Heroic statistician - "America does not have a gun problem, it has a
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: March 15th, 2018 1:25 AM Author: Obsidian corner
poor minority problem - which manifests itself in the US as gun violence because there happen to be a lot fo guns around"
The author basically takes all of the bullshit fake news graphs pushed by Vox and Motherjones and blows them the fuck out. With graphs.
Basically there is no correlation between gun ownership and gun violence. There is one data point. The US has high gun ownership and high gun violence. There are many MANY variables that contribute to gun violence a lot more than gun ownership.
10 minute or so read. Worth it.
https://medium.com/@bjcampbell/everybodys-lying-about-the-link-between-gun-ownership-and-homicide-1108ed400be5
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35609049) |
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Date: March 15th, 2018 1:46 AM Author: Frozen kink-friendly fanboi box office
huge proponent of suicide as a means of population control via self-eugenics
low t depressed off themselves, lowering housing prices and increasing supply of females for high t alpha bros like myself
its great
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35609140) |
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Date: March 15th, 2018 3:10 PM Author: Obsidian corner
the point is that more guns does not lead to more gun crime. the existence of guns is obviously a but for necessary factor, but not the driving factor.
Imagine two scenarios:
(A) Gun are legal. I could pick 50 friends and we could each buy 10 AR-15's and keep them in our houses. That's 500 new guns owned by 50 people.
(B) All purchases of new semi auto weapons are banned. Not just "assault weapons", but rifles and hand guns too. But existing guns in circulation are not confiscated. They cannot be bought or sold legally. Instead of me and 50 friends buying 10 guns, I pick 20 inner city black young men at random, sight unseen, and clone them and put them back into society. Not just criminals, 20 kids from inner city Chicago or St Louis at random. They cannot obtain any guns legally.
On a marginal basis scenario B will lead to more gun violence than scenario A.
Poverty and race leads to violent crime, and violent crime when guns happen to be around leads to gun homicides.
Obviously if all guns were confiscated there would be no gun crime, but this weakens arguments that tightening restrictions on legal gun ownership is what is needed to combat gun violence.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612525) |
Date: March 15th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: crawly telephone
Great article, except
>> The reason we don’t go there is very important to understand. The study established correlations, not causality. The results might be explained by saying “black people tend to live disproportionately in poorer, urbanized areas that are more prone to homicide due to environmental factors.” That explanation may be completely reasonable. <<
has been disproven by other studies. when you control for income and urbanization, blacks still have way, way higher homicide rates than Hispanics or whites or asians.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612455) |
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Date: March 15th, 2018 3:11 PM Author: crawly telephone
yes and no.
it would certainly be interesting to note whether patterns of violence hold across IQ distributions for blacks.
it's more politically palatable (and possibly more effective) to target young men with low IQs as a way of controlling violence, as opposed to "blacks".
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612537) |
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Date: March 15th, 2018 3:08 PM Author: Bisexual Confused Church
I know that when you control for income and urbanization, blacks are still the most violent by FAR. See here:
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3912965&mc=73&forum_id=2#35561421
I’m not sure if IQ was included, though, or if such studies have ever been done.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612508) |
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Date: March 15th, 2018 3:23 PM Author: Abnormal Cerebral Travel Guidebook
"He's arguing"
"That argument"
"The other arguments"
"Everyone plays games"
.. Care to just SAY SOMETHING? Like this:
BLACKS ARE MORE DANGEROUS THAN GUNS.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612649) |
Date: March 15th, 2018 3:12 PM Author: Obsidian corner
From my comment above:
Imagine two scenarios:
(A) Gun are legal. I could pick 50 friends and we could each buy 10 AR-15's and keep them in our houses. That's 500 new guns owned by 50 people.
(B) All purchases of new semi auto weapons are banned. Not just "assault weapons", but rifles and hand guns too. But existing guns in circulation are not confiscated. They cannot be bought or sold legally. Instead of me and 50 friends buying 10 guns, I pick 20 inner city black young men at random, sight unseen, and clone them and put them back into society. Not just criminals, 20 kids from inner city Chicago or St Louis at random. They cannot obtain any guns legally.
On a marginal basis scenario B will lead to more gun violence than scenario A.
Poverty and race leads to violent crime, and violent crime when guns happen to be around leads to gun homicides.
Obviously if all guns were confiscated there would be no gun crime, but this weakens arguments that tightening restrictions on legal gun ownership is what is needed to combat gun violence.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612542) |
Date: March 15th, 2018 3:21 PM Author: Obsidian corner
And here is a further conclusion you can draw from the data:
if you have to violate constitutional rights to prevent gun violence are you better off:
1) keeping people from buying guns, or
2) stop and frisking every other young black man in shitty areas?
The gun violence rates in NYC versus Chicago or DC speak for themselves.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612626) |
Date: March 15th, 2018 3:33 PM Author: electric plaza kitty
Does this mean that we can reduce firearm homicide by getting rid of black people?
No.
No it does not.
Don’t even go there.
Ummmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612731) |
Date: March 15th, 2018 4:00 PM Author: Saffron Main People Sanctuary
https://imgur.com/QePQ08B
does the math on this check out?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35612912) |
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Date: March 15th, 2018 4:15 PM Author: Saffron Main People Sanctuary
yeah i wish the pic listed a source or some actual numbers of some kind but i saw it on The_Donald so what do you expect.
EDIT: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_intentional_homicide_rate
so just based off this, in 2015 the US was 8th in absolute number of numbers (holy shit brazil #1 with 55,000 murders!!!), but only 98th if you sort per 100,000 inhabitants. so this pic is just flat out wrong and i'm not even gonna try to dive into the individual city numbers
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35613051) |
Date: March 15th, 2018 4:19 PM Author: comical ocher persian faggotry
This reinforces the correct message: America's real problem is mental illness.
Whether it's suicides, mass shootings, gender issues, or having a mental breakdown over a fucking election
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35613092) |
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Date: March 15th, 2018 5:07 PM Author: Balding duck-like sound barrier chapel
Actually idk
He says the way they measure gun ownership rate is fucked, but then doesn’t seem to point to a better way to measure it.
Makes me wonder what gun ownership rate actually is
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3919161&forum_id=2#35613520) |
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