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I make bold predictions on the 2016 general election
| talented stag film yarmulke | 05/24/16 |
| laughsome ocher legal warrant lodge | 05/28/16 |
| Pearl locale clown | 05/24/16 |
| fiercely-loyal laser beams | 05/24/16 |
| Disgusting flirting sanctuary death wish | 05/24/16 |
| Yellow lay | 05/24/16 |
| talented stag film yarmulke | 05/24/16 |
| claret weed whacker | 05/28/16 |
| tripping lascivious trump supporter pocket flask | 05/28/16 |
| misanthropic vivacious hospital | 05/28/16 |
| tripping lascivious trump supporter pocket flask | 05/28/16 |
| misanthropic vivacious hospital | 05/28/16 |
| tripping lascivious trump supporter pocket flask | 05/28/16 |
| misanthropic vivacious hospital | 05/28/16 |
| haunting gay wizard | 05/23/18 |
| Electric maroon athletic conference | 05/24/16 |
| talented stag film yarmulke | 05/24/16 |
| sexy jet location | 05/24/16 |
| talented stag film yarmulke | 05/24/16 |
| haunting gay wizard | 05/24/16 |
| misanthropic vivacious hospital | 05/28/16 |
| Fishy puppy | 05/28/16 |
| titillating national security agency | 05/28/16 |
| misanthropic vivacious hospital | 05/29/16 |
| jade supple resort | 12/12/16 |
| cruel-hearted crimson rigpig | 12/12/16 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:52 PM Author: talented stag film yarmulke I think Trump will win, but I want to make some state specific predictions here. Will bump after the election to see how accurate I was.
Trump's margin of victory in key swing states:
FL: 5-6% OH: 7-8% PA: 2-3% NH: 2-3% WI: 3-4% IA: 1-2%
Trump will obviously lose CA and NY but by a much smaller margin than previous republican candidates. I predict that he will lose CA by 9-10% (due to YUGE turnout in inland, orange county, and san diego) and lose NY by 15-18% due to strong showing in upstate, staten island, and long island. romney and mccain lost NY by around 30 points. Dubya in 2004 lost it by around 20. the last republican to lose NY by single digits was HW Bush in 1988 and last to win it outright was reagan 1984.
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: laughsome ocher legal warrant lodge Archived to prevent editing: http://web.archive.org/web/20160528181545/http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576734) |
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:56 PM Author: Pearl locale clown I'll take it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551754) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 9:57 PM Author: fiercely-loyal laser beams i just have a feeling that Trump cruises to a much easier than expected victory (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551760) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 9:58 PM Author: Disgusting flirting sanctuary death wish I don't think Trump will win New Hampshire, but otherwise I agree for the most part. I think it's going to be a very, very close race. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551763) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Yellow lay He will not win WI (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551818) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: talented stag film yarmulke WI is mostly white. lot of working class people. bush lost WI in 2000 and 2004 by less than half a percentage point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552486) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: claret weed whacker obama crushed in wisconsin. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576720) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:14 PM Author: tripping lascivious trump supporter pocket flask absolutely not. wisconsin whites are either scott walker worshipping evangelicals who will stay home rather than vote for turmp, or green party esque shitlibs of the sort in Madison. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576729) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:19 PM Author: misanthropic vivacious hospital Dubya lost wisconsin in 2000 and 2004 by less than 0.5%. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576752) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:20 PM Author: tripping lascivious trump supporter pocket flask oh is he running this year? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576754) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: misanthropic vivacious hospital trump is a stronger candidate than dubya and hillary is weaker than even gore and hillary. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576764) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: tripping lascivious trump supporter pocket flask is this george20? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576766) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: misanthropic vivacious hospital nope. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576768) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2018 11:45 AM Author: haunting gay wizard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#36111494) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:08 PM Author: Electric maroon athletic conference VA? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551842) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:57 PM Author: talented stag film yarmulke he will lose VA by 4-5 because he will get destroyed in NOVA. that area has a ton of shitlibs who work for the government and a big asian and muslim population. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552462) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:09 PM Author: sexy jet location TRUMP wins NY (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551849) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: talented stag film yarmulke nice flame (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552473) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 11:01 PM Author: haunting gay wizard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552507) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:12 PM Author: misanthropic vivacious hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576718) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: Fishy puppy I'd put Trump's real odds at +600 at this point. Mind you, Vegas currently has him around +200 because there are plenty of biased bettors out there, and as always the casinos just want even money bet on both sides. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576722) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: titillating national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576724) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 12:27 PM Author: misanthropic vivacious hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30582438) |
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Date: December 12th, 2016 8:08 AM Author: jade supple resort Bad Iowa prediction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32117987) |
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Date: December 12th, 2016 8:15 AM Author: cruel-hearted crimson rigpig cr. Op done here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32118020) |