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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?
| Cruel-hearted heaven | 07/21/18 |
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM Author: Cruel-hearted heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544) |
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: iridescent striped hyena new version 0% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: flatulent tank rehab Reply Favorite
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)
0%
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Cerebral principal's office crotch http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2
Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM Author: ...,.........,.........,....
I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported. Gillum is doing too well in central florida.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM Author: soul-stirring gay wizard school I would be shocked if they don't.
1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.
2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.
3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.
4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.
5. Democratic base is far more energized.
6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM Author: walnut famous landscape painting field http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2 https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: laughsome sinister institution clown jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM Author: Chrome Theater Double Fault 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM Author: Hairless ruddy azn macaca them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM Author: charcoal 180 rigpig deer antler They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM Author: mint nowag depressive 65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Floppy Twinkling Kitchen Hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM Author: soul-stirring gay wizard school Correct. It's 90%+. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: Rough-skinned Sex Offender Factory Reset Button You need to get a life outside xo bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: Clear vigorous jew potus 45% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Chocolate Zippy Senate 75% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM Author: Crusty sandwich Every single day the same thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM Author: disgusting yapping point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: Rough-skinned Sex Offender Factory Reset Button 80% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986) |