The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
I make bold predictions on the 2016 general election
| beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage | 05/24/16 |
| Pale menage | 05/28/16 |
| contagious bearded love of her life | 05/24/16 |
| Comical chestnut pozpig | 05/24/16 |
| bistre trump supporter ceo | 05/24/16 |
| tripping stage legend | 05/24/16 |
| beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage | 05/24/16 |
| smoky corner twinkling uncleanness | 05/28/16 |
| Peach At-the-ready Telephone | 05/28/16 |
| Burgundy Masturbator | 05/28/16 |
| Peach At-the-ready Telephone | 05/28/16 |
| Burgundy Masturbator | 05/28/16 |
| Peach At-the-ready Telephone | 05/28/16 |
| Burgundy Masturbator | 05/28/16 |
| Passionate cruise ship mood | 05/23/18 |
| sable chapel | 05/24/16 |
| beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage | 05/24/16 |
| pungent wild stag film | 05/24/16 |
| beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage | 05/24/16 |
| Passionate cruise ship mood | 05/24/16 |
| Burgundy Masturbator | 05/28/16 |
| multi-colored topaz genital piercing | 05/28/16 |
| sooty native dog poop | 05/28/16 |
| Burgundy Masturbator | 05/29/16 |
| floppy organic girlfriend | 12/12/16 |
| hairraiser tantric garrison dopamine | 12/12/16 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:52 PM Author: beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage I think Trump will win, but I want to make some state specific predictions here. Will bump after the election to see how accurate I was.
Trump's margin of victory in key swing states:
FL: 5-6% OH: 7-8% PA: 2-3% NH: 2-3% WI: 3-4% IA: 1-2%
Trump will obviously lose CA and NY but by a much smaller margin than previous republican candidates. I predict that he will lose CA by 9-10% (due to YUGE turnout in inland, orange county, and san diego) and lose NY by 15-18% due to strong showing in upstate, staten island, and long island. romney and mccain lost NY by around 30 points. Dubya in 2004 lost it by around 20. the last republican to lose NY by single digits was HW Bush in 1988 and last to win it outright was reagan 1984.
|
 |
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: Pale menage Archived to prevent editing: http://web.archive.org/web/20160528181545/http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576734) |
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:56 PM Author: contagious bearded love of her life I'll take it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551754) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:57 PM Author: Comical chestnut pozpig i just have a feeling that Trump cruises to a much easier than expected victory (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551760) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:58 PM Author: bistre trump supporter ceo I don't think Trump will win New Hampshire, but otherwise I agree for the most part. I think it's going to be a very, very close race. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551763) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: tripping stage legend He will not win WI (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551818) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage WI is mostly white. lot of working class people. bush lost WI in 2000 and 2004 by less than half a percentage point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552486) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: smoky corner twinkling uncleanness obama crushed in wisconsin. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576720) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:14 PM Author: Peach At-the-ready Telephone absolutely not. wisconsin whites are either scott walker worshipping evangelicals who will stay home rather than vote for turmp, or green party esque shitlibs of the sort in Madison. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576729) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:19 PM Author: Burgundy Masturbator Dubya lost wisconsin in 2000 and 2004 by less than 0.5%. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576752) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:20 PM Author: Peach At-the-ready Telephone oh is he running this year? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576754) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Burgundy Masturbator trump is a stronger candidate than dubya and hillary is weaker than even gore and hillary. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576764) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: Peach At-the-ready Telephone is this george20? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576766) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: Burgundy Masturbator nope. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576768) |
|
Date: May 23rd, 2018 11:45 AM Author: Passionate cruise ship mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#36111494) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 10:08 PM Author: sable chapel VA? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551842) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 10:57 PM Author: beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage he will lose VA by 4-5 because he will get destroyed in NOVA. that area has a ton of shitlibs who work for the government and a big asian and muslim population. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552462) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 10:09 PM Author: pungent wild stag film TRUMP wins NY (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551849) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: beady-eyed meetinghouse blood rage nice flame (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552473) |
|
Date: May 24th, 2016 11:01 PM Author: Passionate cruise ship mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552507) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:12 PM Author: Burgundy Masturbator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576718) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: multi-colored topaz genital piercing I'd put Trump's real odds at +600 at this point. Mind you, Vegas currently has him around +200 because there are plenty of biased bettors out there, and as always the casinos just want even money bet on both sides. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576722) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: sooty native dog poop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576724) |
|
Date: May 29th, 2016 12:27 PM Author: Burgundy Masturbator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30582438) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2016 8:08 AM Author: floppy organic girlfriend Bad Iowa prediction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32117987) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2016 8:15 AM Author: hairraiser tantric garrison dopamine cr. Op done here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32118020) |