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I make bold predictions on the 2016 general election
| Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt | 05/24/16 |
| sadistic bossy temple boistinker | 05/28/16 |
| Motley Institution | 05/24/16 |
| cracking pervert | 05/24/16 |
| Spectacular puppy university | 05/24/16 |
| vengeful partner step-uncle's house | 05/24/16 |
| Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt | 05/24/16 |
| Mustard quadroon water buffalo | 05/28/16 |
| Nofapping rose lay toilet seat | 05/28/16 |
| Chrome Stead | 05/28/16 |
| Nofapping rose lay toilet seat | 05/28/16 |
| Chrome Stead | 05/28/16 |
| Nofapping rose lay toilet seat | 05/28/16 |
| Chrome Stead | 05/28/16 |
| talented prole gas station | 05/23/18 |
| Exciting apoplectic national | 05/24/16 |
| Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt | 05/24/16 |
| internet-worthy degenerate box office | 05/24/16 |
| Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt | 05/24/16 |
| talented prole gas station | 05/24/16 |
| Chrome Stead | 05/28/16 |
| fragrant indian lodge | 05/28/16 |
| odious theater | 05/28/16 |
| Chrome Stead | 05/29/16 |
| Swashbuckling Crackhouse | 12/12/16 |
| irradiated chapel | 12/12/16 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:52 PM Author: Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt I think Trump will win, but I want to make some state specific predictions here. Will bump after the election to see how accurate I was.
Trump's margin of victory in key swing states:
FL: 5-6% OH: 7-8% PA: 2-3% NH: 2-3% WI: 3-4% IA: 1-2%
Trump will obviously lose CA and NY but by a much smaller margin than previous republican candidates. I predict that he will lose CA by 9-10% (due to YUGE turnout in inland, orange county, and san diego) and lose NY by 15-18% due to strong showing in upstate, staten island, and long island. romney and mccain lost NY by around 30 points. Dubya in 2004 lost it by around 20. the last republican to lose NY by single digits was HW Bush in 1988 and last to win it outright was reagan 1984.
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: sadistic bossy temple boistinker Archived to prevent editing: http://web.archive.org/web/20160528181545/http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576734) |
Date: May 24th, 2016 9:56 PM Author: Motley Institution I'll take it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551754) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 9:57 PM Author: cracking pervert i just have a feeling that Trump cruises to a much easier than expected victory (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551760) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 9:58 PM Author: Spectacular puppy university I don't think Trump will win New Hampshire, but otherwise I agree for the most part. I think it's going to be a very, very close race. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551763) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: vengeful partner step-uncle's house He will not win WI (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551818) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt WI is mostly white. lot of working class people. bush lost WI in 2000 and 2004 by less than half a percentage point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552486) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: Mustard quadroon water buffalo obama crushed in wisconsin. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576720) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:14 PM Author: Nofapping rose lay toilet seat absolutely not. wisconsin whites are either scott walker worshipping evangelicals who will stay home rather than vote for turmp, or green party esque shitlibs of the sort in Madison. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576729) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:19 PM Author: Chrome Stead Dubya lost wisconsin in 2000 and 2004 by less than 0.5%. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576752) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:20 PM Author: Nofapping rose lay toilet seat oh is he running this year? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576754) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Chrome Stead trump is a stronger candidate than dubya and hillary is weaker than even gore and hillary. HTFH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576764) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: Nofapping rose lay toilet seat is this george20? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576766) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:24 PM Author: Chrome Stead nope. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576768) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2018 11:45 AM Author: talented prole gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#36111494) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:08 PM Author: Exciting apoplectic national VA? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551842) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:57 PM Author: Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt he will lose VA by 4-5 because he will get destroyed in NOVA. that area has a ton of shitlibs who work for the government and a big asian and muslim population. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552462) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:09 PM Author: internet-worthy degenerate box office TRUMP wins NY (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30551849) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 10:58 PM Author: Fuchsia People Who Are Hurt nice flame (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552473) |
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Date: May 24th, 2016 11:01 PM Author: talented prole gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30552507) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:12 PM Author: Chrome Stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576718) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: fragrant indian lodge I'd put Trump's real odds at +600 at this point. Mind you, Vegas currently has him around +200 because there are plenty of biased bettors out there, and as always the casinos just want even money bet on both sides. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576722) |
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Date: May 28th, 2016 2:13 PM Author: odious theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30576724) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 12:27 PM Author: Chrome Stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#30582438) |
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Date: December 12th, 2016 8:08 AM Author: Swashbuckling Crackhouse Bad Iowa prediction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32117987) |
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Date: December 12th, 2016 8:15 AM Author: irradiated chapel cr. Op done here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3233487&forum_id=2#32118020) |