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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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house-broken circlehead
  07/21/18
0%
submissive pit national security agency
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
ocher bat shit crazy factory reset button
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Diverse frum step-uncle's house double fault
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
swashbuckling parlour liquid oxygen
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
crusty den reading party
  07/21/18
jfc
Talented frozen roast beef haunted graveyard
  07/21/18
90%
Saffron public bath boiling water
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
180 mediation
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Blue drunken gay wizard
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Multi-colored kitchen
  07/21/18
...
comical flickering cuck corner
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
swashbuckling parlour liquid oxygen
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
bearded brunch queen of the night
  07/21/18
45%
disturbing dashing cuckoldry
  07/21/18
75%
stirring stage
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
anal hunting ground
  07/21/18
...
Twinkling exhilarant site hominid
  07/21/18
80%
bearded brunch queen of the night
  07/21/18


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Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: house-broken circlehead



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: submissive pit national security agency

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: ocher bat shit crazy factory reset button

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Diverse frum step-uncle's house double fault

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: swashbuckling parlour liquid oxygen

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: crusty den reading party

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Talented frozen roast beef haunted graveyard

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Saffron public bath boiling water

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: 180 mediation

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Blue drunken gay wizard

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Multi-colored kitchen

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: comical flickering cuck corner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: swashbuckling parlour liquid oxygen

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: bearded brunch queen of the night

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: disturbing dashing cuckoldry

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: stirring stage

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: anal hunting ground

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Twinkling exhilarant site hominid



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: bearded brunch queen of the night

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)