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Julia cashes out; S&P 500 posts biggest weekly gain in 5 years. Lmao
Poast new message in this thread
Date: February 19th, 2018 9:48 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead What can we expect this week Julia, u financial mastermind? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435874) |
Date: February 19th, 2018 9:48 AM Author: Mind-boggling goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435876) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 9:54 AM Author: adventurous shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435900) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 9:54 AM Author: curious home boiling water Jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435902) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 9:55 AM Author: Crimson frum business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435909) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 9:57 AM Author: Mentally impaired spectacular sweet tailpipe liquid oxygen Funny you don't hear about it from her.
I bet she'll eventually claim she didn't do it. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 9:59 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead I’ll keep posting brother. 6 mos from now, we’ll have a 5% correction and she’ll rush in with a load of “I told you so!” bullshit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435933) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:01 AM Author: Crimson frum business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435946) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:03 AM Author: Well-lubricated church The market is still below where I cashed out. It may rise another 10% beyond this, but then a crash is coming, so I’m good. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435956) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: razzle-dazzle hell hissy fit cashed out at the all-time high nbd (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435971) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:11 AM Author: Well-lubricated church No, I cashed out at about 25,900. It was the day after the first big 500-600-point drop. I also sold one fund a few days before that at the actual top, though. I’m usually not good at timing things, and I am not claiming to have all the answers, but everyone knows a big crash is coming - valuations are stretched and interest rates are rising, not to mention the economic fundamentals can’t improve much more from here. A crash is coming in the next year, or so, and it’s hard to see how gains of more than another 10% or so are realistic. I may very well be quite wrong, but I don’t have the stomach for the risk, so I peaced out. That’s all. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435998) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:14 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead U forgot the part where u were bloviating on xo about how this was trump’s fault, how smart u were, etc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436022) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:21 AM Author: Well-lubricated church Do you want a serious academic discussion of markets and economic policy?
I believe we’ve been engaging in XO-level banter - I.e/ shooting the shit. Trump is at fault to the extent he claimed his policies would be the panacea that would cure all that ails the market and economy. Clearly no one can offer such a remedy, which is why he is roundly mocked when negative evens occur. Still, Trump can be criticized for some imprudent elements of his fiscal policy - such as the tax cuts. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: Hairraiser Partner Macaca Obviously not since he asked you. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35437165) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:41 PM Author: Balding Exciting Church Building If EVERYBODY knows a crash is coming that's exactly why a crash will not be happening anytime soon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35438749) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 5:25 PM Author: Wonderful lilac field on the other hand see, btc |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:06 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead When and how much, sweetie? You can’t take credit for a vague statement that a “crash is coming” unless you get specific. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35435973) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:08 AM Author: Well-lubricated church I’m not your sweetie, bitch. A crash is coming within approx 12-15 months. The market will be volatile and not trade higher than about 28,000 before then. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:11 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead So we COULD see a 10+% rise in the short term. Then sometime in the next year to 15 months we’ll see a “crash” of an unspecified amount. Got it. Where do I sign up for more of this insight? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436002) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:13 AM Author: electric point crotch If she's not claiming to know specifically or to give you or anyone specific financial advice, what's the issue with her post? Also if that's what she truly believes, wouldn't cashing out be a rational decision regardless of whether she's right or wrong? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436016) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead (Warren Buffett) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436028) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:25 AM Author: electric point crotch Just saying, plenty of smarter and more credentialed people than julia have been wrong about market predictions. She made a vague prediction which has guided her personal investment strategy. She may be wrong in the long run or she may be vindicated who knows. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436081) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:14 AM Author: Well-lubricated church You can sign up where everyone else does: GoldmanSachs.com, WSJ.com, FT.com, etc. Everyone is saying much the same thing, and let’s be realistic : nobody can possibly know the precise timing or amount by which the market will drop, but it’s clear it will substantially. We are overdue. This time isn’t different - that’s what fools tell themselves each time there’s a market peak. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436019) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 2:52 PM Author: multi-colored turdskin You should be more cheerful, sugar tits (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35438002) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:34 PM Author: ivory stirring stain Sugar TTTits, (almost, in a couple more months) CFP (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35438706) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:12 AM Author: adventurous shitlib The market currently being below the level you cashed out at doesn't mean cashing out was a good idea. Do you understand why? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436008) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Well-lubricated church I’m not as retarded as you; I understand the mathematics involved, as well as market theory. I just don’t care that I might miss out on another 5-10% gains, or that I’m no longer DCAing the downslope, etc. I don’t want the risk. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436032) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:16 AM Author: adventurous shitlib you are brain dead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436036) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:18 AM Author: Well-lubricated church You’re too stupid to even interact with me, so I can see why you’d think I’m dumb (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436048) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:21 AM Author: Milky Death Wish "market theory" lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436059) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 1:36 PM Author: sable vigorous menage -I’m not as retarded as you; I understand the mathematics involved, as well as market theory.- has there ever been any evidence of this??? |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:14 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre You are such an unbearable financial retard. I wish you'd post your market timing predictions under your irl identity so somebody can sue your ass when they follow your advice and go broke. Don't forget to promptly post the buy back in date! You're the reason we need fiduciary duties in the personal finance industry. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436024) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:17 AM Author: Well-lubricated church Are you stupid? I’m not suggesting anyone follow my advice / I don’t know why you idiots seem to think this is what If advise others to do. My advice to the typical investor would be to continue the course. I’m just telling you what I chose to do and why. What I do vs what I’d advise others to do are two very different things for a great number of reasons. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436044) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre Start a thread dedicated to your market timing moves. Don't get into an argument with any of us in that thread, just post your predictions and moves in a clean format where we can find them all in one place. Then we'll see what's what. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436054) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:22 AM Author: Well-lubricated church Why would I do that? I’m not trying to prove anything. I’m just posting my actions and my thoughts. I’m not in any sort of competition with any of you guys, nor am I out to be proven right. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436063) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:24 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre Pls respond
http://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897384&mc=1&forum_id=2 |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:21 AM Author: amber keepsake machete mood "What I do vs what I’d advise others to do are two very different things for a great number of reasons." Name them. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:24 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre Cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436078) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:25 AM Author: mustard skinny woman background story lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436090) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:22 AM Author: Self-centered diverse foreskin indirect expression Julia is still up compared to the rest of the market based on her sell date. Record gains mean little when they immediately follow record losses, unless you are a market timing masterman.
So, mocking threads like this are a bit premature. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:25 AM Author: electric point crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436085) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:26 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre But in the long run there's a 98% chance we'll be proven right. The fact she thinks she can time the market... and that we know she'd have to time it repeatedly to come out ahead... is what we're nailing down here. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436092) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:27 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead More for me it’s how obnoxious she was about it. Like there could be no other possible outcome. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436103) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:28 AM Author: Crimson frum business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436107) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:32 AM Author: Well-lubricated church Obnoxious? You guys are the obnoxious ones insisting I must be wrong for asserting the same common-sense stuff most financial prognosticators do. It’s just your usual anti-Julia bias blinding you to reality. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436126) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:29 AM Author: Well-lubricated church I don’t think I can time the market. I just have low risk tolerance and thus no appetite for enduring its gyrations. This means I will likely enjoy lower returns, but I don’t care. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436112) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:30 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre What is your current asset allocation? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436119) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:32 AM Author: Well-lubricated church It doesn’t fucking matter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436130) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:35 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre LOL
Pls respond
http://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897384&mc=1&forum_id=2 |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:39 AM Author: Well-lubricated church Again: I’m not clairvoyant, nor can I time the market. I’m not competing with any of you. My personal choices are not advice to others. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436168) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:32 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead Low risk tolerance = someone that tries to time the market? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436128) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:33 AM Author: Self-centered diverse foreskin indirect expression Well I think even Julia understands that being "out" of the stock market over the very long time will be a losing proposition.
As I recall her main reasoning for selling were: 1) she thought a crash was coming; and 2) she personally could not handle the volatility she was expecting moving forward.
She was right about #1, and #2 is a personal thing. Some people value capital preservation over the chance for 10% gains. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:37 AM Author: Well-lubricated church This is Cr. I’m not sure why people are so furious about my personal decision. They think I don’t understand the basic investing literature. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436158) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:33 PM Author: salmon people who are hurt market TBH I don't either. I think it's pretty prudent. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35438700) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:32 AM Author: adventurous shitlib she incurred CGT and is now sitting on ca$$$h in her checKKKing account while the market recovers. you don't cash out your entire portfolio to avoid minor fluctuations because you're "risk averse". literally the opposite of what you would tell someone to do. it's absolutely insane and the fact she gives financial advice to proles is LMAO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436127) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:30 AM Author: Mentally impaired spectacular sweet tailpipe liquid oxygen Julie- why do you think the market drop within next 12-15 months will be "substantial"?
Change in P/E ratios or change in earnings? What would justify a 30% drop besides some external cause? Are you predicting an external event? |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:36 AM Author: Well-lubricated church If fundamentals solely dictated equity pricing, then we wouldn’t have much of a market, would we? The answer is a combination of factors, in proportions we don’t yet understand, but one of which will surely be simple negative sentiment, as demonstrated by the big drops two weeks ago or practically any big decline in history. Fundamentals impact sentiment, but the two aren’t perfectly correlated, and market euphoria and panics are difgicult to predict or control. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436156) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:40 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead “market euphoria and panics are difgicult to predict or control”
*tries to predict market panic by cashing out*
*obnoxiously celebrates the dip by posting on xo. Also implies that it’s trump’s fault*
*is wrong about impending crash* |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:42 AM Author: Well-lubricated church You can’t read. I’m not arguing with you any further, because I have nothing to prove here, and furthermore, you don’t even understand what I’m saying. Good-bye. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436183) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:44 AM Author: Sinister Newt Stead *pats your head*
Ok Julia. Take ur $10k in market “play money” and sit out until the “crash” happens. If you could just refrain from posting about any of your usual nonsense we’d all appreciate it. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:48 AM Author: Red set idea he suggested Lol at arguing with a girl (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436222) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:47 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436215) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:44 AM Author: razzle-dazzle hell hissy fit lol this was your chance to actually give a material explanation and all you have is "the market will eventually go down"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436195) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:47 AM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436217) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:52 AM Author: Mentally impaired spectacular sweet tailpipe liquid oxygen Hence why I asked about P/E ratios.
So you think P/E ratios will take a dive?
Do you think earnings will remain stable/rise?
Your failure to directly address my question is quite revealing. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 10:45 AM Author: Harsh university julia lashing out itt. the husband must've been very upset about her market move. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436202) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: Hairraiser Partner Macaca He didn't unbury her form $300K in student debt just so she could pee on her shoes the moment the index to swing for a few months. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35437176) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:43 PM Author: umber senate trust fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35438764) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 11:38 AM Author: Mentally impaired spectacular sweet tailpipe liquid oxygen BlackRock predicts 19% earnings growth this year:
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/19/blackrock-is-a-lot-more-bullish-on-us-stocks-after-tax-cuts.html
Gives P/E a lot of room to fall without stock market dropping |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 11:45 AM Author: bronze stimulating pozpig kitchen How much in fees did Julia pay to cash everything out? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35436686) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 1:18 PM Author: irate brunch antidepressant drug Don't you know it is all flame? Julia doesn't have any money. She gets paid $100 per article to freelance write. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35437305) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 1:35 PM Author: Soggy Passionate Lodge Juggernaut people here are still investing in the stock market? lol. Please look into Vechain Thor. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35437427) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:18 PM Author: Avocado Piazza Halford (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35438586) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:24 PM Author: pea-brained headpube people on here need to stop lying about going all in, or cashing out completely, or whatever.
No you did not sell several hundred thousand in securities because the market dropped 500 points. |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:25 PM Author: Floppy Vermilion Address Isnt that what she said she did though? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35438648) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 4:46 PM Author: cracking hall half-breed the lying doesn't bother me as much as people thinking they know what's going on.
the corporate tax rate cut, cash repatriation, and change in territorial taxes is the greatest wealth transfer in American history from the gov't to the corporations.
if anything the market is undervalued. the fact that everyone is sitting on the sidelines and concerned about the market is actually positive.
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Date: February 19th, 2018 5:47 PM Author: Mentally impaired spectacular sweet tailpipe liquid oxygen Congolese Space Rat lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35439125) |
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Date: February 19th, 2018 9:38 PM Author: electric point crotch Tbf, she didn't talk #s. Given the narrative Julia has presented for herself, it's unlikely she had a substantial amount invested in the stock market. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35441006) |
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Date: February 20th, 2018 4:16 PM Author: territorial comical genital piercing affirmative action She didn’t talk about her amounts but did say that she convinced her husband to take out $2m from the market. Either she’s lying about that (the better scenario) or her husband is a rich but extremely clueless investor. People don’t just withdraw those sorts of amounts barring some immediate serious cash need. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35446609) |
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Date: February 20th, 2018 3:35 PM Author: Well-lubricated church Dow is down over 1% today, fwiw. My intuition is that it'll continue trading in the 23-26k band for a while with a fair bit of volatilty. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35446346) |
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Date: February 20th, 2018 4:02 PM Author: Sinister Newt Stead For what it’s worth? Lmao, one day performance, which is almost singularly attributable to WMT,is worh nothing.
As for the rest of your “prediction” the market will continue to trade in the same range as it has for the past 3 months? Bold proclamation. This will continue “for a while” during which we’ll see “a bit of volatility?” Thanks for the specifics. |
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Date: February 20th, 2018 5:42 PM Author: Razzmatazz Theatre She's trolling us now. Maybe it's been trolling all along. Who knows? But nobody is this stupid. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35447171) |
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Date: February 20th, 2018 4:17 PM Author: Balding Exciting Church Building Ty. I just bought 500 April 27k puts for $3000 based on this post. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35446614) |
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Date: February 20th, 2018 5:40 PM Author: adventurous shitlib Wow great update spic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35447157) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2018 11:36 PM Author: Avocado Piazza Halford (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35474921) |
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Date: February 26th, 2018 4:20 PM Author: apoplectic excitant parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3897364&forum_id=2#35492589) |