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The best part about Dems retaking the Senate (if that happens)

...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
So you are imagining trump wins reelection in 2020? Cuz ther...
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
GOP losing 3-4 seats is totally possible if things go bad.
Red area boistinker
  02/21/18
And gop picking up zero? Seems extremely unlikely
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
Why not? Heitkamp, Tester, and McCaskill have all won before...
Red area boistinker
  02/21/18
Manchin? Donnelley? Just seems unlikely every one of these d...
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
If Republicans are getting killed it's perfectly plausible. ...
Red area boistinker
  02/21/18
Yeah but trump is popular in those places too and if it look...
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
Trump isn’t popular anywhere and he’s intensely reviled mos...
Ruby fragrant mental disorder dopamine
  02/22/18
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/ Pr...
180 azure round eye hissy fit
  02/22/18
? http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/371364-poll...
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/22/18
...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
W was the worst president in history, different situation
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
up to that point. Trump makes W look like FDR.
lime supple associate step-uncle's house
  02/21/18
lol, bush was significantly WORSE than trump by any reasonab...
Effete gunner
  02/21/18
...
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
disagrees with what? argumentum ad populum is a real retard...
Effete gunner
  02/21/18
...
Insecure rigor
  02/21/18
Good thing the senate seats that are coming up aren't decide...
mischievous hairy legs stain
  02/21/18
...
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
I agree that the Iraq war is worse policy wise than anything...
lime supple associate step-uncle's house
  02/21/18
Double Bush voter acknowledging this truth
misanthropic center
  02/21/18
Reminder: libs are highly emotional, even the ones that poa
vibrant resort goal in life
  02/21/18
...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
Non-responsive
vibrant resort goal in life
  02/21/18
...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
"Clinton +5 in latest poll..."
Mustard Startling Nowag
  02/21/18
...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
Also which 4 would they lose? Nevada, Arizona, then?
fantasy-prone home genital piercing
  02/21/18
Texas and Tennessee. Admittedly Tennessee is VERY fringe.
Red area boistinker
  02/21/18
libs always have pretensions of "turning texas blue,&qu...
Effete gunner
  02/21/18
Have you seen this goy O'Rourke? He's the next Kennedy.
cowardly violet police squad electric furnace
  02/21/18
yeah, and wendy davis is the next ann richards. we've seen ...
Effete gunner
  02/21/18
Texas is almost impossible but Mississippi is not if Wicker ...
lime supple associate step-uncle's house
  02/21/18
It’s sounds crazy but Mississippi is a far better dem pick u...
tripping blathering lodge
  02/22/18
cr but obviously the caveat is that they need to have a cand...
lime supple associate step-uncle's house
  02/22/18
Right.
tripping blathering lodge
  02/22/18
CR. Texas going blue is like 10:1. Texas only happens in ...
snowy location ceo
  02/22/18
Dems will find a way to fuck it up. They're just a poorly ru...
appetizing sound barrier
  02/21/18
...
histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping
  02/21/18
Almost no chance this happens in 2018. Best case is Dems ta...
Stimulating ultramarine love of her life gaming laptop
  02/21/18
Predictit says 33% chance of it happening: https://www.pr...
Out-of-control curious kitty
  02/21/18
prole tell: thinking predictit is right about anything
Kink-friendly Digit Ratio Juggernaut
  02/21/18
I give it more credence than some XO poaster spouting off. I...
Out-of-control curious kitty
  02/21/18
If you think they're full of shit, then bet otherwise.
Red area boistinker
  02/22/18
33 percent seems about right to me. The dems are probably sl...
tripping blathering lodge
  02/22/18
Why would they do that and let judicial vacancy emergencies ...
provocative weed whacker
  02/21/18
They will 100% do it after like May 2020. And they will slow...
Out-of-control curious kitty
  02/21/18
Will there still even be vacancies in 2022 that Trump hasn't...
provocative weed whacker
  02/21/18
cq. Thomas should retire right now
Beta Pink Senate Mother
  02/22/18
Did you mean that the republicans required cloture for every...
Carmine Striped Hyena Parlour
  02/22/18
This politics inside baseball bullshit is 100% faggot but Tr...
talented lavender tanning salon partner
  02/22/18
It would be better if the ABA or some other nonpartisan gro...
tripping blathering lodge
  02/22/18
ABA stopped being nonpartisan long ago. The D Cts shouldn't ...
talented lavender tanning salon partner
  02/22/18
It should be like a pool of well-qualified applicants and a ...
snowy location ceo
  02/22/18
CR this should be discussed more often. There's a built in ...
snowy location ceo
  02/22/18
If if if if if if if if if if if if if if if if...
Floppy ruddy native
  02/22/18
It was very very retarded to not appoint that ND lady senato...
Milky motley pit
  02/22/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:16 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456696)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:18 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing

So you are imagining trump wins reelection in 2020? Cuz there is no way dems take the senate this year given the seats that are up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456720)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:21 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456757)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:23 PM
Author: Red area boistinker

GOP losing 3-4 seats is totally possible if things go bad.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456778)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:25 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing

And gop picking up zero? Seems extremely unlikely

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456804)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM
Author: Red area boistinker

Why not? Heitkamp, Tester, and McCaskill have all won before. Heitkamp and Tester are pretty popular too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456816)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:29 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing

Manchin? Donnelley? Just seems unlikely every one of these dudes holds on

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456839)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:31 PM
Author: Red area boistinker

If Republicans are getting killed it's perfectly plausible. And again, most of them are popular.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456852)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:32 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing

Yeah but trump is popular in those places too and if it looks like dems are going to elect the resist senate, I find it hard to think that won't be considered

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456868)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 7:49 AM
Author: Ruby fragrant mental disorder dopamine

Trump isn’t popular anywhere and he’s intensely reviled most places

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459220)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:11 AM
Author: 180 azure round eye hissy fit

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

Pretty consistently mid 40's. And the disapprove probably includes some far righters who don't think he's being hardline enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459834)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:44 AM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing

?

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/371364-poll-trumps-approval-rating-highest-in-west-virginia-lowest-in

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460066)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456817)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:30 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing

W was the worst president in history, different situation

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456848)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:33 PM
Author: lime supple associate step-uncle's house

up to that point. Trump makes W look like FDR.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456873)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:34 PM
Author: Effete gunner

lol, bush was significantly WORSE than trump by any reasonable measure. the iraq war alone condemns bush to the lowest ranks of the office.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456881)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456885)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:45 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456975)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM
Author: Effete gunner

disagrees with what? argumentum ad populum is a real retarded thing to try and pull here. bush demonstrably wasted trillions and got hundreds of thousands of people killed with his cockamamie wars. and that's just the beginning of his incompetence. if people find that to be "better" than what trump has done thus far, they are idiotic and their opinions should be summarily discarded.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456989)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:54 PM
Author: Insecure rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457075)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 10:00 PM
Author: mischievous hairy legs stain

Good thing the senate seats that are coming up aren't decided by popular vote.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457142)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 10:05 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457186)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM
Author: lime supple associate step-uncle's house

I agree that the Iraq war is worse policy wise than anything that trump has ever done but people liked W. People despise Trump. Even moderate people. Not just the far left like W.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456984)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM
Author: misanthropic center

Double Bush voter acknowledging this truth

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456985)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM
Author: vibrant resort goal in life

Reminder: libs are highly emotional, even the ones that poa

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456987)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:48 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457002)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:53 PM
Author: vibrant resort goal in life

Non-responsive

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457049)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:54 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457080)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:54 PM
Author: Mustard Startling Nowag

"Clinton +5 in latest poll..."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457074)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:56 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457114)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM
Author: fantasy-prone home genital piercing

Also which 4 would they lose? Nevada, Arizona, then?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456818)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:30 PM
Author: Red area boistinker

Texas and Tennessee. Admittedly Tennessee is VERY fringe.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456846)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:33 PM
Author: Effete gunner

libs always have pretensions of "turning texas blue," and they always fail spectacularly, due to the fact that mexicans are apathetic and never vote. unless they have solved that issue (and i doubt they have), it will be the same until the early-2030's or so.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456869)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:50 PM
Author: cowardly violet police squad electric furnace

Have you seen this goy O'Rourke? He's the next Kennedy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457016)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:51 PM
Author: Effete gunner

yeah, and wendy davis is the next ann richards. we've seen this script before.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457027)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:50 PM
Author: lime supple associate step-uncle's house

Texas is almost impossible but Mississippi is not if Wicker gets defeated in a primary by a truly crazy right winger and black turn out is maxed.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457015)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:21 AM
Author: tripping blathering lodge

It’s sounds crazy but Mississippi is a far better dem pick up opportunity then Alabama was at least on paper. Higher percentage of blacks.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459886)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:27 AM
Author: lime supple associate step-uncle's house

cr but obviously the caveat is that they need to have a candidate almost as bad as Roy Moore

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459935)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 11:31 AM
Author: tripping blathering lodge

Right.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460412)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:35 AM
Author: snowy location ceo

CR. Texas going blue is like 10:1. Texas only happens in a huge wave where it would be seat #51 or 52. But it is amazing that someone like Manchin, who should be utterly done here based on 2016 when Trump beat Hillary by 40+, now has a very good chance to hang on. The worst fact for the GOP in the senate is how few of the flip-able seats they are not making competitive. It's basically a question of how many pickups the Dems can make, and there are at least a couple that look very likely if Trump has a sub-40 approval rating in November like he had for most of last year.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460002)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:24 PM
Author: appetizing sound barrier

Dems will find a way to fuck it up. They're just a poorly run incompetent party.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456793)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM
Author: histrionic scarlet personal credit line gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456815)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:44 PM
Author: Stimulating ultramarine love of her life gaming laptop

Almost no chance this happens in 2018. Best case is Dems take the House and hold serve in the senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456967)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:50 PM
Author: Out-of-control curious kitty

Predictit says 33% chance of it happening:

https://www.predictit.org/Market/2703/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2018-midterms

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457014)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:51 PM
Author: Kink-friendly Digit Ratio Juggernaut

prole tell: thinking predictit is right about anything

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457037)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:56 PM
Author: Out-of-control curious kitty

I give it more credence than some XO poaster spouting off. It's people putting their money where their mouth is.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457108)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 7:35 AM
Author: Red area boistinker

If you think they're full of shit, then bet otherwise.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459192)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:19 AM
Author: tripping blathering lodge

33 percent seems about right to me. The dems are probably slight favorites in Nevada and Arizona. As for the the seats they are defending, they should be favored in all but MO. Manchin, Tester, and Heitkamp are very popular. If the dems win in Nevada and arizona and lose in MO it’s 50/50, thanks to Steve Bannon’s shenanigans in Alabama. The dems also have an outside shot of winning in Tenneseee and Texas (I think Bresden has a better chance than O’Rourke). Put it all together and 33 percent seems right, at least for now. A lot could change in 9 months of course.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459867)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:53 PM
Author: provocative weed whacker

Why would they do that and let judicial vacancy emergencies continue? Don't they care about access to expedient justice?

Dems don't win when they play the judge brinksmanship game.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457053)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:55 PM
Author: Out-of-control curious kitty

They will 100% do it after like May 2020. And they will slow walk confirmations beforehand. Just like the Republicans did.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457098)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 9:57 PM
Author: provocative weed whacker

Will there still even be vacancies in 2022 that Trump hasn't filled?

Obama was slow as fuck in his COA/d.ct. noms because they were scouring the ranks for minorities that would get decent ABA ratings.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457123)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 12:24 AM
Author: Beta Pink Senate Mother

cq. Thomas should retire right now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35458303)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:24 AM
Author: Carmine Striped Hyena Parlour

Did you mean that the republicans required cloture for every single Obama judicial nominee, as shitlibs are doing to every Trump nominee right now? Do you shitlibs ever care about the truth or just what you remember as true?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459910)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:14 AM
Author: talented lavender tanning salon partner

This politics inside baseball bullshit is 100% faggot but Trump is really fucking up on district court nominations. He needs to start getting people through -- too many empty seats, and he can't dick around appointing political cronies who don't know what the fuck they're doing. I understand that CoA appointments are going to be somewhat political, but politicizing district courts is a disaster

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459846)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:23 AM
Author: tripping blathering lodge

It would be better if the ABA or some other nonpartisan group just nominated district court judges. The senate could still veto them if they were super partisan but at least the politics would be taken out of tre first step.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459900)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:35 AM
Author: talented lavender tanning salon partner

ABA stopped being nonpartisan long ago. The D Cts shouldn't be difficult. Everybody knows who the good lawyers were in a certain city, just pick one. All I want is somebody to rule on my fucking motions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460008)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:46 AM
Author: snowy location ceo

It should be like a pool of well-qualified applicants and a board of local lawyers elected by local lawyers holds hearings where people who know the candidate can speak for or against. Fuck the senate having anything to do with it. We need opportunities to remove many functional aspects of government as possible from the effects of the filibuster and toward a basic competence review or they will fall apart in this era of politics. End result might be fewer D.Ct. make it to appellate, which is a small price to pay for a working judiciary branch.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460083)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:41 AM
Author: snowy location ceo

CR this should be discussed more often. There's a built in moderate/centrist Republican pitch related to competence and waste, because it's a trial court, so you need to actually know shit about how it works to not fuck up or you're wasting taxpayer money. Appellate fags can just tag along with the smartest person on their side and hire clerks to tell them what to say if they want to slack. If libs were smart they would've been pushing this for years. This is the kind of issue that Clinton would've pushed but the Obama Dems are too low IQ to connect the dots.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460052)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:15 AM
Author: Floppy ruddy native

If if if if if if if if if if if if if if if if...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459854)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:22 AM
Author: Milky motley pit

It was very very retarded to not appoint that ND lady senator to a cabinet spot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459896)