Roth conversions and pro-rata rule
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Date: December 5th, 2025 11:36 PM Author: Glassy domesticated nibblets
i think the only way you run into issues with the pro rata rule is if you hold any pretax money in IRAs. do you?
it's no problem if all your IRAs are roth already
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5806858&forum_id=2Reputation#49487722) |
Date: December 6th, 2025 1:11 PM Author: bright chad
Look at this:
Let's say you have 100k pretax 401k. You converted it to roth and paid 40k cash to irs from your savings.
Now you let that 100k grow into 1million over 20 years. You then either take it tax free or pay ordinary income tax on that million. Sure you would also have extra 40k in your taxable brokerage that could theoretically grow to 400k and equal to the value of that tax, but is that realistic? Each time you sell stock in the brokerage it's a taxable event. In roth I can buy and sell bitcoin and qqq limitless. Besides I'll have plenty in regular brokerage account
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5806858&forum_id=2Reputation#49488614) |
Date: December 6th, 2025 1:41 PM Author: bright chad
Actually the main reason to do 401k conversion now instead of later may be the choice of investment. 401k is whole market index. While in roth I can keep going in and out of qqq, tqqq, bitcoins.
It's true I could convert 401k at a lesser tax rate in the future but maximum difference would be about 13%, i.e. 24% versus 37%. So it's really a question about whether wholemarket index would outperform my personal investments in qqq, spmo, tqqq
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5806858&forum_id=2Reputation#49488707) |
Date: December 6th, 2025 6:20 PM Author: bright chad
Look at this calculation:
100k in 401k convert to roth and pay 37k from savings account now. Or wait until retirement when it is 500k and invest 37k in taxable brokerage which becomes 185k. In fact if I am in a lower tax bracket (30%), I will end up paying exactly the same. 500*.3 and 185k after capital gains tax is the same. If I am in the same tax bracket I will pay more. And if I don't invest that 37k I will obviously just be down by .3*500
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5806858&forum_id=2Reputation#49489424) |
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Date: December 6th, 2025 7:03 PM Author: Glassy domesticated nibblets
think about this reply - the marginal tax rate is the only thing that matters
http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5806858&forum_id=2#49488743
in your example i'm assuming a current marginal tax rate of 37% and in retirement of 30%. cap gains assume 15% even though the first $50k per year is %0.
100k in 401k convert to roth and pay 37k from savings account now.
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so you have $500k in retirement
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Or wait until retirement when it is 500k and invest 37k in taxable brokerage which becomes 185k. In fact if I am in a lower tax bracket (30%), I will end up paying exactly the same. 500*.3 and 185k after capital gains tax is the same. If I am in the same tax bracket I will pay more. And if I don't invest that 37k I will obviously just be down by .3*500
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$500k*.7=$350k, + .85($148)+$37=$162.8 = $512.8k
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5806858&forum_id=2Reputation#49489573) |
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Date: December 6th, 2025 9:01 PM Author: Glassy domesticated nibblets
OK now assume current marginal tax rate of 37% and retirement of 37%. cap gains assume 19%.
100k in 401k convert to roth and pay 37k from savings account now.
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so you have $500k in retirement
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Or wait until retirement when it is 500k and invest 37k in taxable brokerage which becomes 185k.
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cap gains tax is $0 on the first $50k per year
$500k*0.63=$315, + 1x($148)+$37=$185k = $500k
if cap gains is 19% yeah the math looks worse
$500k*0.63=$315, + 0.81($148)+$37=$156.11k = $471.11k
and not sure why you think your retirement marginal tax rate would be 37%. if you have some flexibility you can take larger distributions in years when you don't have other taxable income
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5806858&forum_id=2Reputation#49489874) |
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