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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Obsidian rigor
  07/21/18
0%
Excitant lime black woman dog poop
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
cracking cerise locale
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
vigorous gaped public bath
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Razzle-dazzle new version box office
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
arrogant affirmative action
  07/21/18
jfc
Pontificating Dashing Meetinghouse Deer Antler
  07/21/18
90%
beady-eyed reading party orchestra pit
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Insanely creepy center french chef
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
pearl stead
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Doobsian idea he suggested
  07/21/18
...
Big main people
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Razzle-dazzle new version box office
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
duck-like shitlib
  07/21/18
45%
chartreuse station
  07/21/18
75%
costumed goyim useless brakes
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Massive Boiling Water Heaven
  07/21/18
...
Fishy 180 Sanctuary Dingle Berry
  07/21/18
80%
duck-like shitlib
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Obsidian rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Excitant lime black woman dog poop

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: cracking cerise locale

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: vigorous gaped public bath

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Razzle-dazzle new version box office

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: arrogant affirmative action

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Pontificating Dashing Meetinghouse Deer Antler

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: beady-eyed reading party orchestra pit

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Insanely creepy center french chef

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: pearl stead

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Doobsian idea he suggested

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Big main people



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle new version box office

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: duck-like shitlib

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: chartreuse station

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: costumed goyim useless brakes

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Massive Boiling Water Heaven

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Fishy 180 Sanctuary Dingle Berry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: duck-like shitlib

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)