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is making trump the nominee the only way for reps to win

if he goes 3rd party they lose and if they run some fat dork...
Dark Underhanded Ticket Booth Cuck
  08/07/15
yes - a bland moderate pol (like mccain and romney - who wer...
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
...
pink resort headpube
  08/07/15
ty
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
...
Infuriating fragrant principal's office
  08/07/15
...
Canary zombie-like stock car
  08/08/15
If Trump's name is on the ballot come the general election, ...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
breh, trump v. menopausal plastic-faced Benghazi-lying (buh ...
Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape
  08/07/15
Do you actually believe this? http://www.realclearpoliti...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
poll seems legit bro. ps fuck you. and in any event, w...
Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape
  08/07/15
You know it was 5 separate polls, right? So when you used si...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggo...
Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape
  08/07/15
.
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: ....,...,.,,..,.,......
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
how did you find this board?
house-broken station queen of the night
  08/08/15
she is sooooo fucking overrated and awful, and anyone preten...
razzmatazz potus step-uncle's house
  08/07/15
She's incredibly overrated. And Trump is hated by the people...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
reminder: every "serious political analyst" has wr...
pink resort headpube
  08/07/15
who pays these faggot analysts? are you not seeing what is g...
Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape
  08/07/15
you're right about everything except that trump would win. d...
exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes
  08/07/15
bro who doesn't under the demographics of the Obama v Romney...
Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape
  08/07/15
i know them. i'm not saying she doesn't need minorities, but...
exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes
  08/07/15
Likelihood of total defeat high, but possible chance of vict...
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
There's no chance of victory whatsoever with a reality TV st...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
(conventional pol thinker) if you don't see why his big t...
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
Walk me through how the reality TV star overcomes his absurd...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-tru...
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
Unfavorability among Republicans. Doesn't mean shit in a...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
(the type of guy who doesn't understand the difference betwe...
exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes
  08/07/15
Jeb Bush would have a pretty decent shot. Trump would have n...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
ty
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
might even only be a 5% chance, but #yolo, beats a certain l...
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
this. jeb is a lock for a 45-55 loss. whereas trump will lik...
exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes
  08/07/15
exactly. non-probabilistic thinkers don't get this. trump kn...
high-end dragon sweet tailpipe
  08/07/15
There's no circumstance in which the reality TV star could w...
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
(guy insisting there was "no circumstance" in whic...
pink resort headpube
  08/07/15
Link?
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
you know you were, faggot
pink resort headpube
  08/07/15
Link?
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
lol. found one. god bless json: http://xoxohth.com/thread...
exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes
  08/07/15
so, no link?
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
where's that link bro?
pale crotch property
  08/07/15
are you a retard or something? i just rick-rolled you. it's ...
exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes
  08/07/15
To begin with, if we had a 2008 style meltdown, anyone-but-d...
exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes
  08/07/15
?
Onyx nudist sandwich dilemma
  06/22/17
if rubio toughens up on immigration he could be ok.
razzmatazz potus step-uncle's house
  08/07/15
yes, in 2020 when they nominate Rubio
Contagious Transparent Stage
  08/07/15
Yes
Excitant Temple
  08/07/15
A third party run isnt even an issue. It's the only way for ...
Flushed Charismatic Stain Institution
  08/07/15
Trump is a smart enough guy to appreciate the game theory an...
burgundy indian lodge candlestick maker
  08/08/15
...
Frum garrison
  08/08/15


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:10 PM
Author: Dark Underhanded Ticket Booth Cuck

if he goes 3rd party they lose and if they run some fat dork they lose

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503679)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:15 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

yes - a bland moderate pol (like mccain and romney - who were reasonable, "qualified" nice guys) will get totally slaughtered by hillary.

have to fight asymmetrically against the dems in 2016, cant do a conventional campaign where youre apologizing all the time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503715)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:20 PM
Author: pink resort headpube



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503745)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503770)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:07 PM
Author: Infuriating fragrant principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504030)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 12:05 PM
Author: Canary zombie-like stock car



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28507288)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:16 PM
Author: pale crotch property

If Trump's name is on the ballot come the general election, the Republican ticket will lose.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503725)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:21 PM
Author: Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape

breh, trump v. menopausal plastic-faced Benghazi-lying (buh buh the movie not al Qaeda) sterile bitch would be a bloodbath.

the only way she wins is if the sub 80 iq mud people come out en masse like they did for Obama.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503750)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:22 PM
Author: pale crotch property

Do you actually believe this?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503760)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape

poll seems legit bro.

ps fuck you.

and in any event, what is the value of doing the comparison now? he has to sink his teeth into her first.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503767)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: pale crotch property

You know it was 5 separate polls, right? So when you used singular, you should have been saying

"these five polls from nationally recognized polling bodies, all of which are within a small margin of each other" not "poll".

Just FYI bro.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503784)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape

one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggot? again, my underlying point remains - wait until he sinks his teeth into that plastic, lying professional politician twat. without the muds, she is a loser.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503826)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM
Author: pale crotch property

.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503848)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:32 PM
Author: pale crotch property

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM

Author: ....,...,.,,..,.,......

one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggot? again, my underlying point remains - wait until he sinks his teeth into that plastic, lying professional politician twat. without the muds, she is a loser.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503850)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 6:07 PM
Author: house-broken station queen of the night

how did you find this board?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509134)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: razzmatazz potus step-uncle's house

she is sooooo fucking overrated and awful, and anyone pretending shell waltz to victory is a moron. the best thing she could do is just stay out of the spotlight until next november. When she starts doing debates, everyone in america will say "oh, yeah. that's hillary clinton." and shell be fucked.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503765)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: pale crotch property

She's incredibly overrated. And Trump is hated by the people he needs to win the election.

No serious political analyst gives Trump a snowball's chance in hell.

Honestly if you think otherwise you should kill yourself.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503792)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: pink resort headpube

reminder: every "serious political analyst" has wrongly predicted the demise of Trump's campaign about 20 separate times already

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503815)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:29 PM
Author: Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape

who pays these faggot analysts? are you not seeing what is going on today?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503833)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes

you're right about everything except that trump would win. doesn't even need that 'if' part you included.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503768)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: Pontificating Razzle Really Tough Guy Ape

bro who doesn't under the demographics of the Obama v Romney victory

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503787)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes

i know them. i'm not saying she doesn't need minorities, but she doesn't need some miracle turnout.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503817)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:22 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

Likelihood of total defeat high, but possible chance of victory (needs something like a serious recession happening between now and then or a mass shooting by an illegal)

Having a bland pol means the margin in most cases will be closer, but the likelihood of victory is almost zero

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503762)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:24 PM
Author: pale crotch property

There's no chance of victory whatsoever with a reality TV star that minorities despise on the Republican ticket.

None. He brings no swing voters. He repulses independents, hispanics, blacks and women. He is simply unelectable.

I'm a bit surprised that anybody could think otherwise.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503778)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

(conventional pol thinker)

if you don't see why his big tent expands and energizes the potential republican voter base you are blind

for example, i might not even vote if trump isn't on the ballot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503788)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: pale crotch property

Walk me through how the reality TV star overcomes his absurdly terrible unfavorability numbers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503798)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-trump-coalition-120269.html

unfavorability numbers don't mean anything

the article above was from several weeks ago, and it even said this:

"What Murray can say definitively about Trump is that he is an anomaly. In a Monmouth poll released a month ago, Trump had the worst favorability rating of any Republican candidate among Republican voters, 20 percent favorable to 55 percent unfavorable, a fact cited by many political observers in pooh-poohing his viability. In the poll out this week, Trump’s favorability has pulled nearly even at 41-40. The swing was even more dramatic among self-identified tea party voters, who went from viewing him unfavorably, 55 percent to 20 percent, to viewing him favorably 56 percent to 26 percent.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-trump-coalition-120269.html#ixzz3iAu1JLF2"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503813)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM
Author: pale crotch property

Unfavorability among Republicans.

Doesn't mean shit in a general bro.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503844)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes

(the type of guy who doesn't understand the difference between a 10% chance and a 0% chance)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503802)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:27 PM
Author: pale crotch property

Jeb Bush would have a pretty decent shot. Trump would have no chance whatsoever.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503810)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503816)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

might even only be a 5% chance, but #yolo, beats a certain loss

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503824)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes

this. jeb is a lock for a 45-55 loss. whereas trump will likely lose 30-70, but could actually pull out a victory in some circumstances.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503795)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: high-end dragon sweet tailpipe

exactly. non-probabilistic thinkers don't get this. trump knows what he's doing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503800)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:27 PM
Author: pale crotch property

There's no circumstance in which the reality TV star could win.

None.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503804)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:30 PM
Author: pink resort headpube

(guy insisting there was "no circumstance" in which Trump's campaign survives the McCain comments two weeks ago)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503839)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM
Author: pale crotch property

Link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503845)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:34 PM
Author: pink resort headpube

you know you were, faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503859)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:39 PM
Author: pale crotch property

Link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503891)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:43 PM
Author: exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes

lol. found one. god bless json:

http://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&mc=39&forum_id=2#28503859

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503923)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:52 PM
Author: pale crotch property

so, no link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503967)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:07 PM
Author: pale crotch property

where's that link bro?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504024)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:11 PM
Author: exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes

are you a retard or something? i just rick-rolled you. it's the other guy you were harassing for a link. i don't give a shit whether or not you said that before.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504046)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:36 PM
Author: exhilarant cocky pocket flask useless brakes

To begin with, if we had a 2008 style meltdown, anyone-but-dem would be the favorite. So there's that for anyone who ends up as a nominee.

Trump could win for the same reason you probably have said there isn't a chance he'd be the GOP front runner at this stage: it's actually not that easy to know how proles will be influenced by his bullshit. I would have laughed my ass off 20 years ago if you told me some TV station was going to turn the news into a 24-hour conservative soap opera, but proles fall for all sorts of stupid shit that XO would never understand because we are too out of touch with middle America. I mean, have you ever even seen Duck Dynasty?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503877)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 22nd, 2017 11:12 PM
Author: Onyx nudist sandwich dilemma

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#33622201)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:16 PM
Author: razzmatazz potus step-uncle's house

if rubio toughens up on immigration he could be ok.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503727)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: Contagious Transparent Stage

yes, in 2020 when they nominate Rubio

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503794)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:44 PM
Author: Excitant Temple

Yes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503924)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:09 PM
Author: Flushed Charismatic Stain Institution

A third party run isnt even an issue. It's the only way for them to win, period. If the other candidates cant even beat Trump, they aint winning the country against Clinton.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504035)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 6:05 PM
Author: burgundy indian lodge candlestick maker

Trump is a smart enough guy to appreciate the game theory angle of the circumstances expressed in the OP. By making it clear he is willing to go third-party, he is forcing the GOP's hand to back him. If Trump manages to maintain his popularity for much longer, the GOP's only options will be to support Trump or lose to Hillary.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509116)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 6:07 PM
Author: Frum garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509136)