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I make bold predictions on the 2016 general election
| Nofapping tripping public bath | 05/24/16 |
| chestnut church building fat ankles | 05/28/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle Impertinent Mediation Associate | 05/24/16 |
| unholy green theater | 05/24/16 |
| saffron razzle temple travel guidebook | 05/24/16 |
| pontificating fanboi | 05/24/16 |
| Nofapping tripping public bath | 05/24/16 |
| Marvelous round eye | 05/28/16 |
| up-to-no-good faggotry | 05/28/16 |
| diverse affirmative action sandwich | 05/28/16 |
| up-to-no-good faggotry | 05/28/16 |
| diverse affirmative action sandwich | 05/28/16 |
| up-to-no-good faggotry | 05/28/16 |
| diverse affirmative action sandwich | 05/28/16 |
| fishy slap-happy spot codepig | 05/23/18 |
| soul-stirring thirsty church | 05/24/16 |
| Nofapping tripping public bath | 05/24/16 |
| Cracking Mustard National Security Agency | 05/24/16 |
| Nofapping tripping public bath | 05/24/16 |
| fishy slap-happy spot codepig | 05/24/16 |
| diverse affirmative action sandwich | 05/28/16 |
| alcoholic bronze casino | 05/28/16 |
| pale exhilarant brunch newt | 05/28/16 |
| diverse affirmative action sandwich | 05/29/16 |
| hot vigorous hunting ground | 12/12/16 |
| Aphrodisiac misanthropic striped hyena | 12/12/16 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:52 PM Author: Nofapping tripping public bath I think Trump will win, but I want to make some state specific predictions here. Will bump after the election to see how accurate I was.
Trump's margin of victory in key swing states:
FL: 5-6% OH: 7-8% PA: 2-3% NH: 2-3% WI: 3-4% IA: 1-2%
Trump will obviously lose CA and NY but by a much smaller margin than previous republican candidates. I predict that he will lose CA by 9-10% (due to YUGE turnout in inland, orange county, and san diego) and lose NY by 15-18% due to strong showing in upstate, staten island, and long island. romney and mccain lost NY by around 30 points. Dubya in 2004 lost it by around 20. the last republican to lose NY by single digits was HW Bush in 1988 and last to win it outright was reagan 1984.
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: chestnut church building fat ankles Archived to prevent editing: http://web.archive.org/web/20160528181545/http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576734) |
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:56 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle Impertinent Mediation Associate I'll take it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551754) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 9:57 PM Author: unholy green theater i just have a feeling that Trump cruises to a much easier than expected victory (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551760) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 9:58 PM Author: saffron razzle temple travel guidebook I don't think Trump will win New Hampshire, but otherwise I agree for the most part. I think it's going to be a very, very close race. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551763) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: pontificating fanboi He will not win WI (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551818) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: Nofapping tripping public bath WI is mostly white. lot of working class people. bush lost WI in 2000 and 2004 by less than half a percentage point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552486) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: Marvelous round eye obama crushed in wisconsin. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576720) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:14 PM Author: up-to-no-good faggotry absolutely not. wisconsin whites are either scott walker worshipping evangelicals who will stay home rather than vote for turmp, or green party esque shitlibs of the sort in Madison. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576729) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:19 PM Author: diverse affirmative action sandwich Dubya lost wisconsin in 2000 and 2004 by less than 0.5%. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576752) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:20 PM Author: up-to-no-good faggotry oh is he running this year? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576754) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: diverse affirmative action sandwich trump is a stronger candidate than dubya and hillary is weaker than even gore and hillary. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576764) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: up-to-no-good faggotry is this george20? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576766) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: diverse affirmative action sandwich nope. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576768) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2018 11:45 AM Author: fishy slap-happy spot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#36111494) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:08 PM Author: soul-stirring thirsty church VA? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551842) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:57 PM Author: Nofapping tripping public bath he will lose VA by 4-5 because he will get destroyed in NOVA. that area has a ton of shitlibs who work for the government and a big asian and muslim population. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552462) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:09 PM Author: Cracking Mustard National Security Agency TRUMP wins NY (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551849) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: Nofapping tripping public bath nice flame (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552473) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 11:01 PM Author: fishy slap-happy spot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552507) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:12 PM Author: diverse affirmative action sandwich (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576718) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: alcoholic bronze casino I'd put Trump's real odds at +600 at this point. Mind you, Vegas currently has him around +200 because there are plenty of biased bettors out there, and as always the casinos just want even money bet on both sides. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576722) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: pale exhilarant brunch newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576724) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 12:27 PM Author: diverse affirmative action sandwich (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30582438) |
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Date: December 12th, 2016 8:08 AM Author: hot vigorous hunting ground Bad Iowa prediction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32117987) |
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Date: December 12th, 2016 8:15 AM Author: Aphrodisiac misanthropic striped hyena cr. Op done here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32118020) |