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If ur not buying TWX ur insane

The Time Warner/AT&T merger will go through despite the ...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/15/17
FRIENDLY REMINDER
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/16/17
this is still a good buy?
spectacular mewling sanctuary
  11/16/17
Deal spread is $15 based on the current price of T (stock po...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/16/17
It's a hell of a spread and you would be getting T at a GREA...
Concupiscible stage fanboi
  11/16/17
do you ENDORSE this buy?
spectacular mewling sanctuary
  11/16/17
I'm not the best at arbitrage operations - but I think this ...
Concupiscible stage fanboi
  11/16/17
Thank
hairraiser macaca
  11/16/17
u fuckin fagets are missin out
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/16/17
I bought 10 shares of TWX. We will see what unfolds
spectacular mewling sanctuary
  11/16/17
DOJ will likely sue to block the deal. TWX might spike down ...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/16/17
Spread a little narrower! Let's hope AT&T settles with t...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/17/17
Lawsuit is officially out. Looks like a weak complaint by th...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/21/17
Judge is a GWB appointee! Wave it in boys!
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/21/17
How can I buy stocks on coinbase
Electric Center
  11/21/17
didn't even go down with yesterday's news
Costumed cream piazza ladyboy
  11/21/17
It was well expected the DOJ would sue to block, and without...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/21/17
is it too late to buy?
Costumed cream piazza ladyboy
  11/21/17
If the deal gets approved there's still over $13 upside from...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/21/17
In for $1000.
Sinister garnet jew
  11/21/17
same
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  11/24/17
in for 3 grand. Not going to get Smuckers'd again by ignorin...
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  11/21/17
same
Costumed cream piazza ladyboy
  11/21/17
Same reasoning, same amount.
beady-eyed athletic conference
  11/21/17
Ok, I dropped a couple grand in there. We'll see what unfold...
beady-eyed athletic conference
  11/21/17
What does exeunt say
Electric Center
  11/21/17
Buy index funds
scarlet senate boistinker
  11/24/17
Note there are two risks here: -The main risk is the judg...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/21/17
my family has a FUCKTON of twx. I hope you guys are right.
Supple black school cafeteria
  11/21/17
btw this position should be a lawyer's wet dream, so any law...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/21/17
Antitrust is voodoo magic.
Sinister garnet jew
  11/21/17
PREACH XO should be handicapping the odds on this like ma...
Concupiscible stage fanboi
  11/21/17
CNBC just said they changed the judge
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  11/21/17
They did, from an Obama appointee (who had to recuse himself...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/21/17
oh okay nice
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  11/21/17
copped $3,000 for fun. my condolences to all of you.
vermilion abnormal institution degenerate
  11/21/17
did you sellcuck?
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  11/21/17
no but i am investing cancer every time I pick stocks. last...
vermilion abnormal institution degenerate
  11/21/17
oh gotcha, 180. we can all move into a communal poorhouse
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  11/21/17
...
vermilion abnormal institution degenerate
  11/24/17
welp
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  11/27/17
What's the problem brother
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/29/17
did I destroy it? maybe I should buy some crypto and kill t...
vermilion abnormal institution degenerate
  11/29/17
No it's making new highs!
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  11/29/17
Probably not a terrible spot to make a sale, but the arb spr...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  12/04/17
I've only made fifty bucks I can't sellcuck yet!
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  12/04/17
Then hold tight brother. This is more of a "tactical tr...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  12/04/17
If you hold through the transaction the T shares you get hav...
Concupiscible stage fanboi
  12/04/17
Are all u TWX holders LOVING LIFE atm?
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  02/01/18
thank you for your good service
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  02/02/18
noTWXers crying, losing hoap
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  02/02/18
long term hold for you? or will you flip after the likely me...
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  02/02/18
This should close very quickly following approval, so you'll...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  02/02/18
dem hedge funds are scooping up TWX stock per xo advice: ...
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  02/20/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  02/20/18
...
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  02/20/18
Just bought 120 shares @ 95. You guys better not be fucking ...
odious new version faggotry
  02/20/18
I liked it better sub-90 but the thesis is still there - wou...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  02/20/18
What happens now
odious new version faggotry
  02/20/18
idk, Makan seems intent on fighting to the bitter end, but i...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  02/21/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  02/21/18
I HELD I LOVE YOU
odious new version faggotry
  06/12/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  02/20/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  02/21/18
is it up big or down
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  02/21/18
Up 50 bps. Still a $11 spread.
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  02/21/18
unnnnghhhhhhhh
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  02/21/18
The DOJ's case is shit and everyone knows it. Now the trial ...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  03/15/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  03/19/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  03/19/18
really shitty call so far, S&P is up 10% since OP. Basic...
Vivacious bistre parlor stock car
  03/19/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  03/19/18
Arbs like this are market isolated
Concupiscible stage fanboi
  03/19/18
lol jfc 10% is a GREAT return in 4 months,and there's sti...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  03/19/18
great call actually and it's going to the moon
Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter
  03/19/18
when moon
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  03/20/18
Judge Leon gave the trial a 6-8 week timetable. Possible the...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  03/20/18
ty
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  03/24/18
Civ #? Ty for the info.
unholy charismatic menage cuckoldry
  03/24/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  03/23/18
DOJ is getting GAPED in litigation right now. Like, benzo-ti...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  03/23/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  03/23/18
The DOJ's KEY WITNESS, one Carl "Faggot" Shapiro, ...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  04/11/18
Btw the main headwind to this trade lately has been T stayin...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  04/11/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  04/17/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  04/26/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  04/26/18
Problem is T is getting clobbered on earnings today (risk ou...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  04/26/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  04/26/18
Yes, no idea whether they'll try to squeeze T for more thoug...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  04/26/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  04/26/18
The trial should be done by early next week, and from there ...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  04/26/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  04/26/18
Depends on your pain tolerance. At this point if the deal br...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  04/26/18
When are you selling your TWX stock bro?
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  06/13/18
I'm tempted to get long some AT&T here - Anyone know if ...
Concupiscible stage fanboi
  04/26/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  04/26/18
ok very interesting - I think the DoJ does not have a case h...
Concupiscible stage fanboi
  04/26/18
Fuck twx is at 91 today
odious new version faggotry
  05/09/18
:(
Sinister garnet jew
  05/09/18
Is this also the nxpi merger arb masterman?
Bronze Idiotic Haunted Graveyard Clown
  05/09/18
Hovenkamp says TWX bros are fukt. https://www.bizjournals...
Sinister garnet jew
  06/04/18
Ruling this week!
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  06/11/18
We maed it.
Sinister garnet jew
  06/12/18
YES WE CAN
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  06/12/18
14% return from time op created this thread based on after h...
Adventurous duck-like temple brethren
  06/12/18
14% since 2016? doesn't seem worth tying up investmnet dolla...
Snowy 180 becky
  06/12/18
That would require risk, which is why xo didn't invest becau...
trip mahogany foreskin philosopher-king
  06/12/18
lmao Makan u faggot
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  06/12/18
how likely is it that TWX trades above 102 in the next coupl...
odious new version faggotry
  06/12/18
Anyone know when the next ex dividend date for $T is? Solidl...
Glittery Green Selfie Church
  06/12/18
http://www.dividend.com/dividend-stocks/technology/telecom-s...
trip mahogany foreskin philosopher-king
  06/13/18
when are bros selling? Deal closes in 7 days
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  06/13/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  06/13/18
Depends what your view on T is. Probably going to be selling...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  06/13/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  06/13/18
I'd like to take my profits and run very soon. But don't kno...
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  06/13/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  06/13/18
cr. Will sell now
federal galvanic pisswyrm
  06/13/18
I sold June 22 100 calls on my shares. No way the deal close...
odious new version faggotry
  06/13/18
The gross spread here is $2, which implies a close of ~$99.9...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  06/13/18
...
Indigo Contagious Mexican
  06/13/18
T getting crushed obviously did not help. But not totally un...
Abusive violent stead turdskin
  06/13/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2017 3:04 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

The Time Warner/AT&T merger will go through despite the tough stance the DOJ is taking right now. $15 upside from here. Will happen within a matter of months. CONVICTION BUY

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34693977)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:34 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

FRIENDLY REMINDER

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699879)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:34 AM
Author: spectacular mewling sanctuary

this is still a good buy?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699884)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:36 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Deal spread is $15 based on the current price of T (stock portion changes depending on where T falls within a certain collar, but given the current price of T it's well outside of that collar and fixed at 1.437). CONVICTION BUY.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699899)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:34 AM
Author: Concupiscible stage fanboi

It's a hell of a spread and you would be getting T at a GREAT price

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699882)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:35 AM
Author: spectacular mewling sanctuary

do you ENDORSE this buy?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699892)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:36 AM
Author: Concupiscible stage fanboi

I'm not the best at arbitrage operations - but I think this is a good risk. If you want the upside benefit you can buy straight T stock - almost a 6% yield.

I personally think that AT&T is doing the right thing to win in the long term right now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699903)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:38 AM
Author: hairraiser macaca

Thank

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699914)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:51 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

u fuckin fagets are missin out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34700013)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:51 AM
Author: spectacular mewling sanctuary

I bought 10 shares of TWX. We will see what unfolds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34700015)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:55 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

DOJ will likely sue to block the deal. TWX might spike down on that headline. But the DOJ will almost certainly lose if they make it to court. Most likely scenario is they settle with AT&T prior to the lawsuit ever seeing court.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34700043)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 17th, 2017 1:07 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Spread a little narrower! Let's hope AT&T settles with the DOJ so we can slam this bad boy shut!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34710049)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 10:59 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Lawsuit is officially out. Looks like a weak complaint by the DOJ. Any lawyers poast on this board?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739080)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:01 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Judge is a GWB appointee! Wave it in boys!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739091)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:02 AM
Author: Electric Center

How can I buy stocks on coinbase

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739095)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:03 AM
Author: Costumed cream piazza ladyboy

didn't even go down with yesterday's news

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739105)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:06 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

It was well expected the DOJ would sue to block, and without seeing the complaint people were afraid they might have a strong case. Complaint looked on the weaker side when it was released. Still a binary event here with some deal risk, but most observers think the DOJ doesn't have much of a case here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739119)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:09 AM
Author: Costumed cream piazza ladyboy

is it too late to buy?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739127)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:11 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

If the deal gets approved there's still over $13 upside from here. If the deal get blocked you're likely looking at $8-10 downside. But today's news definitely appears bullish for approval.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739154)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:03 AM
Author: Sinister garnet jew

In for $1000.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739107)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 6:54 AM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

same

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34760892)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:09 AM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

in for 3 grand. Not going to get Smuckers'd again by ignoring xo tips

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739126)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:12 AM
Author: Costumed cream piazza ladyboy

same

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739158)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:22 AM
Author: beady-eyed athletic conference

Same reasoning, same amount.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739240)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:18 AM
Author: beady-eyed athletic conference

Ok, I dropped a couple grand in there. We'll see what unfolds.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739206)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:21 AM
Author: Electric Center

What does exeunt say

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739227)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 8:52 AM
Author: scarlet senate boistinker

Buy index funds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34761064)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:26 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Note there are two risks here:

-The main risk is the judge sides with the DOJ and the merger gets blocked. This seems unlikely based on precedent, the strength of the complaint, and the assigned judge, but it could happen. The DOJ could produce smoking gun internal docs showing AT&T is looking to reduce competition with this merger or some such thing, and we could go back to pre-Bork antitrust precedent. If the deal breaks TWX probably trades in the low $80s.

-This is a cash-and-stock merger, so if AT&T goes down, the stock portion of the consideration will also go down. Right now the deal terms are 1.437 shares of T plus $53.75 cash, but the stock ratio will change if AT&T rallies significantly. If you want to hedge out the T risk, you could short T shares against the TWX buy. But T has gotten pummeled lately, so it's hard to see it getting smoked much more from here.

Bottom line, if you think this merger is going through, this spread is extremely juicy. But like anything else, it's not risk-free.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739265)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:27 AM
Author: Supple black school cafeteria

my family has a FUCKTON of twx. I hope you guys are right.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739276)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:56 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

btw this position should be a lawyer's wet dream, so any law dorks who care to take a look at this should be able to gain some insight here

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739521)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 12:00 PM
Author: Sinister garnet jew

Antitrust is voodoo magic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739539)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 8:46 PM
Author: Concupiscible stage fanboi

PREACH

XO should be handicapping the odds on this like masterd00ds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34744304)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:05 PM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

CNBC just said they changed the judge

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739990)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:20 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

They did, from an Obama appointee (who had to recuse himself because his wife works for a law firm who represented T) to a GWB appointee. We were on top of this at the time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740122)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:21 PM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

oh okay nice

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740131)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:09 PM
Author: vermilion abnormal institution degenerate

copped $3,000 for fun. my condolences to all of you.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740015)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:10 PM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

did you sellcuck?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740028)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:21 PM
Author: vermilion abnormal institution degenerate

no but i am investing cancer every time I pick stocks. last xo pick I ran with was Intrepid Potash.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740137)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:22 PM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

oh gotcha, 180. we can all move into a communal poorhouse

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740146)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 8:46 PM
Author: vermilion abnormal institution degenerate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34764731)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 1:37 PM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

welp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34781898)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2017 3:46 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

What's the problem brother

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34799548)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2017 3:46 PM
Author: vermilion abnormal institution degenerate

did I destroy it? maybe I should buy some crypto and kill the entire market.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34799553)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2017 3:56 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

No it's making new highs!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34799627)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:00 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Probably not a terrible spot to make a sale, but the arb spread is still super wide because T has been ripping. Will probably pull back a little bit from here (but lots of potential upside left if T wins/settles the lawsuit).



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835068)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:02 AM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

I've only made fifty bucks I can't sellcuck yet!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835076)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:03 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Then hold tight brother. This is more of a "tactical trading call."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835094)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:06 AM
Author: Concupiscible stage fanboi

If you hold through the transaction the T shares you get have a very very solid yield

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835110)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 1st, 2018 9:31 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Are all u TWX holders LOVING LIFE atm?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35294682)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 12:01 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

thank you for your good service

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35304774)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:40 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

noTWXers crying, losing hoap

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35304591)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 12:01 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

long term hold for you? or will you flip after the likely merger approval?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35304769)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 3:35 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

This should close very quickly following approval, so you'll get cash and T shares. I have no real opinion on T shares, so I'll be out upon deal closure.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35307111)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 5:47 AM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

dem hedge funds are scooping up TWX stock per xo advice:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-16/hedge-funds-pile-into-time-warner-in-bet-on-merger-prevailing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443345)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 6:09 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443387)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 10:48 AM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35444218)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 8:57 AM
Author: odious new version faggotry

Just bought 120 shares @ 95. You guys better not be fucking with me

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443651)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 9:02 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

I liked it better sub-90 but the thesis is still there - would be very hard to justify blocking the deal given the strength in streaming services.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443663)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 4:08 PM
Author: odious new version faggotry

What happens now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35446560)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:22 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

idk, Makan seems intent on fighting to the bitter end, but it's hard to see his path to success - AT&T just needs to pull up a chart of NFLX as their defense.

Some sell-side shops are saying TWX would trade above deal price if the deal broke (I don't agree), but improving fundamentals for the space can't hurt. Most likely outcome is still judge rules in favor of AT&T and the deal goes through.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453348)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:24 PM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453361)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 9:41 PM
Author: odious new version faggotry

I HELD I LOVE YOU

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234482)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 10:58 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35444299)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:06 PM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453210)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:22 PM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

is it up big or down

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453351)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:23 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Up 50 bps. Still a $11 spread.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453353)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:23 PM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

unnnnghhhhhhhh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453357)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2018 2:05 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

The DOJ's case is shit and everyone knows it. Now the trial is getting delayed two days because people think a settlement is coming. It probably won't happen immediately but that doesn't change the fact that the DOJ has a pure and utter shit-tier case.

LJL at not owning this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35611951)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 9:49 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35636677)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 10:59 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637104)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:02 AM
Author: Vivacious bistre parlor stock car

really shitty call so far, S&P is up 10% since OP. Basically no alpha.

My longs are up 20-40% since then, mostly industrial names.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637110)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:03 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637119)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:04 AM
Author: Concupiscible stage fanboi

Arbs like this are market isolated

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637123)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:05 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

lol jfc

10% is a GREAT return in 4 months,and there's still significant upside from here. You're also not wearing the downside risk of buying industrial or tech names or whatever the hell you have in your portfolio.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637129)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:07 AM
Author: Brindle crusty crotch trump supporter

great call actually and it's going to the moon

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637134)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 20th, 2018 11:35 AM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

when moon

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35644755)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 20th, 2018 11:52 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Judge Leon gave the trial a 6-8 week timetable. Possible they settle before then (good) or they win at trial (good) or they lose at trial (bad). First two outcomes are far more likely though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35644859)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 24th, 2018 12:31 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35677308)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 24th, 2018 12:35 PM
Author: unholy charismatic menage cuckoldry

Civ #?

Ty for the info.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35677331)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2018 9:23 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35668718)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2018 9:33 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

DOJ is getting GAPED in litigation right now. Like, benzo-tier gaped. Thesis is looking better than ever.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35668762)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2018 9:35 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35668770)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 11th, 2018 10:22 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

The DOJ's KEY WITNESS, one Carl "Faggot" Shapiro, is set to take the stand today. The thrust of his argument is based on the Nash equilibrium model, which is more theoretical than practical and can be easily tweaked depending on the real world assumptions one uses. Most market participants feel the DOJ has done a poor job convincing Judge Leon this merger will substantially reduce competition thus far.

We will see what unfolds!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35815077)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 11th, 2018 10:30 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Btw the main headwind to this trade lately has been T staying in the gutter (which was a risk outlined in the OP). The theoretical deal spread is now tighter than it's been in months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35815142)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 17th, 2018 5:38 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35857361)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 7:33 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923066)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:46 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923224)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:48 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Problem is T is getting clobbered on earnings today (risk outlined upthread - if you are short T you can hedge against this)

On the flip side:

“AT&T IS KILLING THEM”: THE D.O.J. SPURNED A POSSIBLE PEACE OFFERING OVER THE $86 BILLION AT&T-TIME WARNER MERGER—AND NOW THE TRIAL IS ENTERING THE ENDGAME

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/04/att-time-warner-merger-doj-case



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923235)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:50 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923241)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:52 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Yes, no idea whether they'll try to squeeze T for more though

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923255)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:57 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923277)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 9:12 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

The trial should be done by early next week, and from there the judge may take 4-6 weeks to write his opinion based on his previous comments. I expect we'll have a pretty good sense of how he'll rule before the opinion is published, but you're looking at like a June 1st-15th ruling.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923339)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 9:16 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923349)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 9:42 AM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Depends on your pain tolerance. At this point if the deal broke, TWX probably settles higher than the deal price, but it will take time and you'd have arb selling pressure in the short term. If you're looking for a quick profit, you just want the judge to rule in AT&T's favor and the deal to get done.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923499)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:46 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

When are you selling your TWX stock bro?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238426)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 11:29 AM
Author: Concupiscible stage fanboi

I'm tempted to get long some AT&T here - Anyone know if theyre gonna win this case to buy TWX?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35924107)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 11:31 AM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35924117)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 11:34 AM
Author: Concupiscible stage fanboi

ok very interesting - I think the DoJ does not have a case here.

If you buy the AT&T stock right and TWX cashflow helps the company like the CEO of AT&T says it will - I think AT&T is an extremely solid long term hold for many years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35924134)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2018 11:58 AM
Author: odious new version faggotry

Fuck twx is at 91 today

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36014864)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2018 12:16 PM
Author: Sinister garnet jew

:(

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36014997)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2018 12:02 PM
Author: Bronze Idiotic Haunted Graveyard Clown

Is this also the nxpi merger arb masterman?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36014897)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 4th, 2018 3:30 PM
Author: Sinister garnet jew

Hovenkamp says TWX bros are fukt.

https://www.bizjournals.com/dallas/news/2018/05/29/u-s-government-more-likely-to-win-at-t-time-warner.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36182275)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 11th, 2018 2:57 AM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

Ruling this week!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36221862)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Sinister garnet jew

We maed it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232560)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:52 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

YES WE CAN

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232566)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Adventurous duck-like temple brethren

14% return from time op created this thread based on after hours price of $101.50

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232578)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 9:48 PM
Author: Snowy 180 becky

14% since 2016? doesn't seem worth tying up investmnet dollars for paltry sum

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234550)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: trip mahogany foreskin philosopher-king

That would require risk, which is why xo didn't invest because they're risk adverse lawcucks.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232584)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

lmao Makan u faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232600)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 9:45 PM
Author: odious new version faggotry

how likely is it that TWX trades above 102 in the next couple days? i will probably sell then.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234518)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 10:38 PM
Author: Glittery Green Selfie Church

Anyone know when the next ex dividend date for $T is? Solidly below 1yr and 5yr highs, and that dividend is juicy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234906)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 9:16 AM
Author: trip mahogany foreskin philosopher-king

http://www.dividend.com/dividend-stocks/technology/telecom-services-domestic/t-atandt/

the dividend is the only reason to own T. Just park your money there and cop dat der dividend.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36236573)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:44 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

when are bros selling? Deal closes in 7 days

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238410)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:47 PM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238434)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:48 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

Depends what your view on T is. Probably going to be selling pressure from arbs until 6/20, after which it will probably rally.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238439)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:49 PM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238453)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:12 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

I'd like to take my profits and run very soon. But don't know if I should expect another 5 to 10% bump or not within the next week or so

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239495)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:17 PM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239545)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:19 PM
Author: federal galvanic pisswyrm

cr. Will sell now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239556)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:15 PM
Author: odious new version faggotry

I sold June 22 100 calls on my shares. No way the deal closes below 100, right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239519)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:19 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

The gross spread here is $2, which implies a close of ~$99.90. really depends where T goes from here. Arbs were clearly underhedged going into this, but T should bounce hard either soon before the deal closes or right after.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239561)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:21 PM
Author: Indigo Contagious Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239578)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:24 PM
Author: Abusive violent stead turdskin

T getting crushed obviously did not help. But not totally unforeseen given arb flows.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239601)