The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/10/15 |
| fighting racy school | 12/12/15 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 01/02/17 |
| Floppy boiling water | 01/06/16 |
| aqua pistol | 01/06/16 |
| aqua pistol | 06/05/16 |
| excitant maroon library | 03/26/16 |
| Slimy halford institution | 01/02/17 |
| out-of-control orange tank goal in life | 10/25/18 |
| adventurous black woman temple | 12/10/15 |
| Galvanic green theatre | 12/10/15 |
| Carmine hairraiser business firm codepig | 12/10/15 |
| Blue dingle berry public bath | 12/10/15 |
| Deep Exciting Market Prole | 12/15/15 |
| frum comical hell skinny woman | 12/10/15 |
| Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor | 12/10/15 |
| Wonderful Useless Tanning Salon Trust Fund | 12/10/15 |
| Aquamarine volcanic crater death wish | 12/11/15 |
| Aphrodisiac theater | 12/12/15 |
| Self-absorbed digit ratio pocket flask | 12/16/15 |
| Laughsome jew | 01/04/16 |
| canary station | 11/09/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/11/15 |
| electric zippy partner old irish cottage | 12/11/15 |
| burgundy property toaster | 12/11/15 |
| Aquamarine volcanic crater death wish | 12/11/15 |
| insecure abode headpube | 12/12/15 |
| Carnelian Swashbuckling Location | 01/25/16 |
| Marvelous fluffy foreskin chad | 11/10/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/12/15 |
| chrome awkward macaca | 12/12/15 |
| Big field coldplay fan | 12/12/15 |
| Cream patrolman | 12/12/15 |
| Topaz mewling useless brakes national security agency | 12/15/15 |
| razzmatazz navy locale | 12/21/15 |
| trip gas station | 12/12/15 |
| Boyish indirect expression depressive | 12/12/15 |
| Massive School Cafeteria | 12/12/15 |
| Bronze Kitchen Mental Disorder | 12/12/15 |
| rambunctious hospital tattoo | 12/12/15 |
| cheese-eating garnet crotch wrinkle | 12/12/15 |
| Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor | 12/15/15 |
| Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor | 12/16/15 |
| blathering vigorous round eye lodge | 12/15/15 |
| Bateful Ebony National | 12/15/15 |
| citrine soul-stirring brunch immigrant | 12/15/15 |
| apoplectic infuriating crackhouse double fault | 12/15/15 |
| Hideous Step-uncle's House Newt | 12/15/15 |
| Sadistic Pungent Principal's Office | 12/15/15 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/15/15 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/15/15 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/15/15 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/15/15 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 12/15/15 |
| slippery brethren police squad | 01/05/16 |
| Carnelian Swashbuckling Location | 01/25/16 |
| Swollen concupiscible really tough guy orchestra pit | 12/17/16 |
| henna painfully honest lay | 05/18/16 |
| maize submissive ceo | 08/12/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/09/16 |
| violent hunting ground | 11/09/16 |
| big-titted learning disabled point dragon | 11/09/16 |
| beady-eyed slate people who are hurt philosopher-king | 10/22/20 |
| Stimulating Bespoke Gaping Garrison | 12/15/15 |
| Fragrant cruise ship | 12/16/15 |
| Internet-worthy Dilemma | 12/16/15 |
| Maniacal Low-t Athletic Conference Yarmulke | 12/16/15 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 12/16/15 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 12/17/15 |
| Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone | 12/18/15 |
| Floppy boiling water | 01/06/16 |
| Diverse Gunner | 12/18/15 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 12/21/15 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 12/21/15 |
| razzmatazz navy locale | 12/21/15 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 12/30/15 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 12/30/15 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 01/04/16 |
| Laughsome jew | 01/04/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 01/05/16 |
| Carnelian Swashbuckling Location | 01/25/16 |
| Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone | 01/05/16 |
| irradiated home | 01/05/16 |
| Plum Bearded Main People | 01/05/16 |
| Nighttime Associate Church | 01/05/16 |
| Cerise vengeful puppy address | 01/05/16 |
| Nighttime Associate Church | 01/05/16 |
| Floppy boiling water | 01/06/16 |
| Nighttime Associate Church | 01/06/16 |
| Cerise vengeful puppy address | 01/05/16 |
| maize submissive ceo | 01/06/16 |
| razzmatazz navy locale | 01/07/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 01/08/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 01/08/16 |
| razzmatazz navy locale | 01/08/16 |
| Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone | 01/09/16 |
| razzmatazz navy locale | 01/10/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 01/18/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 01/19/16 |
| Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone | 01/21/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 01/25/16 |
| thriller saffron wagecucks | 01/25/16 |
| Carnelian Swashbuckling Location | 01/25/16 |
| thriller saffron wagecucks | 02/09/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 09/06/16 |
| Floppy boiling water | 11/05/18 |
| Indigo menage famous landscape painting | 01/29/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 02/01/16 |
| Multi-colored Umber Plaza Karate | 02/01/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 02/01/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 02/07/16 |
| irradiated home | 02/09/16 |
| magical nubile voyeur cuckold | 02/09/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 02/20/16 |
| Startling Marketing Idea | 02/20/16 |
| henna painfully honest lay | 02/24/16 |
| anal state goyim | 02/24/16 |
| Shivering cuckoldry | 02/27/16 |
| blathering vigorous round eye lodge | 03/09/16 |
| Odious rehab cuck | 03/15/16 |
| Carmine hairraiser business firm codepig | 03/15/16 |
| Bateful Ebony National | 03/16/16 |
| Razzle pit | 02/24/16 |
| exhilarant bawdyhouse lettuce | 02/24/16 |
| Bateful Ebony National | 07/21/16 |
| Well-lubricated dark gay wizard | 02/24/16 |
| Carmine hairraiser business firm codepig | 02/27/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/02/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/04/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/09/16 |
| irradiated home | 03/09/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/15/16 |
| henna painfully honest lay | 03/15/16 |
| brindle house-broken base french chef | 03/15/16 |
| greedy domesticated roast beef | 03/15/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/16/16 |
| Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor | 03/16/16 |
| violent hunting ground | 03/23/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/23/16 |
| Massive School Cafeteria | 03/26/16 |
| wine elastic band corner | 03/26/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/26/16 |
| slippery brethren police squad | 03/28/16 |
| violent hunting ground | 03/28/16 |
| Galvanic green theatre | 03/28/16 |
| maize submissive ceo | 08/12/16 |
| Floppy boiling water | 11/05/18 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/28/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/29/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 03/29/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 03/29/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/29/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/29/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 04/01/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 04/04/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 04/15/16 |
| filthy razzle-dazzle boistinker | 04/15/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 04/19/16 |
| Emerald adulterous son of senegal bbw | 04/20/16 |
| glassy tripping generalized bond | 04/20/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 04/24/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 04/25/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 04/26/16 |
| Jet-lagged Locus | 04/26/16 |
| Sickened selfie | 04/30/16 |
| geriatric corn cake | 05/01/16 |
| geriatric corn cake | 11/07/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 05/02/16 |
| violent hunting ground | 05/02/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 05/03/16 |
| titillating sound barrier senate | 05/03/16 |
| Vibrant forum | 05/03/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 05/04/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 05/04/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 05/05/16 |
| Bronze Kitchen Mental Disorder | 05/05/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 05/05/16 |
| exhilarant bawdyhouse lettuce | 05/05/16 |
| chrome awkward macaca | 05/18/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 05/18/16 |
| henna painfully honest lay | 05/18/16 |
| chrome awkward macaca | 05/18/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 05/29/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 06/20/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 06/29/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 07/14/16 |
| Mustard kitty stage | 07/15/16 |
| maize submissive ceo | 07/15/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 07/17/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 07/17/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 07/21/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 07/22/16 |
| motley idiotic resort toilet seat | 07/22/16 |
| fantasy-prone whorehouse | 07/23/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 07/24/16 |
| heady mahogany ladyboy regret | 07/25/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 07/25/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 07/27/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 08/05/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 08/09/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 08/12/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 08/12/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 08/12/16 |
| Gold bat-shit-crazy theater stage community account | 08/12/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 08/30/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 08/30/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 09/06/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 09/13/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 09/14/16 |
| trip gas station | 09/14/16 |
| Twinkling embarrassed to the bone turdskin | 09/15/16 |
| Brilliant Box Office Milk | 09/15/16 |
| aqua pistol | 09/15/16 |
| demanding set | 09/15/16 |
| Charismatic Stead | 09/15/16 |
| Sinister Parlor Giraffe | 09/19/16 |
| Sinister Parlor Giraffe | 09/19/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 09/27/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 09/24/16 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 09/27/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 09/27/16 |
| Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor | 09/27/16 |
| crawly pea-brained spot haunted graveyard | 10/08/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 09/28/16 |
| trip gas station | 09/28/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 09/28/16 |
| glassy tripping generalized bond | 09/28/16 |
| filthy razzle-dazzle boistinker | 09/28/16 |
| Aggressive heaven | 10/08/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 10/09/16 |
| honey-headed rigor legal warrant | 10/09/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 10/09/16 |
| silver sanctuary nibblets | 10/09/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 10/10/16 |
| heady mahogany ladyboy regret | 10/30/16 |
| maize submissive ceo | 11/01/16 |
| demanding set | 11/01/16 |
| Hot New Version Gaming Laptop | 11/02/16 |
| apoplectic infuriating crackhouse double fault | 11/02/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 11/07/16 |
| tantric international law enforcement agency stage | 11/08/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 11/08/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/08/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 11/08/16 |
| sienna nursing home | 11/08/16 |
| flickering dysfunction place of business | 11/08/16 |
| Multi-colored Umber Plaza Karate | 11/08/16 |
| Sinister Parlor Giraffe | 11/08/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/08/16 |
| crimson contagious area | 11/09/16 |
| Twinkling embarrassed to the bone turdskin | 11/09/16 |
| hyperactive windowlicker | 11/09/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/09/16 |
| demanding set | 11/09/16 |
| crimson contagious area | 11/09/16 |
| heady mahogany ladyboy regret | 11/09/16 |
| Bronze Kitchen Mental Disorder | 11/09/16 |
| chest-beating site idiot | 12/03/16 |
| Marvelous fluffy foreskin chad | 12/07/16 |
| Swollen concupiscible really tough guy orchestra pit | 12/17/16 |
| primrose curious range | 11/09/16 |
| Hateful hissy fit shrine | 11/09/16 |
| Pale Quadroon Casino | 11/09/16 |
| at-the-ready opaque church building queen of the night | 11/09/16 |
| chest-beating site idiot | 11/09/16 |
| maize submissive ceo | 11/09/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/09/16 |
| chrome awkward macaca | 11/09/16 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 11/09/16 |
| light meetinghouse | 11/09/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/09/16 |
| Translucent Mind-boggling House | 11/09/16 |
| Violet Glittery Stag Film Masturbator | 11/09/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/09/16 |
| Blue dingle berry public bath | 11/09/16 |
| Diverse Gunner | 11/10/16 |
| thriller saffron wagecucks | 11/10/16 |
| aqua pistol | 11/10/16 |
| chestnut narrow-minded indian lodge becky | 11/10/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/10/16 |
| metal hyperventilating reading party | 11/10/16 |
| Startling Marketing Idea | 11/10/16 |
| Sinister Parlor Giraffe | 11/14/16 |
| Hilarious Histrionic Piazza Electric Furnace | 11/14/16 |
| Dashing chapel | 12/04/16 |
| Swollen concupiscible really tough guy orchestra pit | 12/17/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/25/16 |
| angry hall deer antler | 12/03/16 |
| silver sanctuary nibblets | 12/04/16 |
| Costumed Lascivious University | 12/07/16 |
| aqua pistol | 12/07/16 |
| angry hall deer antler | 12/07/16 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 01/02/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/02/17 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 01/02/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/02/17 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 03/03/20 |
| aqua pistol | 01/02/17 |
| violent hunting ground | 01/16/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/20/17 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 01/20/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/23/17 |
| Aggressive heaven | 01/23/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/23/17 |
| autistic supple ticket booth | 01/23/17 |
| Aggressive heaven | 01/23/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/23/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/25/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 01/26/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 02/06/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 02/13/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 02/27/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 05/03/17 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 05/03/17 |
| Bonkers Parlour | 09/21/17 |
| Carmine hairraiser business firm codepig | 01/23/17 |
| demanding set | 02/27/17 |
| Floppy boiling water | 03/22/17 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 04/17/17 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 05/08/17 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 06/20/17 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 08/10/17 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 10/15/17 |
| violent hunting ground | 10/15/17 |
| frozen scourge upon the earth mother | 10/15/17 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/06/17 |
| Stubborn Jade Native | 11/06/17 |
| crystalline impressive organic girlfriend blood rage | 11/08/17 |
| obsidian incel | 11/08/17 |
| spectacular mad cow disease | 11/13/17 |
| violent hunting ground | 12/18/17 |
| pearl aromatic ape center | 12/18/17 |
| violent hunting ground | 12/18/17 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 01/30/18 |
| aqua pistol | 06/01/18 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 07/18/18 |
| violent hunting ground | 07/19/18 |
| Charismatic Stead | 09/20/18 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 09/25/18 |
| Galvanic green theatre | 10/06/18 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 10/06/18 |
| aqua pistol | 10/25/18 |
| Brilliant Box Office Milk | 10/25/18 |
| Carnelian Swashbuckling Location | 11/05/18 |
| aqua pistol | 11/05/18 |
| Floppy boiling water | 11/05/18 |
| aqua pistol | 11/05/18 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 01/08/19 |
| Bipolar space hairy legs | 02/23/19 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 03/13/19 |
| Carnelian Swashbuckling Location | 06/24/19 |
| elite hominid | 06/24/19 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 11/18/19 |
| demanding set | 02/12/20 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 02/12/20 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 03/24/20 |
| Disturbing office candlestick maker | 03/24/20 |
| Mustard kitty stage | 04/04/20 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 04/26/20 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 05/13/20 |
| Mustard kitty stage | 06/05/20 |
| Duck-like trailer park | 06/05/20 |
| Mustard kitty stage | 09/09/20 |
| demanding set | 09/09/20 |
| adventurous black woman temple | 09/09/20 |
| Mildly Autistic | 09/12/20 |
| stirring shaky alpha | 09/24/20 |
| elite hominid | 10/09/20 |
| violent hunting ground | 10/10/20 |
| mischievous vivacious mood sweet tailpipe | 10/22/20 |
| chest-beating site idiot | 10/22/20 |
| beady-eyed slate people who are hurt philosopher-king | 10/22/20 |
| beady-eyed slate people who are hurt philosopher-king | 10/22/20 |
| Ocher doctorate | 03/23/22 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 10/27/20 |
| Floppy boiling water | 10/27/20 |
| elite hominid | 10/30/20 |
| violent hunting ground | 11/03/20 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 03/22/22 |
| Confused Legend | 03/23/22 |
| cerebral wild pozpig | 03/23/22 |
| Seedy nowag | 03/23/22 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 07/25/22 |
| adventurous black woman temple | 07/25/22 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 10/23/22 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 11/16/22 |
| Misanthropic Cracking Psychic | 04/25/23 |
| chrome awkward macaca | 04/25/23 |
| stirring shaky alpha | 04/29/23 |
| 180 pisswyrm | 05/28/23 |
| Irate judgmental den laser beams | 02/22/24 |
| stirring shaky alpha | 02/23/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: fighting racy school (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Floppy boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: aqua pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: aqua pistol another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: excitant maroon library 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144195) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: Slimy halford institution (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284612) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: out-of-control orange tank goal in life "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: adventurous black woman temple (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351706) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: Galvanic green theatre 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351728) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Carmine hairraiser business firm codepig 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Blue dingle berry public bath Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: Deep Exciting Market Prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: frum comical hell skinny woman FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Wonderful Useless Tanning Salon Trust Fund Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: Aquamarine volcanic crater death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Aphrodisiac theater Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Self-absorbed digit ratio pocket flask Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: Laughsome jew Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: canary station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854764) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: Cream patrolman March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: rambunctious hospital tattoo Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: cheese-eating garnet crotch wrinkle Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: blathering vigorous round eye lodge 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Bateful Ebony National fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: citrine soul-stirring brunch immigrant I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: apoplectic infuriating crackhouse double fault 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Hideous Step-uncle's House Newt February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Sadistic Pungent Principal's Office You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384262) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: big-titted learning disabled point dragon Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: beady-eyed slate people who are hurt philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Stimulating Bespoke Gaping Garrison This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Internet-worthy Dilemma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Maniacal Low-t Athletic Conference Yarmulke Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Floppy boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Diverse Gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: razzmatazz navy locale 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: Laughsome jew flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: Carnelian Swashbuckling Location Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: irradiated home 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Plum Bearded Main People (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Nighttime Associate Church An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: Nighttime Associate Church I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Floppy boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: Nighttime Associate Church Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: Cerise vengeful puppy address No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531557) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: razzmatazz navy locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: Provocative lavender affirmative action telephone looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677719) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: geriatric corn cake Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: maize submissive ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: pearl aromatic ape center 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: motley idiotic resort toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: fantasy-prone whorehouse Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: heady mahogany ladyboy regret Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: pearl aromatic ape center holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: Gold bat-shit-crazy theater stage community account LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: pearl aromatic ape center 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: trip gas station Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Twinkling embarrassed to the bone turdskin September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Brilliant Box Office Milk September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: aqua pistol god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: demanding set XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Charismatic Stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Sinister Parlor Giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Sinister Parlor Giraffe The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Know-it-all keepsake machete fortuitous meteor This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: crawly pea-brained spot haunted graveyard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592208) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: trip gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: glassy tripping generalized bond This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: filthy razzle-dazzle boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: Aggressive heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: honey-headed rigor legal warrant Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: silver sanctuary nibblets half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: heady mahogany ladyboy regret close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: maize submissive ceo Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: demanding set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Hot New Version Gaming Laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: apoplectic infuriating crackhouse double fault (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: tantric international law enforcement agency stage You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: sienna nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: flickering dysfunction place of business Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Multi-colored Umber Plaza Karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Sinister Parlor Giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: crimson contagious area (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Twinkling embarrassed to the bone turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: hyperactive windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: demanding set GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: crimson contagious area (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: heady mahogany ladyboy regret it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: Bronze Kitchen Mental Disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: chest-beating site idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Marvelous fluffy foreskin chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Swollen concupiscible really tough guy orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165256) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: primrose curious range (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Hateful hissy fit shrine Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Pale Quadroon Casino (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: at-the-ready opaque church building queen of the night 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: chest-beating site idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: maize submissive ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: chrome awkward macaca this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: light meetinghouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Translucent Mind-boggling House (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Violet Glittery Stag Film Masturbator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: Blue dingle berry public bath you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Diverse Gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: thriller saffron wagecucks Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: aqua pistol bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: chestnut narrow-minded indian lodge becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: metal hyperventilating reading party ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Startling Marketing Idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Sinister Parlor Giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: Hilarious Histrionic Piazza Electric Furnace They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: Dashing chapel Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Swollen concupiscible really tough guy orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165261) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: angry hall deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: silver sanctuary nibblets GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: Costumed Lascivious University https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: aqua pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: angry hall deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: aqua pistol truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: violent hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Aggressive heaven TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: autistic supple ticket booth I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: Aggressive heaven it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: Bonkers Parlour https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Carmine hairraiser business firm codepig this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: demanding set One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Floppy boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: violent hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: frozen scourge upon the earth mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: Stubborn Jade Native credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: crystalline impressive organic girlfriend blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: obsidian incel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: spectacular mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: violent hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: pearl aromatic ape center Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: violent hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: aqua pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: violent hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Charismatic Stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: Galvanic green theatre It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: aqua pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: Brilliant Box Office Milk Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: Carnelian Swashbuckling Location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: aqua pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Floppy boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: aqua pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: Bipolar space hairy legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: Carnelian Swashbuckling Location There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: elite hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: demanding set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: Disturbing office candlestick maker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Mustard kitty stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: Mustard kitty stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: Duck-like trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: Mustard kitty stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: demanding set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: adventurous black woman temple Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: Mildly Autistic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40908695) |
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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: stirring shaky alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40977795) |
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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: elite hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41079968) |
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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: violent hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41088157) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: mischievous vivacious mood sweet tailpipe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: chest-beating site idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: beady-eyed slate people who are hurt philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167039) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: beady-eyed slate people who are hurt philosopher-king https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: Ocher doctorate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Floppy boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: elite hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: violent hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Confused Legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: cerebral wild pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: Seedy nowag 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: adventurous black woman temple A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Misanthropic Cracking Psychic https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: chrome awkward macaca why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: stirring shaky alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: 180 pisswyrm FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Irate judgmental den laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: stirring shaky alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47430198) |