoke patrolman

you are retarded if you pay an effective tax rate of 33% on 300k in investment income.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49080104)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 6:20 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

Paying taxes is the law

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49080286)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 8th, 2025 6:02 AM
Author: bespoke patrolman

Even if you are single, do no tax planning and have no deductions whatsoever, and every penny of income is STCG or dividends, the effective tax rate is still less than 25%. Additional medicare tax and NIIT pushes it to a bit over 26%. Even in the basic worst case scenario you don't pay 33%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49081696)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 8th, 2025 11:01 AM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

You're forgetting state taxes 😵‍💫

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49082266)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:07 PM
Author: 180 Plum Orchestra Pit

$6m

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079539)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:08 PM
Author: peach cerebral abode wrinkle

$200k is this supposed to be some kind of a trick question

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079545)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:11 PM
Author: trip shrine



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079562)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:44 PM
Author: Brindle Self-centered Chad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079697)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:39 PM
Author: Greedy Theater Stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079950)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:11 PM
Author: Titillating idiot principal's office

Between $4m-$5m depending on how conservative/aggressive you want to be. That's to get $200k pre-tax (increasing annually for inflation); you'd need to adjust upward if you want a post-tax figure.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079563)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:15 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

I said spend, so obviously I meant post-tax

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079588)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:27 PM
Author: Titillating idiot principal's office

Between $5.3m - $7.5m depending on various assumptions and desired level of conservatism.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079633)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:53 PM
Author: Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria

what the fuck are you buying every year?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079741)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:58 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

I dunno. Might enjoy having a place to live, food to eat, clothes to wear, and so on.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079756)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:14 PM
Author: Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria

you can do that for far less even in blue states.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49080051)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:36 PM
Author: histrionic multi-billionaire party of the first part

Think of it this way. Hedge funds typically charge 2 and 20 (2% management fee on the principal, plus 20% of that year's return as a performance fee). So think of yourself as the manager of your personal "fund".

If you assume you're getting an 5% rate of return on your invested capital on average (pretty conservative), then you'd need $6,666,667. This would give a management fee of $133,333 plus a performance fee of $66,667 (6,666,667 * .05 * .20), which adds up to $200k. If you assume a 10% rate of return (maybe too aggressive) then you'd only need $5 million.

I am ignoring taxes here, you'd need a higher amount if you want $200k post tax.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079668)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:41 PM
Author: Mewling Area

answers like this always amaze me on xo. basic percentages but no reference to the fact that a guy who has 6.7mm in 2025 america shouldnt be thinking about "hedge funds" at all.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079685)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:50 PM
Author: Olive shivering tanning salon

This makes no sense. OP, don’t think about it this way.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079724)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:27 PM
Author: histrionic multi-billionaire party of the first part

And yet, the answer it gives (between 5 and 7 million) is the same as everyone else is saying. It's a reasonable rule of thumb that still lets the principal grow.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079896)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:59 PM
Author: Useless Potus

Lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079760)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:52 PM
Author: Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria

you probably literally only need $4m for that. Assuming you are reasonable with it. e.g., take out less during down market years, take out more when the market is up/stable.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079738)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:56 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

I'll probably have $10 million or thereabouts when I hit The Wall in a couple years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079751)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:59 PM
Author: Mewling Area

the reality though is that you should actually spend the 200k or even 100k unless youre puting a kid through college or something.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079762)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:01 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

You wanna try that again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079775)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:15 PM
Author: Purple shaky hissy fit school cafeteria

he clearly meant "shouldn't"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49080054)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:00 PM
Author: Nofapping Depressive Generalized Bond

Depends, how much of the principal do you want to leave behind? Assuming all or most of it, and a 4-6% withdrawal rate and 35% estimated taxes you'd need between 5-7.5m.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079773)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:02 PM
Author: Hairraiser bipolar theatre

Leave behind for what

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079779)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:02 PM
Author: Nofapping Depressive Generalized Bond

whatever you want my friend. kids, family, charity, etc.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079783)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:39 PM
Author: Greedy Theater Stage

fuck jews

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079946)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:36 PM
Author: Titillating idiot principal's office

"Leaving behind" makes almost no sense unless you're talking truly generational wealth, which the OP isn't. It's another shit boomer concept, i.e., it's cool to be shitty egoists all your life because you'll leave son Johnny and daughter Lisa $4.1m when you die at 93 which will somehow absolve your sins.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49080120)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:22 PM
Author: Slap-happy Cracking Point Codepig

why is everyone assuming ~1/3 in taxes? that’s a high blended rate for that level of income in the first place, and i wouldn’t think it would be too hard to structure most of the income as LTCG. this admittedly leaves aside the issue of taxes remaining close their current rates indefinitely.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079865)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:46 PM
Author: Nofapping Depressive Generalized Bond

generally retirement income from QPs is ordinary income.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49079978)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 8:34 PM
Author: Slap-happy Cracking Point Codepig

withdrawals from 401(k)s and the like, yes. but i don’t think someone with $5-10M in cash/stocks/bonds has most of that in a 401(k).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2Reputation#49080738)